Compendium › Danny Dip › MDT
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MDT
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 4 trades in period

+6.00%
Year to Date Return
$10,898.30
Current Value
75%
Win Rate
$10,281.12
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:21:28

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
62.3 neutral
20d Trend
+5.9%
5d Trend
+0.9%
EMA20 Dist
+1.9%
ATR%
1.9%
Range Pos
83%
Bounce Ratio
2.8×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

17
Lifetime
Confidence: 71%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.5/35
Total Return
8.3/25
Win Rate
5.2/15
Profit Factor
1.6/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 23.6/100
× Confidence 0.71 = 16.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (71%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
14,585
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
185 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$10,281.12
Current Value
$10,898.30
Period P&L
$617.17
Max Drawdown
-8.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.50

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
3 / 1
Best Trade
+5.20%
Worst Trade
-3.16%
Avg Trade Return
+1.52%
Avg Hold Time
8.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$83,135.33
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$617.17
Net P&L (after fees)
$617.17
Gross Return
+6.00%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.00%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MDT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 185 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $10,281.12 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET $95.91 107 $10,262.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $97.18 107 $10,398.26 $10,417.02 +$135.89
(+1.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 10:25am ET $92.82 112 $10,396.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $89.89 112 $10,067.68 $10,088.30 $-328.72
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 9:35am ET $79.79 126 $10,054.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 9:45am ET $83.94 126 $10,577.07 $10,611.20 +$522.90
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 10:50am ET $90.92 116 $10,546.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 10:50am ET $93.39 116 $10,833.24 $10,898.30 +$287.10
(+2.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,898.30
Net Profit/Loss: +$898.30
Total Return: +8.98%
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