BTCUSD Danny Dip's Analysis
2024-01-03 11:55:00+00 to 2026-09-25 04:20:00+00 • 108 trades executed
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
Quality Components
30-Day Momentum
Data Transparency
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Trade Statistics
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker).
This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 BTCUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $8,717.16 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 15, 2024 10:40am ET | $65,573.38 | 0 | $8,717.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 18, 2024 12:40pm ET | $68,856.49 | 0 | $9,153.59 | $9,108.91 |
+$391.77 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2024 7:15pm ET | $86,688.00 | 0 | $9,108.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2024 9:45am ET | $91,050.69 | 0 | $9,567.33 | $9,520.64 |
+$411.73 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.6d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2024 2:15pm ET | $90,400.60 | 0 | $9,520.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2024 3:55pm ET | $87,550.16 | 0 | $9,220.44 | $9,173.59 |
$-347.05 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 5, 2024 5:25pm ET | $93,768.00 | 0 | $9,173.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2024 8:45pm ET | $98,540.00 | 0 | $9,640.45 | $9,593.41 |
+$419.82 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.3h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2024 11:35am ET | $94,868.00 | 0 | $9,593.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2024 9:55am ET | $99,627.06 | 0 | $10,074.67 | $10,025.50 |
+$432.08 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.3h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2024 3:15pm ET | $101,290.00 | 0 | $10,025.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2024 12:50pm ET | $97,776.00 | 0 | $9,677.69 | $9,628.43 |
$-397.07 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.6h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2024 1:05pm ET | $97,939.11 | 0 | $9,628.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 20, 2024 4:05am ET | $95,000.00 | 0 | $9,339.48 | $9,292.07 |
$-336.36 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 20, 2024 4:10am ET | $94,963.54 | 0 | $9,292.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 25, 2024 7:00pm ET | $99,719.63 | 0 | $9,757.44 | $9,709.82 |
+$417.75 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.6d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2024 4:50pm ET | $91,803.57 | 0 | $9,709.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2025 4:15am ET | $96,560.00 | 0 | $10,212.89 | $10,163.09 |
+$453.27 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.5d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2025 10:35am ET | $97,705.96 | 0 | $10,163.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2025 6:35am ET | $94,613.60 | 0 | $9,841.43 | $9,791.42 |
$-371.67 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 19, 2025 5:00pm ET | $102,922.49 | 0 | $9,791.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 19, 2025 6:35pm ET | $99,545.32 | 0 | $9,470.13 | $9,421.98 |
$-369.44 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 19, 2025 7:00pm ET | $100,767.71 | 0 | $9,421.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2025 1:45am ET | $106,042.80 | 0 | $9,915.21 | $9,866.87 |
+$444.89 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.8h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2025 11:10am ET | $104,387.31 | 0 | $9,866.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2025 12:40pm ET | $100,700.00 | 0 | $9,518.34 | $9,469.87 |
$-396.99 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2025 12:45pm ET | $102,184.80 | 0 | $9,469.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2025 1:40am ET | $99,049.49 | 0 | $9,179.31 | $9,132.69 |
$-337.18 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.5d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2025 8:40pm ET | $94,080.54 | 0 | $9,132.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2025 10:40am ET | $98,815.18 | 0 | $9,592.30 | $9,545.48 |
+$412.79 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
14h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2025 2:30am ET | $89,000.00 | 0 | $9,545.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2025 10:30am ET | $86,068.77 | 0 | $9,231.10 | $9,184.16 |
$-361.32 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2025 1:35pm ET | $83,490.39 | 0 | $9,184.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2025 9:30pm ET | $80,251.83 | 0 | $8,827.91 | $8,782.88 |
$-401.28 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2025 9:35pm ET | $80,885.00 | 0 | $8,782.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 28, 2025 3:20am ET | $78,405.25 | 0 | $8,513.62 | $8,470.38 |
$-312.50 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2025 9:50am ET | $90,147.72 | 0 | $8,470.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2025 1:35pm ET | $86,904.12 | 0 | $8,165.60 | $8,124.01 |
$-346.36 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2025 1:40pm ET | $87,238.82 | 0 | $8,124.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2025 8:35pm ET | $84,293.91 | 0 | $7,849.77 | $7,809.84 |
