Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 03:50:36

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
19.3 oversold
20d Trend
-26.5%
5d Trend
-29.8%
EMA20 Dist
-27.1%
ATR%
8.2%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

6
Lifetime
Confidence: 94%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
1.7/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 6.9/100
× Confidence 0.94 = 6.4

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (94%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
210,335
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-25 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
731 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$8,717.16
Current Value
$7,810.84
Total P&L
$-1,120.26
Max Drawdown
-38.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.09

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
62
Winners / Losers
28 / 34
Best Trade
+6.61%
Worst Trade
-6.79%
Avg Trade Return
+0.36%
Avg Hold Time
1.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$1,004,694.24
Estimated Fees
$2,511.74
Gross P&L
$-1,120.26
Net P&L (after fees)
$-3,632.00
Gross Return
-12.85%
Net Return (after fees)
-41.66%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BTCUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 731 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $8,717.16 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 15, 2024 10:40am ET $65,573.38 0 $8,717.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 18, 2024 12:40pm ET $68,856.49 0 $9,153.59 $9,108.91 +$391.77
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2024 7:15pm ET $86,688.00 0 $9,108.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2024 9:45am ET $91,050.69 0 $9,567.33 $9,520.64 +$411.73
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.6d held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2024 2:15pm ET $90,400.60 0 $9,520.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2024 3:55pm ET $87,550.16 0 $9,220.44 $9,173.59 $-347.05
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2024 5:25pm ET $93,768.00 0 $9,173.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2024 8:45pm ET $98,540.00 0 $9,640.45 $9,593.41 +$419.82
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2024 11:35am ET $94,868.00 0 $9,593.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2024 9:55am ET $99,627.06 0 $10,074.67 $10,025.50 +$432.08
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2024 3:15pm ET $101,290.00 0 $10,025.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2024 12:50pm ET $97,776.00 0 $9,677.69 $9,628.43 $-397.07
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.6h held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2024 1:05pm ET $97,939.11 0 $9,628.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 20, 2024 4:05am ET $95,000.00 0 $9,339.48 $9,292.07 $-336.36
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15h held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 20, 2024 4:10am ET $94,963.54 0 $9,292.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 25, 2024 7:00pm ET $99,719.63 0 $9,757.44 $9,709.82 +$417.75
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.6d held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2024 4:50pm ET $91,803.57 0 $9,709.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2025 4:15am ET $96,560.00 0 $10,212.89 $10,163.09 +$453.27
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.5d held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2025 10:35am ET $97,705.96 0 $10,163.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2025 6:35am ET $94,613.60 0 $9,841.43 $9,791.42 $-371.67
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20h held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 19, 2025 5:00pm ET $102,922.49 0 $9,791.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 19, 2025 6:35pm ET $99,545.32 0 $9,470.13 $9,421.98 $-369.44
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 19, 2025 7:00pm ET $100,767.71 0 $9,421.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2025 1:45am ET $106,042.80 0 $9,915.21 $9,866.87 +$444.89
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.8h held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2025 11:10am ET $104,387.31 0 $9,866.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2025 12:40pm ET $100,700.00 0 $9,518.34 $9,469.87 $-396.99
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2025 12:45pm ET $102,184.80 0 $9,469.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2025 1:40am ET $99,049.49 0 $9,179.31 $9,132.69 $-337.18
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.5d held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2025 8:40pm ET $94,080.54 0 $9,132.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2025 10:40am ET $98,815.18 0 $9,592.30 $9,545.48 +$412.79
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
14h held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2025 2:30am ET $89,000.00 0 $9,545.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2025 10:30am ET $86,068.77 0 $9,231.10 $9,184.16 $-361.32
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8h held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2025 1:35pm ET $83,490.39 0 $9,184.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2025 9:30pm ET $80,251.83 0 $8,827.91 $8,782.88 $-401.28
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3d held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2025 9:35pm ET $80,885.00 0 $8,782.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 28, 2025 3:20am ET $78,405.25 0 $8,513.62 $8,470.38 $-312.50
