GS Danny Dip's Analysis
2024-02-13 14:50:00+00 to 2026-09-24 19:55:00+00 • 36 trades executed
+22.50%
2 Years Return
$13,049.81
Current Value
48%
Win Rate
$10,652.80
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
36.7 neutral
20d Trend
-7.0%
5d Trend
-5.4%
EMA20 Dist
-4.4%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
59%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
26
Lifetime
Confidence: 80%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
6.4/35
Total Return
12.9/25
Win Rate
4.3/15
Profit Factor
3.0/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality
32.5/100
× Confidence 0.80
= 26.1
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (80%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
45,334
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
521 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$10,652.80
Current Value
$13,049.81
Total P&L
$2,397.01
Max Drawdown
-18.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.18
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
31
Winners / Losers
15 /
16
Best Trade
+8.41%
Worst Trade
-4.89%
Avg Trade Return
+0.77%
Avg Hold Time
5.1d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$676,692.81
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,397.01
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,397.01
Gross Return
+22.50%
Net Return (after fees)
+22.50%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 GS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 521 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $10,652.80 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2024 3:10pm ET | $557.24 | 19 | $10,587.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $579.24 | 19 | $11,005.56 | $11,070.80 |
+$418.00 (+4.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
14.8d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2025 10:10am ET | $569.05 | 19 | $10,811.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2025 9:30am ET | $598.51 | 19 | $11,371.60 | $11,630.44 |
+$559.65 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2025 10:05am ET | $650.46 | 17 | $11,057.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 21, 2025 1:15pm ET | $630.42 | 17 | $10,717.14 | $11,289.76 |
$-340.68 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2025 10:25am ET | $610.90 | 18 | $10,996.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $583.16 | 18 | $10,496.88 | $10,790.44 |
$-499.32 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $576.71 | 18 | $10,380.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 7, 2025 9:35am ET | $558.05 | 18 | $10,044.90 | $10,454.65 |
$-335.79 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2025 9:35am ET | $543.98 | 19 | $10,335.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2025 1:25pm ET | $527.32 | 19 | $10,019.08 | $10,138.21 |
$-316.45 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2025 9:35am ET | $555.53 | 18 | $9,999.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 28, 2025 1:05pm ET | $538.71 | 18 | $9,696.78 | $9,835.45 |
$-302.76 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $526.38 | 18 | $9,474.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 3, 2025 3:45pm ET | $510.10 | 18 | $9,181.71 | $9,542.41 |
$-293.04 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.3h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $449.72 | 21 | $9,444.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2025 10:10am ET | $475.48 | 21 | $9,984.98 | $10,083.26 |
+$540.86 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
42m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2025 11:10am ET | $474.42 | 21 | $9,962.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2025 3:10pm ET | $458.22 | 21 | $9,622.62 | $9,742.98 |
$-340.28 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $497.51 | 19 | $9,452.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2025 12:00pm ET | $481.73 | 19 | $9,152.87 | $9,443.16 |
$-299.82 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2025 9:40am ET | $533.44 | 17 | $9,068.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $566.28 | 17 | $9,626.76 | $10,001.44 |
+$558.28 (+6.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $702.86 | 14 | $9,840.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2025 10:05am ET | $739.00 | 14 | $10,346.00 | $10,507.40 |
+$505.96 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
11d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $723.00 | 14 | $10,122.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2025 11:10am ET | $760.25 | 14 | $10,643.50 | $11,028.90 |
+$521.50 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.1d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 10, 2025 11:30am ET | $765.07 | 14 | $10,710.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 24, 2025 11:30am ET | $780.88 | 14 | $10,932.32 | $11,250.24 |
+$221.34 (+2.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $781.30 | 14 | $10,938.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 10:35am ET | $755.35 | 14 | $10,574.86 | $10,886.91 |
$-363.34 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $926.06 | 11 | $10,186.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 1:00pm ET | $896.08 | 11 | $9,856.88 | $10,557.13 |
$-329.78 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12.1d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 10:15am ET | $898.39 | 11 | $9,882.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 11:50am ET | $870.00 | 11 | $9,570.00 | $10,244.84 |
$-312.29 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $836.25 | 12 | $10,035.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $811.00 | 12 | $9,732.00 | $9,941.84 |
$-303.00 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 9:35am ET | $799.00 | 12 | $9,588.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 10:00am ET | $839.59 | 12 | $10,075.08 | $10,428.92 |
+$487.08 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
11d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:40am ET | $835.00 | 12 | $10,020.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $905.24 | 12 | $10,862.88 | $11,271.80 |
+$842.88 (+8.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $874.20 | 12 | $10,490.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $919.58 | 12 | $11,034.96 | $11,816.41 |
+$544.61 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 9:40am ET | $944.19 | 12 | $11,330.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 9:55am ET | $993.72 | 12 | $11,924.64 | $12,410.77 |
+$594.36 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 9:50am ET | $1,038.00 | 11 | $11,418.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 12:20pm ET | $1,090.84 | 11 | $11,999.24 | $12,992.01 |
+$581.24 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 10:50am ET | $1,025.36 | 12 | $12,304.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,091.77 | 12 | $13,101.24 | $13,788.93 |
+$796.92 (+6.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $1,031.87 | 13 | $13,414.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $1,066.50 | 13 | $13,864.50 | $14,239.12 |
+$450.19 (+3.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 9:50am ET | $1,111.33 | 12 | $13,335.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,056.94 | 12 | $12,683.28 | $13,586.44 |
$-652.68 (-4.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 10:35am ET | $1,051.23 | 12 | $12,614.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 9:40am ET | $1,017.55 | 12 | $12,210.66 | $13,182.34 |
$-404.10 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.1h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 9:45am ET | $1,006.63 | 13 | $13,086.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 10:40am ET | $1,058.52 | 13 | $13,760.70 | $13,856.85 |
+$674.51 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 14, 2026 10:50am ET | $997.70 | 13 | $12,970.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 10:15am ET | $966.63 | 13 | $12,566.13 | $13,452.87 |
$-403.98 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.4h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 3:00pm ET | $949.16 | 14 | $13,288.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 9:45am ET | $920.37 | 14 | $12,885.18 | $13,049.81 |
$-403.06 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7.8d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$13,049.81
Net Profit/Loss:
+$3,049.81
Total Return:
+30.50%