Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 20:32:13

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
70 neutral
20d Trend
+11.0%
5d Trend
+2.0%
EMA20 Dist
+4.4%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
76%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Sep 18, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 46%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.7/35
Total Return
2.6/25
Win Rate
1.1/15
Profit Factor
0.1/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 9.0/100
× Confidence 0.46 = 4.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (46%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
55,690
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
533 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$9,612.95
Current Value
$10,105.09
Total P&L
$492.15
Max Drawdown
-4.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.13

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
11
Winners / Losers
5 / 6
Best Trade
+5.57%
Worst Trade
-4.24%
Avg Trade Return
+0.53%
Avg Hold Time
5.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$230,884.06
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$492.15
Net P&L (after fees)
$492.15
Gross Return
+5.12%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.12%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XLE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 533 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $9,612.95 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 8, 2024 9:50am ET $45.44 211 $9,587.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 22, 2024 9:50am ET $45.22 211 $9,540.37 $9,565.37 $-47.58
(-0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2025 9:55am ET $42.82 223 $9,547.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2025 9:30am ET $45.20 223 $10,078.49 $10,096.11 +$530.74
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
12.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 3, 2025 9:30am ET $44.96 224 $10,071.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 3, 2025 2:15pm ET $43.61 224 $9,768.08 $9,793.15 $-302.96
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $38.14 256 $9,762.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 10:10am ET $40.26 256 $10,306.56 $10,337.15 +$544.00
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
42m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 3:40pm ET $37.67 274 $10,320.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2025 1:20pm ET $39.64 274 $10,859.99 $10,876.93 +$539.78
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.7h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2025 9:30am ET $39.76 273 $10,854.48 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2025 9:30am ET $40.36 273 $11,016.92 $11,039.36 +$162.44
(+1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $58.02 190 $11,023.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 10:10am ET $61.10 190 $11,609.00 $11,624.56 +$585.20
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 1:15pm ET $60.48 192 $11,612.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 1:15pm ET $58.58 192 $11,247.36 $11,259.76 $-364.80
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $56.80 198 $11,246.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $54.39 198 $10,769.62 $10,782.98 $-476.78
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9d held
10 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $57.46 187 $10,745.02 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 9:30am ET $55.74 187 $10,422.45 $10,460.41 $-322.57
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $55.45 188 $10,424.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 9:40am ET $53.56 188 $10,069.28 $10,105.09 $-355.32
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,105.09
Net Profit/Loss: +$105.09
Total Return: +1.05%
Back to Danny Dip