SLV Danny Dip's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 33 trades in period
+14.20%
Year to Date Return
$16,914.64
Current Value
42%
Win Rate
$14,811.63
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
38.5 neutral
20d Trend
-12.5%
5d Trend
-40.4%
EMA20 Dist
-22.1%
ATR%
14.8%
Range Pos
32%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
43
Lifetime
Confidence: 88%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
18.6/35
Total Return
15.6/25
Win Rate
4.4/15
Profit Factor
3.1/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality
48.3/100
× Confidence 0.88
= 42.7
30-Day Momentum
0
-1.3%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0
Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-43 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (88%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
17,094
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)
Market Closed (8 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$14,811.63
Current Value
$16,914.64
Period P&L
$2,102.99
Max Drawdown
-14.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.10
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
33
Winners / Losers
14 /
19
Best Trade
+9.72%
Worst Trade
-9.56%
Avg Trade Return
+0.53%
Avg Hold Time
2.8d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,139,534.59
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,102.99
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,102.99
Gross Return
+14.20%
Net Return (after fees)
+14.20%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SLV Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 33 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $14,811.63 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 11:15am ET | $64.98 | 227 | $14,750.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $69.16 | 227 | $15,699.32 | $15,760.49 |
+$948.86 (+6.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $70.07 | 224 | $15,696.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $67.43 | 224 | $15,104.77 | $15,168.80 |
$-591.70 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $81.37 | 186 | $15,134.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $85.55 | 186 | $15,911.37 | $15,945.35 |
+$776.55 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 1:30pm ET | $102.27 | 155 | $15,851.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 2:15pm ET | $98.82 | 155 | $15,317.10 | $15,410.60 |
$-534.75 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
48m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 1:40pm ET | $100.61 | 153 | $15,392.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 3:40pm ET | $105.85 | 153 | $16,195.05 | $16,213.08 |
+$802.48 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $91.28 | 177 | $16,156.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 10:00am ET | $88.54 | 177 | $15,670.70 | $15,727.22 |
$-485.87 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 10:00am ET | $72.00 | 218 | $15,696.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 10:45am ET | $69.46 | 218 | $15,142.28 | $15,173.47 |
$-553.74 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
48m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 12:05pm ET | $77.72 | 195 | $15,156.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 1:20pm ET | $75.31 | 195 | $14,685.45 | $14,702.55 |
$-470.93 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $67.38 | 218 | $14,688.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $73.40 | 218 | $16,002.29 | $16,015.98 |
+$1,313.43 (+8.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $67.22 | 238 | $15,998.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 10:05am ET | $70.64 | 238 | $16,812.18 | $16,829.80 |
+$813.82 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $78.29 | 214 | $16,754.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $83.13 | 214 | $17,789.82 | $17,865.56 |
+$1,035.76 (+6.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $81.32 | 219 | $17,809.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 12:00pm ET | $78.86 | 219 | $17,270.34 | $17,326.82 |
$-538.74 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 9:35am ET | $77.66 | 223 | $17,318.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 10:15am ET | $74.69 | 223 | $16,655.87 | $16,664.51 |
$-662.31 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 11:40am ET | $71.13 | 234 | $16,644.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 2:55pm ET | $68.97 | 234 | $16,138.98 | $16,159.07 |
$-505.44 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 10:00am ET | $63.44 | 254 | $16,113.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 3:20pm ET | $61.52 | 254 | $15,626.08 | $15,671.42 |
$-487.65 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.3h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $61.37 | 255 | $15,648.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $66.14 | 255 | $16,865.70 | $16,889.04 |
+$1,217.62 (+7.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $62.04 | 272 | $16,875.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $65.91 | 272 | $17,927.52 | $17,941.41 |
+$1,052.37 (+6.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $63.62 | 281 | $17,878.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $69.81 | 281 | $19,616.61 | $19,679.96 |
+$1,738.55 (+9.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 9:40am ET | $67.04 | 293 | $19,644.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $70.61 | 293 | $20,688.73 | $20,724.51 |
+$1,044.55 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 10:50am ET | $69.79 | 296 | $20,659.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 1:45pm ET | $67.69 | 296 | $20,036.36 | $20,101.55 |
$-622.96 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $65.68 | 306 | $20,098.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:55am ET | $69.00 | 306 | $21,112.47 | $21,115.94 |
+$1,014.39 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $77.08 | 273 | $21,042.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $69.71 | 273 | $19,031.92 | $19,105.02 |
$-2,010.92 (-9.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $66.54 | 287 | $19,096.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $68.59 | 287 | $19,685.33 | $19,693.37 |
+$588.35 (+3.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $64.10 | 307 | $19,678.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 11:20am ET | $62.17 | 307 | $19,086.19 | $19,100.86 |
$-592.51 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 10:35am ET | $60.14 | 317 | $19,064.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $58.31 | 317 | $18,484.27 | $18,520.75 |
$-580.11 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.9h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 2:10pm ET | $62.30 | 297 | $18,503.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 10:05am ET | $60.37 | 297 | $17,929.89 | $17,947.54 |
$-573.21 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.9h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.09 | 319 | $17,892.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $53.12 | 319 | $16,945.28 | $17,000.11 |
$-947.43 (-5.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $52.76 | 322 | $16,988.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $50.97 | 322 | $16,412.34 | $16,423.73 |
$-576.38 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $52.16 | 314 | $16,378.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.12 | 314 | $17,622.72 | $17,668.21 |
+$1,244.48 (+7.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
13d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 10:15am ET | $62.06 | 284 | $17,623.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 12:35pm ET | $60.13 | 284 | $17,076.32 | $17,120.91 |
$-547.30 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 9:55am ET | $58.32 | 293 | $17,087.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 10:05am ET | $61.41 | 293 | $17,993.13 | $18,026.28 |
+$905.37 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 10:05am ET | $58.43 | 308 | $17,996.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 3:10pm ET | $56.54 | 308 | $17,414.35 | $17,444.19 |
$-582.09 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.2d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $58.97 | 295 | $17,397.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $57.18 | 295 | $16,868.07 | $16,914.64 |
$-529.55 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$16,914.64
Net Profit/Loss:
+$6,914.64
Total Return:
+69.15%