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8h held
19 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2025 9:50am ET $90,147.72 0 $8,470.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2025 1:35pm ET $86,904.12 0 $8,165.60 $8,124.01 $-346.36
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held
20 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2025 1:40pm ET $87,238.82 0 $8,124.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2025 8:35pm ET $84,293.91 0 $7,849.77 $7,809.84 $-314.18
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9h held
21 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2025 8:40pm ET $83,489.59 0 $7,809.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2025 2:00pm ET $87,672.00 0 $8,201.07 $8,161.04 +$351.21
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
17.3h held
22 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2025 7:20pm ET $87,350.02 0 $8,161.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2025 8:05am ET $84,297.03 0 $7,875.81 $7,835.71 $-325.33
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5d held
23 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2025 10:00am ET $80,709.61 0 $7,835.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2025 2:05pm ET $78,233.28 0 $7,595.30 $7,556.72 $-278.99
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1h held
24 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2025 8:30pm ET $77,014.42 0 $7,556.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2025 4:25am ET $80,919.79 0 $7,939.92 $7,901.18 +$344.46
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.9h held
25 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2025 11:05am ET $80,890.23 0 $7,901.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 14, 2025 11:25am ET $84,939.37 0 $8,296.69 $8,256.19 +$355.02
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2025 5:00pm ET $85,309.37 0 $8,256.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2025 6:40pm ET $82,689.82 0 $8,002.68 $7,962.03 $-294.17
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held
27 🟢 BUY Apr 4, 2025 7:20am ET $82,082.16 0 $7,962.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2025 2:35pm ET $79,538.02 0 $7,715.24 $7,676.05 $-285.98
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3d held
28 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2025 2:40pm ET $79,142.04 0 $7,676.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 12:40am ET $76,756.57 0 $7,444.68 $7,406.88 $-269.17
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10h held
29 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 2:50am ET $74,608.90 0 $7,406.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 10:10am ET $79,539.86 0 $7,896.41 $7,858.15 +$451.27
(+6.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.3h held
30 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 11:10am ET $77,793.21 0 $7,858.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2025 9:10pm ET $75,265.13 0 $7,602.78 $7,564.13 $-294.02
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4d held
31 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2025 11:45am ET $78,658.01 0 $7,564.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 11, 2025 6:15am ET $82,697.38 0 $7,952.57 $7,913.78 +$349.65
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.5h held
32 🟢 BUY May 21, 2025 1:50pm ET $106,316.94 0 $7,913.78 — — —
🔴 SELL May 21, 2025 11:45pm ET $111,744.79 0 $8,317.81 $8,277.23 +$363.45
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
9.9h held
33 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2025 10:20am ET $99,668.95 0 $8,277.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2025 6:05pm ET $105,138.00 0 $8,731.42 $8,688.90 +$411.67
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.3d held
34 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 5:10pm ET $112,340.00 0 $8,688.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 5:15pm ET $104,710.00 0 $8,098.76 $8,056.79 $-632.11
(-6.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
35 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 5:20pm ET $108,750.00 0 $8,056.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 7:35pm ET $114,440.00 0 $8,478.33 $8,436.99 +$380.21
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.3h held
36 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 11:35am ET $89,501.50 0 $8,436.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 12:30pm ET $86,727.70 0 $8,175.52 $8,133.99 $-303.01
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
37 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 12:35pm ET $86,799.00 0 $8,133.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 2:30am ET $83,481.00 0 $7,823.06 $7,783.16 $-350.82
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13.9h held
38 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 11:00am ET $82,685.00 0 $7,783.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 23, 2025 7:25am ET $86,947.00 0 $8,184.35 $8,144.43 +$361.26
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
39 🟢 BUY Nov 30, 2025 7:25pm ET $88,373.50 0 $8,144.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 7:30am ET $85,689.60 0 $7,897.08 $7,856.98 $-287.45
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12.1h held
40 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 11:40am ET $88,399.90 0 $7,856.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 11:00am ET $93,042.90 0 $8,269.65 $8,229.33 +$372.35