$-314.18 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2025 8:40pm ET | $83,489.59 | 0 | $7,809.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2025 2:00pm ET | $87,672.00 | 0 | $8,201.07 | $8,161.04 |
+$351.21 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
17.3h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2025 7:20pm ET | $87,350.02 | 0 | $8,161.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2025 8:05am ET | $84,297.03 | 0 | $7,875.81 | $7,835.71 |
$-325.33 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2025 10:00am ET | $80,709.61 | 0 | $7,835.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2025 2:05pm ET | $78,233.28 | 0 | $7,595.30 | $7,556.72 |
$-278.99 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2025 8:30pm ET | $77,014.42 | 0 | $7,556.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2025 4:25am ET | $80,919.79 | 0 | $7,939.92 | $7,901.18 |
+$344.46 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.9h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2025 11:05am ET | $80,890.23 | 0 | $7,901.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 14, 2025 11:25am ET | $84,939.37 | 0 | $8,296.69 | $8,256.19 |
+$355.02 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2025 5:00pm ET | $85,309.37 | 0 | $8,256.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2025 6:40pm ET | $82,689.82 | 0 | $8,002.68 | $7,962.03 |
$-294.17 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 4, 2025 7:20am ET | $82,082.16 | 0 | $7,962.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2025 2:35pm ET | $79,538.02 | 0 | $7,715.24 | $7,676.05 |
$-285.98 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2025 2:40pm ET | $79,142.04 | 0 | $7,676.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2025 12:40am ET | $76,756.57 | 0 | $7,444.68 | $7,406.88 |
$-269.17 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2025 2:50am ET | $74,608.90 | 0 | $7,406.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2025 10:10am ET | $79,539.86 | 0 | $7,896.41 | $7,858.15 |
+$451.27 (+6.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.3h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2025 11:10am ET | $77,793.21 | 0 | $7,858.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2025 9:10pm ET | $75,265.13 | 0 | $7,602.78 | $7,564.13 |
$-294.02 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2025 11:45am ET | $78,658.01 | 0 | $7,564.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 11, 2025 6:15am ET | $82,697.38 | 0 | $7,952.57 | $7,913.78 |
+$349.65 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.5h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2025 1:50pm ET | $106,316.94 | 0 | $7,913.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2025 11:45pm ET | $111,744.79 | 0 | $8,317.81 | $8,277.23 |
+$363.45 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9.9h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2025 10:20am ET | $99,668.95 | 0 | $8,277.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2025 6:05pm ET | $105,138.00 | 0 | $8,731.42 | $8,688.90 |
+$411.67 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.3d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 10, 2025 5:10pm ET | $112,340.00 | 0 | $8,688.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 5:15pm ET | $104,710.00 | 0 | $8,098.76 | $8,056.79 |
$-632.11 (-6.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 10, 2025 5:20pm ET | $108,750.00 | 0 | $8,056.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 7:35pm ET | $114,440.00 | 0 | $8,478.33 | $8,436.99 |
+$380.21 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.3h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 11:35am ET | $89,501.50 | 0 | $8,436.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 12:30pm ET | $86,727.70 | 0 | $8,175.52 | $8,133.99 |
$-303.01 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 12:35pm ET | $86,799.00 | 0 | $8,133.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 2:30am ET | $83,481.00 | 0 | $7,823.06 | $7,783.16 |
$-350.82 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
13.9h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 11:00am ET | $82,685.00 | 0 | $7,783.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 23, 2025 7:25am ET | $86,947.00 | 0 | $8,184.35 | $8,144.43 |
+$361.26 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 30, 2025 7:25pm ET | $88,373.50 | 0 | $8,144.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 7:30am ET | $85,689.60 | 0 | $7,897.08 | $7,856.98 |
$-287.45 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12.1h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 5, 2025 11:40am ET | $88,399.90 | 0 | $7,856.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2025 11:00am ET | $93,042.90 | 0 | $8,269.65 | $8,229.33 |
+$372.35 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 11:00am ET | $89,716.00 | 0 | $8,229.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 10:15am ET | $87,012.10 | 0 | $7,981.31 | $7,940.78 |
$-288.55 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 10:20am ET | $86,680.30 | 0 | $7,940.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 29, 2025 10:20am ET | $87,711.00 | 0 | $8,035.21 | $7,995.27 |
