Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 18:59:52

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
43.2 neutral
20d Trend
-4.5%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-2.7%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
74%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

39
Lifetime
Confidence: 81%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
16.9/35
Total Return
14.9/25
Win Rate
5.3/15
Profit Factor
5.2/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality 47.9/100
× Confidence 0.81 = 38.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (81%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
74,612
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
536 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$11,274.26
Current Value
$16,113.43
Total P&L
$4,839.17
Max Drawdown
-12.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.33

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
29
Winners / Losers
16 / 13
Best Trade
+6.70%
Worst Trade
-4.00%
Avg Trade Return
+1.33%
Avg Hold Time
4.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$764,887.86
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,839.17
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,839.17
Gross Return
+42.92%
Net Return (after fees)
+42.92%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GOOGL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 536 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $11,274.26 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2024 9:30am ET $170.32 66 $11,241.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2024 10:35am ET $165.15 66 $10,899.90 $10,933.04 $-341.22
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held
2 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2024 3:40pm ET $188.01 58 $10,904.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2025 9:30am ET $189.09 58 $10,967.22 $10,995.68 +$62.64
(+0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
14.7d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2025 9:30am ET $193.54 56 $10,838.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 31, 2025 9:30am ET $203.29 56 $11,384.24 $11,541.68 +$546.00
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2025 9:30am ET $189.67 60 $11,380.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 7, 2025 12:15pm ET $183.65 60 $11,019.00 $11,180.33 $-361.35
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2025 9:30am ET $166.20 67 $11,135.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2025 9:45am ET $161.01 67 $10,787.67 $10,832.60 $-347.73
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 28, 2025 10:25am ET $157.99 68 $10,743.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2025 9:30am ET $152.01 68 $10,336.68 $10,425.96 $-406.64
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 3, 2025 9:30am ET $152.23 68 $10,351.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 4, 2025 10:40am ET $147.10 68 $10,002.80 $10,077.12 $-348.84
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 11:10am ET $144.12 69 $9,944.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2025 9:30am ET $151.39 69 $10,445.91 $10,578.75 +$501.63
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2025 12:25pm ET $150.56 70 $10,539.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2025 9:30am ET $160.65 70 $11,245.50 $11,285.05 +$706.30
(+6.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2025 10:35am ET $148.90 75 $11,167.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2025 9:45am ET $156.61 75 $11,745.75 $11,863.30 +$578.25
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
11 🟢 BUY May 7, 2025 10:50am ET $157.82 75 $11,836.13 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2025 11:30am ET $152.07 75 $11,405.25 $11,432.42 $-430.88
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
42m held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 20, 2025 10:45am ET $169.77 67 $11,374.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2025 9:30am ET $164.51 67 $11,022.06 $11,079.89 $-352.53
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
13 🟢 BUY Oct 21, 2025 11:00am ET $247.76 44 $10,901.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 24, 2025 10:00am ET $260.81 44 $11,475.64 $11,654.09 +$574.20
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
14 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 10:05am ET $277.06 42 $11,636.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 9:55am ET $290.92 42 $12,218.64 $12,236.09 +$581.99
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
15 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 9:40am ET $277.46 44 $12,208.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 9:35am ET $292.25 44 $12,859.00 $12,886.84 +$650.76
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
16 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 11:50am ET $296.62 43 $12,754.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 9:30am ET $314.96 43 $13,543.28 $13,675.46 +$788.62
(+6.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
17 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 11:05am ET $317.93 43 $13,670.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 11:05am ET $314.00 43 $13,501.85 $13,506.53 $-168.93
(-1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
18 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 10:40am ET $297.23 45 $13,375.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 9:35am ET $312.21 45 $14,049.29 $14,180.47 +$673.94
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
19 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 11:05am ET $311.88 45 $14,034.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 10:55am ET $327.80 45 $14,751.00 $14,897.10 +$716.63
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
20 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 10:30am ET $327.67 45 $14,745.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 10:15am ET $344.67 45 $15,510.15 $15,662.10 +$765.00
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
21 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $314.86 49 $15,428.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 3:05pm ET $330.95 49 $16,216.55 $16,450.51 +$788.41
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.6h held
22 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:00am ET $297.60 55 $16,368.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 10:40am ET $312.83 55 $17,205.65 $17,288.16 +$837.65
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
23 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 10:25am ET $303.11 57 $17,277.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 11:25am ET $301.37 57 $17,178.09 $17,188.98 $-99.18
(-0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $366.70 46 $16,868.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET $355.56 46 $16,355.85 $16,676.63 $-512.35
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9d held
25 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $357.91 46 $16,463.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 10:50am ET $347.16 46 $15,969.36 $16,182.13 $-494.50
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
26 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 2:25pm ET $360.64 44 $15,868.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $346.22 44 $15,233.77 $15,547.65 $-634.48
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.1h held
27 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $320.38 48 $15,378.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 1:00pm ET $336.56 48 $16,154.88 $16,324.29 +$776.64
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.1d held
28 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 12:05pm ET $365.45 44 $16,079.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 10:50am ET $354.15 44 $15,582.60 $15,827.31 $-496.98
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
29 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 10:25am ET $337.17 46 $15,509.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 10:25am ET $343.39 46 $15,795.94 $16,113.43 +$286.12
(+1.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,113.43
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,113.43
Total Return: +61.13%
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