ORCL Danny Dip's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 45 trades in period
-15.27%
Year to Date Return
$9,090.94
Current Value
38%
Win Rate
$10,729.16
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
15.8 oversold
20d Trend
-34.3%
5d Trend
-19.1%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.9%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
5
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality
5.2/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 5.1
30-Day Momentum
32
+9.6%
30d Return
60%
Win Rate
5
Trades
1.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 45.3
Conf: 0.70×
Accelerating (+27 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
17,075
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)
Market Closed (8 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$10,729.16
Current Value
$9,090.94
Period P&L
$-1,638.23
Max Drawdown
-29.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.06
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
45
Winners / Losers
17 /
28
Best Trade
+7.02%
Worst Trade
-12.72%
Avg Trade Return
-0.26%
Avg Hold Time
1.9d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$810,506.41
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,638.23
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,638.23
Gross Return
-15.27%
Net Return (after fees)
-15.27%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 ORCL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 45 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $10,729.16 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $188.32 | 56 | $10,545.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 1:25pm ET | $197.86 | 56 | $11,080.16 | $11,263.41 |
+$534.24 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 10:25am ET | $196.25 | 57 | $11,186.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 3:15pm ET | $189.99 | 57 | $10,829.15 | $10,906.17 |
$-357.25 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $185.35 | 58 | $10,750.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $176.73 | 58 | $10,250.34 | $10,406.21 |
$-499.96 (-4.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $173.12 | 60 | $10,386.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $183.01 | 60 | $10,980.60 | $10,999.91 |
+$593.70 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $176.44 | 62 | $10,939.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $167.46 | 62 | $10,382.21 | $10,442.84 |
$-557.07 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $157.76 | 66 | $10,412.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 1:20pm ET | $152.77 | 66 | $10,083.15 | $10,113.83 |
$-329.01 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:50am ET | $143.65 | 70 | $10,055.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 1:05pm ET | $138.87 | 70 | $9,720.90 | $9,779.57 |
$-334.25 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:55am ET | $154.95 | 63 | $9,761.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 11:30am ET | $150.21 | 63 | $9,463.19 | $9,480.91 |
$-298.66 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 10:30am ET | $146.71 | 64 | $9,389.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 2:50pm ET | $142.29 | 64 | $9,106.24 | $9,197.71 |
$-283.20 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $145.08 | 63 | $9,140.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 10:25am ET | $152.38 | 63 | $9,599.94 | $9,657.61 |
+$459.90 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 12:55pm ET | $151.16 | 63 | $9,523.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 12:00pm ET | $158.84 | 63 | $10,006.92 | $10,141.45 |
+$483.84 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.1h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 10:40am ET | $165.12 | 61 | $10,072.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 1:30pm ET | $160.14 | 61 | $9,768.54 | $9,837.67 |
$-303.78 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 9:40am ET | $151.00 | 65 | $9,815.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 11:15am ET | $146.34 | 65 | $9,511.89 | $9,534.56 |
$-303.11 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:55am ET | $138.96 | 68 | $9,449.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 1:25pm ET | $145.96 | 68 | $9,925.28 | $10,010.56 |
+$476.00 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $141.09 | 70 | $9,876.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $151.00 | 70 | $10,570.00 | $10,704.26 |
+$693.70 (+7.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $139.66 | 76 | $10,614.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 9:50am ET | $135.20 | 76 | $10,275.20 | $10,365.30 |
$-338.96 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 11:05am ET | $163.10 | 63 | $10,275.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 9:50am ET | $171.95 | 63 | $10,832.82 | $10,922.82 |
+$557.52 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $179.80 | 60 | $10,788.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 1:50pm ET | $174.30 | 60 | $10,458.00 | $10,592.82 |
$-330.00 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.3h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 10:00am ET | $168.42 | 62 | $10,442.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $162.43 | 62 | $10,070.66 | $10,221.44 |