+$54.48 (+1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 18, 2026 7:10pm ET | $92,432.30 | 0 | $7,995.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 1:35pm ET | $89,568.00 | 0 | $7,747.51 | $7,708.15 |
$-287.11 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 12:10pm ET | $87,354.00 | 0 | $7,708.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 10:40am ET | $84,467.75 | 0 | $7,453.47 | $7,415.56 |
$-292.59 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 10:45am ET | $84,491.00 | 0 | $7,415.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 8:40pm ET | $81,899.82 | 0 | $7,188.14 | $7,151.63 |
$-263.93 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
9.9h held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 8:45pm ET | $81,877.98 | 0 | $7,151.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 31, 2026 12:05pm ET | $79,357.65 | 0 | $6,931.50 | $6,896.29 |
$-255.35 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6d held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 31, 2026 12:10pm ET | $78,722.21 | 0 | $6,896.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 1, 2026 6:05pm ET | $75,923.85 | 0 | $6,651.14 | $6,617.27 |
$-279.01 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 1, 2026 10:25pm ET | $75,030.00 | 0 | $6,617.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 10:35am ET | $79,006.64 | 0 | $6,967.99 | $6,934.03 |
+$316.76 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
12.2h held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 12:10pm ET | $75,620.02 | 0 | $6,934.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 1:45pm ET | $73,208.30 | 0 | $6,712.89 | $6,678.77 |
$-255.26 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 1:50pm ET | $73,097.99 | 0 | $6,678.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 4:00pm ET | $76,839.74 | 0 | $7,020.64 | $6,986.40 |
+$307.63 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.2h held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET | $67,872.75 | 0 | $6,986.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 1:15pm ET | $65,677.00 | 0 | $6,760.38 | $6,726.01 |
$-260.38 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1h held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 1:20pm ET | $65,890.21 | 0 | $6,726.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 3:25pm ET | $63,743.50 | 0 | $6,506.88 | $6,473.79 |
$-252.22 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held |
|
| 53 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 3:30pm ET | $63,623.00 | 0 | $6,473.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 7:05pm ET | $61,345.00 | 0 | $6,242.00 | $6,210.21 |
$-263.58 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.6h held |
|
| 54 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 7:10pm ET | $60,285.00 | 0 | $6,210.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 7:50pm ET | $63,737.88 | 0 | $6,565.91 | $6,533.97 |
+$323.76 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
42m held |
|
| 55 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 2:05am ET | $64,680.80 | 0 | $6,533.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $67,982.79 | 0 | $6,867.53 | $6,834.03 |
+$300.06 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.5h held |
|
| 56 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 7, 2026 1:55am ET | $68,749.00 | 0 | $6,834.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:40am ET | $69,280.40 | 0 | $6,886.85 | $6,852.55 |
+$18.52 (+0.8%) |
📅 Sim Ended
3d held |
|
| 57 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 22, 2026 8:10pm ET | $65,480.00 | 0 | $6,852.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 10:50pm ET | $63,502.70 | 0 | $6,645.62 | $6,645.62 |
$-240.67 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 58 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 28, 2026 1:55am ET | $63,403.80 | 0 | $6,645.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 28, 2026 2:40pm ET | $66,591.90 | 0 | $6,979.78 | $6,979.78 |
+$300.09 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
12.8h held |
|
| 59 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 10:05pm ET | $61,415.80 | 0 | $6,979.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 12:15am ET | $64,552.10 | 0 | $7,336.21 | $7,336.21 |
+$320.64 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.2h held |
|
| 60 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 2:25am ET | $61,451.60 | 0 | $7,336.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 2:55pm ET | $59,200.70 | 0 | $7,067.49 | $7,067.49 |
$-304.73 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12.5h held |
|
| 61 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 9:50am ET | $59,436.40 | 0 | $7,067.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 3, 2026 4:20pm ET | $62,533.20 | 0 | $7,435.73 | $7,435.73 |
+$331.98 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8.3d held |
|
| 62 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 12:25pm ET | $77,086.10 | 0 | $7,435.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET | $80,974.90 | 0 | $7,810.84 | $7,810.84 |
+$337.00 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |