Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 19:34:13

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
22.4 oversold
20d Trend
-22.6%
5d Trend
-9.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.7%
ATR%
4.9%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 82%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 5.0/100
× Confidence 0.82 = 4.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (82%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,600
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$9,043.04
Current Value
$9,289.67
Period P&L
$246.65
Max Drawdown
-24.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.09

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
4 / 5
Best Trade
+6.45%
Worst Trade
-3.51%
Avg Trade Return
+0.37%
Avg Hold Time
7.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$163,149.23
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$246.65
Net P&L (after fees)
$246.65
Gross Return
+2.73%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.73%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 UNH Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $9,043.04 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 10:25am ET $340.05 26 $8,841.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 9:40am ET $328.11 26 $8,530.86 $8,732.58 $-310.44
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET $289.19 30 $8,675.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 12:25pm ET $280.12 30 $8,403.69 $8,460.57 $-272.01
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 10:05am ET $274.91 30 $8,247.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 9:40am ET $292.65 30 $8,779.50 $8,992.77 +$532.20
(+6.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:50am ET $285.61 31 $8,854.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 10:50am ET $287.87 31 $8,923.97 $9,062.68 +$69.91
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 11:00am ET $345.62 26 $8,986.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 10:45am ET $362.95 26 $9,436.70 $9,513.26 +$450.58
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
6 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 10:20am ET $376.64 25 $9,416.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:45am ET $398.46 25 $9,961.50 $10,058.76 +$545.50
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
9d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 10:20am ET $439.45 22 $9,667.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 2:50pm ET $425.05 22 $9,351.21 $9,742.18 $-316.58
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.5h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 9:40am ET $413.10 23 $9,501.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 9:40am ET $405.53 23 $9,327.19 $9,568.07 $-174.11
(-1.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:45am ET $385.90 24 $9,261.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 9:40am ET $374.30 24 $8,983.32 $9,289.67 $-278.40
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,289.67
Net Profit/Loss: $-710.33
Total Return: -7.10%
Back to Danny Dip