Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:44:30

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

39
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
12.5/35
Total Return
17.5/25
Win Rate
1.7/15
Profit Factor
2.9/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 39.7/100
× Confidence 0.97 = 38.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
17,118
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
190 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$9,117.77
Current Value
$22,593.75
Period P&L
$13,476.00
Max Drawdown
-35.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.30

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
59
Winners / Losers
31 / 28
Best Trade
+23.71%
Worst Trade
-8.72%
Avg Trade Return
+1.72%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$2,024,809.05
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$13,476.00
Net P&L (after fees)
$13,476.00
Gross Return
+147.80%
Net Return (after fees)
+147.80%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 190 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 59 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $9,117.77 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 9:35am ET $286.25 31 $8,873.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET $302.59 31 $9,380.29 $9,641.35 +$506.54
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 9:55am ET $328.58 29 $9,528.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 2:45pm ET $345.09 29 $10,007.61 $10,120.13 +$478.79
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 10:20am ET $366.34 27 $9,891.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 10:30am ET $389.01 27 $10,503.27 $10,732.22 +$612.09
(+6.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 11:50am ET $398.04 26 $10,349.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 9:35am ET $385.13 26 $10,013.38 $10,396.56 $-335.66
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 10:10am ET $429.57 24 $10,309.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 9:35am ET $451.58 24 $10,837.92 $10,924.80 +$528.24
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.4h held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 9:55am ET $418.51 26 $10,881.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $403.66 26 $10,495.15 $10,538.69 $-386.11
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.6h held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:05am ET $373.54 28 $10,459.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 11:30am ET $393.41 28 $11,015.48 $11,095.06 +$556.37
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $372.10 29 $10,790.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 12:05pm ET $391.42 29 $11,351.32 $11,655.48 +$560.42
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.6h held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 10:20am ET $386.88 30 $11,606.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 2:00pm ET $406.43 30 $12,193.05 $12,242.13 +$586.65
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.7h held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET $400.61 30 $12,018.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 10:25am ET $421.36 30 $12,640.80 $12,864.63 +$622.50
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 10:20am ET $417.34 30 $12,520.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 10:25am ET $403.51 30 $12,105.30 $12,449.73 $-414.90
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 10:20am ET $402.79 30 $12,083.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $385.00 30 $11,550.00 $11,916.03 $-533.70
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.2h held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 12:35pm ET $387.07 30 $11,612.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 3:20pm ET $374.48 30 $11,234.40 $11,538.33 $-377.70
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET $408.49 28 $11,437.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $446.54 28 $12,503.12 $12,603.73 +$1,065.40
(+9.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $424.00 29 $12,296.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 10:15am ET $449.11 29 $13,024.05 $13,331.78 +$728.05
(+5.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
45m held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 10:15am ET $433.79 30 $13,013.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 1:55pm ET $420.70 30 $12,621.02 $12,939.25 $-392.53
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7h held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:45am ET $391.70 33 $12,926.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:35am ET $377.00 33 $12,441.00 $12,454.15 $-485.10
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:40am ET $369.00 33 $12,177.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 1:25pm ET $357.85 33 $11,809.05 $12,086.20 $-367.95
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held
19 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:40am ET $345.18 35 $12,081.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 12:00pm ET $332.80 35 $11,648.00 $11,652.72 $-433.48
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $340.91 34 $11,590.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 10:10am ET $358.14 34 $12,176.76 $12,238.68 +$585.96
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
40m held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 10:00am ET $368.20 33 $12,150.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $414.18 33 $13,668.10 $13,756.02 +$1,517.34
(+12.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.5h held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 10:25am ET $401.55 34 $13,652.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 3:35pm ET $423.13 34 $14,386.25 $14,489.57 +$733.55
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.2h held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 10:05am ET $449.54 32 $14,385.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 10:30am ET $474.45 32 $15,182.56 $15,287.01 +$797.44
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:45pm ET $475.27 32 $15,208.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 10:10am ET $499.12 32 $15,971.84 $16,050.05 +$763.04
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.4h held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $502.27 31 $15,570.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $527.40 31 $16,349.40 $16,829.08 +$779.03
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 10:10am ET $510.53 32 $16,336.80 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:55am ET $537.09 32 $17,187.04 $17,679.32 +$850.24
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
27 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 12:40pm ET $629.81 28 $17,634.68 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 11:25am ET $662.80 28 $18,558.40 $18,603.04 +$923.72
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held
28 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 11:50am ET $658.08 28 $18,426.24 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 1:20pm ET $637.79 28 $17,858.12 $18,034.92 $-568.12
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held
29 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 9:55am ET $773.85 23 $17,798.66 — — —
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 2:35pm ET $813.78 23 $18,716.97 $18,953.23 +$918.31
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.7h held