$-371.38 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.5h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $161.09 | 63 | $10,148.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $169.17 | 63 | $10,657.71 | $10,730.48 |
+$509.04 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 9:50am ET | $187.62 | 57 | $10,694.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 12:45pm ET | $181.87 | 57 | $10,366.59 | $10,403.01 |
$-327.47 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $189.82 | 54 | $10,250.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 12:30pm ET | $183.81 | 54 | $9,925.74 | $10,078.47 |
$-324.54 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $241.60 | 41 | $9,905.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 9:40am ET | $233.37 | 41 | $9,567.97 | $9,740.83 |
$-337.64 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $230.23 | 42 | $9,669.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 9:55am ET | $222.71 | 42 | $9,354.03 | $9,425.20 |
$-315.63 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 10:15am ET | $212.84 | 44 | $9,364.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 11:30am ET | $205.38 | 44 | $9,036.72 | $9,097.18 |
$-328.02 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 11:40am ET | $204.64 | 44 | $9,004.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $178.60 | 44 | $7,858.40 | $7,951.42 |
$-1,145.76 (-12.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 10:25am ET | $188.63 | 42 | $7,922.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $181.56 | 42 | $7,625.52 | $7,654.27 |
$-297.15 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $170.99 | 44 | $7,523.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2026 2:20pm ET | $165.77 | 44 | $7,293.88 | $7,424.59 |
$-229.68 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 9:55am ET | $151.82 | 48 | $7,287.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 10:10am ET | $146.66 | 48 | $7,039.68 | $7,176.91 |
$-247.68 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2026 10:55am ET | $141.96 | 50 | $7,098.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 11:30am ET | $137.65 | 50 | $6,882.50 | $6,961.41 |
$-215.50 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 10:35am ET | $140.40 | 49 | $6,879.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 10:20am ET | $135.90 | 49 | $6,659.10 | $6,740.91 |
$-220.50 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 10:25am ET | $128.95 | 52 | $6,705.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 3:20pm ET | $124.75 | 52 | $6,486.74 | $6,522.51 |
$-218.40 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 10:00am ET | $121.76 | 53 | $6,453.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 10:00am ET | $128.04 | 53 | $6,786.38 | $6,855.61 |
+$333.10 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 10:45am ET | $122.07 | 56 | $6,835.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 9:55am ET | $116.76 | 56 | $6,538.56 | $6,558.25 |
$-297.36 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.2h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 9:40am ET | $115.71 | 56 | $6,479.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 3:00pm ET | $121.72 | 56 | $6,816.32 | $6,894.80 |
+$336.55 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.3h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 3:55pm ET | $117.75 | 58 | $6,829.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 9:45am ET | $124.98 | 58 | $7,248.84 | $7,313.85 |
+$419.05 (+6.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
17.8h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 10:10am ET | $127.49 | 57 | $7,266.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 9:40am ET | $135.51 | 57 | $7,724.01 | $7,771.15 |
+$457.30 (+6.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 9:35am ET | $142.85 | 54 | $7,714.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 10:50am ET | $150.55 | 54 | $8,129.70 | $8,186.73 |
+$415.58 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.1d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 10:50am ET | $146.38 | 55 | $8,050.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 2:30pm ET | $153.88 | 55 | $8,463.40 | $8,599.23 |
+$412.50 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 10:00am ET | $146.04 | 58 | $8,470.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 9:40am ET | $140.80 | 58 | $8,166.40 | $8,295.31 |
$-303.92 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $142.65 | 58 | $8,273.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $150.95 | 58 | $8,755.10 | $8,776.71 |
+$481.40 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $146.02 | 60 | $8,761.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 12:30pm ET | $141.59 | 60 | $8,495.40 | $8,510.91 |
$-265.80 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $157.75 | 53 | $8,360.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2026 10:25am ET | $152.39 | 53 | $8,076.67 | $8,226.83 |
$-284.08 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 14, 2026 10:25am ET | $142.76 | 57 | $8,137.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2026 10:15am ET | $149.93 | 57 | $8,546.29 | $8,636.09 |
+$409.26 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2026 10:15am ET | $145.13 | 59 | $8,562.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 9:40am ET | $152.83 | 59 | $9,017.25 | $9,090.94 |
+$454.85 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,090.94
Net Profit/Loss:
$-909.06
Total Return:
-9.09%