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
41 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 11:00am ET $89,716.00 0 $8,229.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 10:15am ET $87,012.10 0 $7,981.31 $7,940.78 $-288.55
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
42 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 10:20am ET $86,680.30 0 $7,940.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 10:20am ET $87,711.00 0 $8,035.21 $7,995.27 +$54.48
(+1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
43 🟢 BUY Jan 18, 2026 7:10pm ET $92,432.30 0 $7,995.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 1:35pm ET $89,568.00 0 $7,747.51 $7,708.15 $-287.11
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
44 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 12:10pm ET $87,354.00 0 $7,708.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 10:40am ET $84,467.75 0 $7,453.47 $7,415.56 $-292.59
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held
45 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 10:45am ET $84,491.00 0 $7,415.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 8:40pm ET $81,899.82 0 $7,188.14 $7,151.63 $-263.93
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9.9h held
46 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 8:45pm ET $81,877.98 0 $7,151.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 31, 2026 12:05pm ET $79,357.65 0 $6,931.50 $6,896.29 $-255.35
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6d held
47 🟢 BUY Jan 31, 2026 12:10pm ET $78,722.21 0 $6,896.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 1, 2026 6:05pm ET $75,923.85 0 $6,651.14 $6,617.27 $-279.01
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
48 🟢 BUY Feb 1, 2026 10:25pm ET $75,030.00 0 $6,617.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 10:35am ET $79,006.64 0 $6,967.99 $6,934.03 +$316.76
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
12.2h held
49 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 12:10pm ET $75,620.02 0 $6,934.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 1:45pm ET $73,208.30 0 $6,712.89 $6,678.77 $-255.26
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held
50 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 1:50pm ET $73,097.99 0 $6,678.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 4:00pm ET $76,839.74 0 $7,020.64 $6,986.40 +$307.63
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.2h held
51 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET $67,872.75 0 $6,986.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 1:15pm ET $65,677.00 0 $6,760.38 $6,726.01 $-260.38
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1h held
52 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 1:20pm ET $65,890.21 0 $6,726.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 3:25pm ET $63,743.50 0 $6,506.88 $6,473.79 $-252.22
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held
53 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 3:30pm ET $63,623.00 0 $6,473.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 7:05pm ET $61,345.00 0 $6,242.00 $6,210.21 $-263.58
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.6h held
54 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 7:10pm ET $60,285.00 0 $6,210.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 7:50pm ET $63,737.88 0 $6,565.91 $6,533.97 +$323.76
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
42m held
55 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 2:05am ET $64,680.80 0 $6,533.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 9:35am ET $67,982.79 0 $6,867.53 $6,834.03 +$300.06
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.5h held
56 🟢 BUY Feb 7, 2026 1:55am ET $68,749.00 0 $6,834.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:40am ET $69,280.40 0 $6,886.85 $6,852.55 +$18.52
(+0.8%)
📅 Sim Ended
3d held
57 🟢 BUY Feb 22, 2026 8:10pm ET $65,480.00 0 $6,852.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 10:50pm ET $63,502.70 0 $6,645.62 $6,645.62 $-240.67
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
58 🟢 BUY Feb 28, 2026 1:55am ET $63,403.80 0 $6,645.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 28, 2026 2:40pm ET $66,591.90 0 $6,979.78 $6,979.78 +$300.09
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
12.8h held
59 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 10:05pm ET $61,415.80 0 $6,979.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 12:15am ET $64,552.10 0 $7,336.21 $7,336.21 +$320.64
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.2h held
60 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 2:25am ET $61,451.60 0 $7,336.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 2:55pm ET $59,200.70 0 $7,067.49 $7,067.49 $-304.73
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12.5h held
61 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 9:50am ET $59,436.40 0 $7,067.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 3, 2026 4:20pm ET $62,533.20 0 $7,435.73 $7,435.73 +$331.98
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
8.3d held
62 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 12:25pm ET $77,086.10 0 $7,435.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET $80,974.90 0 $7,810.84 $7,810.84 +$337.00
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,810.84
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,189.16
Total Return: -21.89%
Back to Danny Dip