Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-21 13:54:44

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
74 overbought
20d Trend
+6.1%
5d Trend
+7.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.3%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

34
Lifetime
Confidence: 71%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
16.6/35
Total Return
12.7/25
Win Rate
7.5/15
Profit Factor
5.5/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality 48.1/100
× Confidence 0.71 = 34.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (71%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,588
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
122 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$12,136.25
Current Value
$13,275.61
Period P&L
$1,139.35
Max Drawdown
-6.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.47

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
3 / 2
Best Trade
+5.42%
Worst Trade
-3.19%
Avg Trade Return
+1.91%
Avg Hold Time
9.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$128,397.12
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,139.35
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,139.35
Gross Return
+9.39%
Net Return (after fees)
+9.39%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 WMT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 122 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $12,136.25 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 10:30am ET $117.84 102 $12,020.08
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 2:35pm ET $123.83 102 $12,631.17 $12,747.35 +$611.09
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
13.2d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 9:35am ET $122.10 104 $12,697.88
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 3:50pm ET $128.50 104 $13,364.00 $13,413.47 +$666.12
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.3d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 10:10am ET $123.68 108 $13,357.44
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 10:55am ET $119.94 108 $12,953.61 $13,009.64 $-403.83
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14d held
4 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $123.83 105 $13,002.15
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 9:55am ET $119.88 105 $12,587.40 $12,594.89 $-414.75
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
5 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 10:55am ET $115.15 109 $12,551.34
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 10:15am ET $121.39 109 $13,232.05 $13,275.61 +$680.72
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
13d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,275.61
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,275.61
Total Return: +32.76%
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