30 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 9:30am ET $731.76 25 $18,294.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 10:30am ET $708.73 25 $17,718.37 $18,377.60 $-575.63
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
31 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 10:30am ET $663.80 27 $17,922.60 — — —
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 12:05pm ET $700.85 27 $18,922.95 $19,377.95 +$1,000.35
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.6h held
32 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 10:15am ET $914.05 21 $19,195.15 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:50am ET $969.00 21 $20,349.00 $20,531.80 +$1,153.85
(+6.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
33 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 10:25am ET $1,034.80 19 $19,661.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:45am ET $991.76 19 $18,843.44 $19,714.04 $-817.76
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
34 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:45am ET $933.59 21 $19,605.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 12:40pm ET $902.37 21 $18,949.68 $19,058.32 $-655.72
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9h held
35 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 10:20am ET $952.70 20 $19,054.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 11:25am ET $916.71 20 $18,334.20 $18,338.52 $-719.80
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held
36 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 11:25am ET $913.17 20 $18,263.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 2:50pm ET $965.06 20 $19,301.20 $19,376.32 +$1,037.80
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
37 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 10:35am ET $1,064.58 18 $19,162.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 11:45am ET $1,029.87 18 $18,537.66 $18,751.60 $-624.72
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
38 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 3:50pm ET $1,049.93 17 $17,848.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET $1,108.30 17 $18,841.10 $19,743.89 +$992.29
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
17.7h held
39 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $1,078.93 18 $19,420.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 2:45pm ET $1,043.23 18 $18,778.14 $19,101.38 $-642.51
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.3h held
40 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 3:10pm ET $992.80 19 $18,863.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET $1,228.15 19 $23,334.76 $23,572.94 +$4,471.56
(+23.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.3h held
41 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $1,138.53 20 $22,770.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 9:40am ET $1,095.65 20 $21,913.00 $22,715.34 $-857.60
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
42 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET $1,073.73 21 $22,548.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 2:00pm ET $1,039.58 21 $21,831.18 $21,998.19 $-717.15
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.5h held
43 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $917.57 23 $21,104.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $1,012.41 23 $23,285.43 $24,179.51 +$2,181.32
(+10.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
44 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET $961.78 25 $24,044.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $929.94 25 $23,248.50 $23,383.51 $-796.00
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
45 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 9:55am ET $952.45 24 $22,858.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 10:25am ET $921.04 24 $22,104.96 $22,629.76 $-753.75
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
46 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 10:25am ET $866.00 26 $22,516.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $825.00 26 $21,450.00 $21,563.76 $-1,066.00
(-4.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.1h held
47 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 3:25pm ET $859.73 25 $21,493.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET $923.13 25 $23,078.25 $23,148.76 +$1,585.00
(+7.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.1h held
48 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET $940.77 24 $22,578.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:40am ET $990.18 24 $23,764.22 $24,334.58 +$1,185.82
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
49 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 9:40am ET $951.03 25 $23,775.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 2:20pm ET $922.26 25 $23,056.50 $23,615.33 $-719.25
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.7h held
50 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET $844.54 27 $22,802.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:45am ET $814.83 27 $22,000.28 $22,813.03 $-802.30
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
51 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 9:55am ET $796.61 28 $22,305.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 11:55am ET $771.09 28 $21,590.52 $22,098.33 $-714.70
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2h held
52 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:45am ET $888.91 24 $21,333.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 10:05am ET $846.34 24 $20,312.16 $21,076.61 $-1,021.72
(-4.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
53 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 10:05am ET $787.11 26 $20,464.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 11:00am ET $826.55 26 $21,490.30 $22,102.05 +$1,025.44
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
55m held
54 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET $841.43 26 $21,877.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 10:10am ET $887.65 26 $23,078.77 $23,303.64 +$1,201.59
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
40m held
55 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 10:10am ET $855.30 27 $23,093.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET $916.79 27 $24,753.33 $24,963.73 +$1,660.09
(+7.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
56 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET $957.26 26 $24,888.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:55am ET $922.00 26 $23,972.00 $24,046.97 $-916.76
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
57 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $935.35 25 $23,383.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:40am ET $906.79 25 $22,669.87 $23,333.10 $-713.87
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
58 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 11:00am ET $920.64 25 $23,016.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $974.49 25 $24,362.25 $24,679.35 +$1,346.25
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.9d held
59 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $996.58 24 $23,917.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $909.68 24 $21,832.32 $22,593.75 $-2,085.60
(-8.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $22,593.75
Net Profit/Loss: +$12,593.75
Total Return: +125.94%
Back to Danny Dip