Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-24 18:43:13

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
47.3 neutral
20d Trend
+0.4%
5d Trend
+2.5%
EMA20 Dist
-0.1%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
31%
Bounce Ratio
2.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

7
Lifetime
Confidence: 51%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.7/35
Total Return
3.8/25
Win Rate
3.8/15
Profit Factor
0.3/15
Consistency
5.6/10
Raw Quality 14.0/100
× Confidence 0.51 = 7.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (51%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
46,566
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
525 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,505.83
Current Value
$10,183.19
Total P&L
$-322.65
Max Drawdown
-9.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.09

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
9
Winners / Losers
4 / 5
Best Trade
+5.47%
Worst Trade
-3.29%
Avg Trade Return
-0.32%
Avg Hold Time
5.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$174,168.75
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-322.65
Net P&L (after fees)
$-322.65
Gross Return
-3.07%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.07%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 V Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 525 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $10,505.83 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2024 9:30am ET $278.10 37 $10,289.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 25, 2024 10:00am ET $269.63 37 $9,976.31 $10,192.63 $-313.21
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2025 9:40am ET $342.83 29 $9,942.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2025 12:50pm ET $331.56 29 $9,615.24 $9,865.87 $-326.76
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 4, 2025 9:40am ET $330.36 29 $9,580.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 4, 2025 1:05pm ET $320.17 29 $9,284.93 $9,570.36 $-295.51
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.4h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 3:35pm ET $305.73 31 $9,477.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2025 1:20pm ET $322.45 31 $9,995.80 $10,088.68 +$518.32
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 13, 2025 9:30am ET $352.86 28 $9,880.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2025 12:25pm ET $342.21 28 $9,581.74 $9,790.34 $-298.34
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $338.61 28 $9,481.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 10:00am ET $328.10 28 $9,186.80 $9,496.06 $-294.28
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 10:30am ET $311.42 30 $9,342.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 11:30am ET $311.85 30 $9,355.50 $9,508.81 +$12.75
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 10:10am ET $295.22 32 $9,447.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:35am ET $310.20 32 $9,926.40 $9,988.17 +$479.36
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
12d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:55am ET $350.19 28 $9,805.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 9:55am ET $357.15 28 $10,000.34 $10,183.19 +$195.02
(+2.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,183.19
Net Profit/Loss: +$183.19
Total Return: +1.83%
Back to Danny Dip