Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:19:44

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
36.8 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
-5.4%
EMA20 Dist
-4.3%
ATR%
2.6%
Range Pos
26%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

47
Lifetime
Confidence: 77%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
23.2/35
Total Return
14.9/25
Win Rate
7.8/15
Profit Factor
8.3/15
Consistency
6.5/10
Raw Quality 60.7/100
× Confidence 0.77 = 47.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (77%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
40,967
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
513 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$11,508.68
Current Value
$16,049.01
Total P&L
$4,540.33
Max Drawdown
-9.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.45

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
20
Winners / Losers
11 / 9
Best Trade
+6.02%
Worst Trade
-3.34%
Avg Trade Return
+1.83%
Avg Hold Time
5.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$529,855.42
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,540.33
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,540.33
Gross Return
+39.45%
Net Return (after fees)
+39.45%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BLK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 513 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $11,508.68 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2024 10:05am ET $1,006.77 11 $11,074.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2024 9:35am ET $1,060.59 11 $11,666.49 $12,100.71 +$592.02
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 10, 2025 10:40am ET $956.09 12 $11,473.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2025 9:30am ET $1,013.69 12 $12,164.22 $12,791.85 +$691.14
(+6.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2025 9:35am ET $1,046.75 12 $12,561.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2025 11:50am ET $1,015.00 12 $12,180.00 $12,410.85 $-381.00
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2025 9:30am ET $944.30 13 $12,275.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2025 9:30am ET $912.73 13 $11,865.43 $12,000.44 $-410.41
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2025 10:50am ET $920.45 13 $11,965.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 3, 2025 3:15pm ET $891.72 13 $11,592.36 $11,626.95 $-373.49
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $787.28 14 $11,021.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 10:10am ET $829.78 14 $11,616.92 $12,221.95 +$595.00
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
42m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 11:10am ET $825.64 14 $11,558.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2025 1:30pm ET $873.37 14 $12,227.18 $12,890.24 +$668.29
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2025 9:30am ET $1,058.91 12 $12,706.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 18, 2025 9:40am ET $1,115.82 12 $13,389.84 $13,573.16 +$682.92
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
9 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2025 10:00am ET $1,155.72 11 $12,712.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 15, 2025 9:45am ET $1,214.96 11 $13,364.56 $14,224.80 +$651.64
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 10:20am ET $1,080.74 13 $14,049.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET $1,144.81 13 $14,882.53 $15,057.77 +$832.98
(+5.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:50am ET $1,131.96 13 $14,715.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 9:50am ET $1,116.23 13 $14,510.99 $14,853.28 $-204.49
(-1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 10:15am ET $1,068.14 13 $13,885.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $1,033.78 13 $13,439.14 $14,406.60 $-446.68
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $992.66 14 $13,897.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 10:30am ET $960.20 14 $13,442.73 $13,952.02 $-454.58
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 10:30am ET $922.30 15 $13,834.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 10:35am ET $971.47 15 $14,572.05 $14,689.57 +$737.55
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:35am ET $956.54 15 $14,348.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:35am ET $956.04 15 $14,340.64 $14,682.11 $-7.46
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
16 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 10:55am ET $1,052.48 13 $13,682.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 10:45am ET $1,020.50 13 $13,266.50 $14,266.37 $-415.74
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13d held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET $991.68 14 $13,883.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 11:25am ET $1,041.30 14 $14,578.20 $14,961.05 +$694.68
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
9.1d held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 9:45am ET $985.81 15 $14,787.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 10:00am ET $955.60 15 $14,334.00 $14,507.90 $-453.15
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
19 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET $1,073.55 13 $13,956.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 3:35pm ET $1,127.32 13 $14,655.16 $15,206.91 +$699.01
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.3d held
20 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 3:20pm ET $1,019.06 14 $14,266.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $1,079.21 14 $15,108.94 $16,049.01 +$842.10
(+5.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,049.01
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,049.01
Total Return: +60.49%
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