Compendium › Danny Dip › MCD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MCD
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-09-24 19:55:00+00 • 8 trades executed

+5.31%
2 Years Return
$11,076.67
Current Value
60%
Win Rate
$10,518.54
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 19:38:34

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
71.6 overbought
20d Trend
+5.3%
5d Trend
+2.7%
EMA20 Dist
+2.8%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
87%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Sep 22, 2026

75
Lifetime
Confidence: 17%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
84.8/35
Total Return
52.8/25
Win Rate
97.8/15
Profit Factor
15.0/15
Consistency
93.5/10
Raw Quality 438.7/100
× Confidence 0.17 = 75.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (17%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
44,699
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
520 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,518.54
Current Value
$11,076.67
Total P&L
$558.13
Max Drawdown
-3.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.30

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
5
Winners / Losers
3 / 2
Best Trade
+5.14%
Worst Trade
-3.08%
Avg Trade Return
+1.11%
Avg Hold Time
6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$106,421.39
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$558.13
Net P&L (after fees)
$558.13
Gross Return
+5.31%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.31%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MCD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 520 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $10,518.54 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 23, 2024 9:30am ET $295.19 35 $10,331.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2024 9:30am ET $299.42 35 $10,479.70 $10,666.60 +$148.05
(+1.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2025 11:00am ET $307.75 34 $10,463.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2025 10:20am ET $298.31 34 $10,142.54 $10,345.81 $-320.79
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $293.58 35 $10,275.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 11, 2025 9:45am ET $308.66 35 $10,803.10 $10,873.78 +$527.98
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 9:35am ET $266.68 40 $10,667.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $280.36 40 $11,214.40 $11,420.98 +$547.20
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
11d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 9:40am ET $243.35 46 $11,194.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 12:00pm ET $235.87 46 $10,850.02 $11,076.67 $-344.31
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,076.67
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,076.67
Total Return: +10.77%
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