Compendium › Danny Dip › AXP
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AXP
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

2024-06-11 14:15:00+00 to 2026-09-24 19:55:00+00 • 30 trades executed

-10.85%
2 Years Return
$10,226.10
Current Value
40%
Win Rate
$11,470.62
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-24 18:27:27

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
44.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
+1.1%
EMA20 Dist
-0.8%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
55%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

10
Lifetime
Confidence: 81%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.4/35
Total Return
4.3/25
Win Rate
2.5/15
Profit Factor
0.2/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 12.9/100
× Confidence 0.81 = 10.4

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (81%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
43,926
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
521 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$11,470.62
Current Value
$10,226.10
Total P&L
$-1,244.53
Max Drawdown
-18.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.10

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
25
Winners / Losers
10 / 15
Best Trade
+8.72%
Worst Trade
-4.84%
Avg Trade Return
-0.39%
Avg Hold Time
6.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$522,186.18
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,244.53
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,244.53
Gross Return
-10.85%
Net Return (after fees)
-10.85%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AXP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 521 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $11,470.62 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 18, 2024 9:30am ET $272.11 42 $11,428.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 1, 2024 9:30am ET $272.53 42 $11,446.43 $11,488.65 +$18.02
(+0.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
2 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2024 3:35pm ET $291.26 39 $11,359.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2025 9:30am ET $297.91 39 $11,618.49 $11,748.00 +$259.35
(+2.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
14.7d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 24, 2025 9:55am ET $315.56 37 $11,675.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 7, 2025 9:55am ET $321.34 37 $11,889.66 $11,961.94 +$213.94
(+1.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2025 10:50am ET $307.58 38 $11,688.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 21, 2025 1:00pm ET $297.68 38 $11,311.84 $11,585.74 $-376.20
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
11.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2025 9:30am ET $286.44 40 $11,457.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2025 11:20am ET $277.82 40 $11,112.60 $11,240.94 $-344.80
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2025 9:35am ET $276.70 40 $11,067.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 7, 2025 10:30am ET $268.18 40 $10,727.20 $10,900.34 $-340.60
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2025 10:30am ET $264.11 41 $10,828.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2025 10:20am ET $256.19 41 $10,503.59 $10,575.41 $-324.93
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 28, 2025 10:25am ET $265.30 39 $10,346.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 3, 2025 9:35am ET $256.26 39 $9,994.14 $10,222.85 $-352.56
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 4, 2025 9:35am ET $233.68 43 $10,048.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $223.71 43 $9,619.53 $9,794.14 $-428.71
(-4.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 1:30pm ET $232.87 42 $9,780.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2025 1:20pm ET $247.00 42 $10,374.00 $10,387.60 +$593.46
(+6.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2025 9:30am ET $247.13 42 $10,379.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2025 1:00pm ET $239.62 42 $10,063.94 $10,072.08 $-315.53
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.5h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2025 9:40am ET $259.20 38 $9,849.60 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2025 11:25am ET $272.20 38 $10,343.60 $10,566.08 +$494.00
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 13, 2025 10:25am ET $288.31 36 $10,379.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2025 9:30am ET $302.83 36 $10,901.88 $11,088.79 +$522.72
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
11d held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 18, 2025 9:30am ET $306.19 36 $11,022.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET $291.38 36 $10,489.50 $10,555.45 $-533.34
(-4.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
14d held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 30, 2025 10:30am ET $332.28 31 $10,300.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 11:30am ET $321.56 31 $9,968.36 $10,223.13 $-332.32
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
10d held
16 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $356.31 28 $9,976.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 2:05pm ET $345.47 28 $9,673.02 $9,919.61 $-303.52
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held
17 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $359.55 27 $9,707.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET $364.26 27 $9,834.89 $10,046.65 +$127.04
(+1.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
18 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 9:45am ET $347.25 28 $9,722.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $360.03 28 $10,080.84 $10,404.63 +$357.98
(+3.7%) 		📅 Sim Ended
10.3d held
19 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 9:55am ET $333.54 31 $10,339.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 10:35am ET $321.82 31 $9,976.42 $10,041.47 $-363.16
(-3.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
20 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET $320.53 31 $9,936.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 12:15pm ET $310.81 31 $9,635.11 $9,740.15 $-301.32
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held
21 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $297.35 32 $9,515.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 10:30am ET $292.73 32 $9,367.36 $9,592.31 $-147.84
(-1.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:40am ET $294.02 32 $9,408.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $319.66 32 $10,229.12 $10,412.63 +$820.32
(+8.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6d held
23 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 9:35am ET $341.89 30 $10,256.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 10:10am ET $359.41 30 $10,782.30 $10,938.23 +$525.60
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6d held
24 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 10:05am ET $338.56 32 $10,833.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 9:30am ET $326.17 32 $10,437.44 $10,541.75 $-396.48
(-3.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.4h held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:40am ET $315.31 33 $10,405.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 3:15pm ET $305.74 33 $10,089.58 $10,226.10 $-315.65
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,226.10
Net Profit/Loss: +$226.10
Total Return: +2.26%
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