Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:04:47

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
22.5 oversold
20d Trend
-25.9%
5d Trend
-7.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.7%
ATR%
5.3%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

30
Lifetime
Confidence: 83%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
14.8/35
Total Return
11.4/25
Win Rate
2.0/15
Profit Factor
1.5/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 35.5/100
× Confidence 0.83 = 29.6

30-Day Momentum

6
+0.1%
30d Return
43%
Win Rate
7
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.0 Conf: 0.78×
Declining (-23 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (83%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$12,502.67
Current Value
$12,256.98
Period P&L
$-245.70
Max Drawdown
-5.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.03

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
3 / 4
Best Trade
+5.58%
Worst Trade
-5.42%
Avg Trade Return
+0.12%
Avg Hold Time
3.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$175,044.46
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-245.70
Net P&L (after fees)
$-245.70
Gross Return
-1.97%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.97%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DKNG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Dipster had $12,502.67 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 10:45am ET $25.11 487 $12,228.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 10:25am ET $26.39 487 $12,851.93 $12,863.06 +$623.36
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 10:25am ET $25.02 514 $12,860.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 2:00pm ET $24.26 514 $12,469.64 $12,472.42 $-390.64
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 2:55pm ET $25.65 486 $12,465.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $24.26 486 $11,790.36 $11,796.88 $-675.54
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:35am ET $23.54 501 $11,793.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $24.75 501 $12,399.75 $12,403.09 +$606.21
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:35am ET $23.73 522 $12,384.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $25.05 522 $13,075.06 $13,093.70 +$690.61
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
10d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:35am ET $24.11 543 $13,091.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 12:30pm ET $23.39 543 $12,698.06 $12,700.02 $-393.68
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 11:40am ET $22.34 568 $12,689.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET $21.56 568 $12,246.08 $12,256.98 $-443.04
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,256.98
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,256.98
Total Return: +22.57%
Back to Dipster