Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:21:47

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
42.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.1%
5d Trend
-1.5%
EMA20 Dist
-1.8%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 91%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.1/10
Raw Quality 4.1/100
× Confidence 0.91 = 3.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (91%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,283
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
190 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$9,071.09
Current Value
$7,657.16
Period P&L
$-1,413.95
Max Drawdown
-27.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.17

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
20
Winners / Losers
7 / 13
Best Trade
+5.73%
Worst Trade
-10.61%
Avg Trade Return
-0.75%
Avg Hold Time
3.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$321,623.72
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,413.95
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,413.95
Gross Return
-15.59%
Net Return (after fees)
-15.59%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SPXU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 190 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 20 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $9,071.09 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 10:35am ET $49.43 183 $9,045.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 1:00pm ET $47.95 183 $8,773.94 $8,799.35 $-271.76
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 9:35am ET $49.51 177 $8,762.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 3:50pm ET $47.84 177 $8,467.68 $8,504.64 $-294.71
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 11:25am ET $49.86 170 $8,476.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET $48.25 170 $8,202.50 $8,230.92 $-273.72
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 11:50am ET $51.21 160 $8,193.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 10:20am ET $49.66 160 $7,945.62 $7,982.94 $-247.98
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.5h held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 3:25pm ET $51.29 155 $7,949.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $53.94 155 $8,360.70 $8,393.69 +$410.75
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $53.36 157 $8,377.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $56.42 157 $8,857.94 $8,874.11 +$480.42
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $55.55 159 $8,832.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $58.36 159 $9,279.24 $9,320.90 +$446.79
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.3d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $59.95 155 $9,292.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 12:40pm ET $57.79 155 $8,957.45 $8,986.10 $-334.80
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 10:35am ET $56.15 160 $8,984.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $50.19 160 $8,030.56 $8,032.50 $-953.60
(-10.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 10:10am ET $47.43 169 $8,015.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 11:15am ET $46.00 169 $7,774.00 $7,790.83 $-241.67
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 10:00am ET $43.92 177 $7,773.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 1:30pm ET $42.58 177 $7,535.78 $7,552.77 $-238.06
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13.1d held
12 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 10:35am ET $40.05 188 $7,529.40 — — —
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:50am ET $38.80 188 $7,294.40 $7,317.77 $-235.00
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 9:50am ET $37.77 193 $7,289.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 11:25am ET $39.76 193 $7,673.68 $7,701.84 +$384.07
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.6h held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 1:30pm ET $39.60 194 $7,682.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 11:00am ET $38.31 194 $7,432.14 $7,451.58 $-250.26
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.5h held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 11:00am ET $36.52 204 $7,450.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:30pm ET $38.39 204 $7,831.56 $7,833.06 +$381.48
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 10:50am ET $38.18 205 $7,827.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 12:55pm ET $37.03 205 $7,591.15 $7,597.10 $-235.96
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.1d held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 10:15am ET $36.74 206 $7,568.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 10:15am ET $37.47 206 $7,718.86 $7,747.52 +$150.42
(+2.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
18 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 9:50am ET $38.78 199 $7,717.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $37.58 199 $7,478.42 $7,508.72 $-238.80
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 10:15am ET $36.23 207 $7,499.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 9:35am ET $35.10 207 $7,265.68 $7,274.79 $-233.93
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
20 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:35am ET $34.86 208 $7,251.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 3:10pm ET $36.70 208 $7,633.60 $7,657.16 +$382.37
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,657.16
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,342.84
Total Return: -23.43%
Back to Danny Dip