Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-25 10:08:39

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
12
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 2.8
Active
RSI(14)
20.9 oversold
20d Trend
-40.9%
5d Trend
-30.4%
EMA20 Dist
-28.9%
ATR%
10.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 25, 2026

52
Lifetime
Confidence: 93%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
26.9/35
Total Return
16.0/25
Win Rate
3.2/15
Profit Factor
2.9/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 55.4/100
× Confidence 0.93 = 51.7

30-Day Momentum

6
-9.6%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
8
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 7.1 Conf: 0.81×
Declining (-46 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (93%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,646
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-25
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$20,269.10
Current Value
$18,325.49
Period P&L
$-1,943.61
Max Drawdown
-10.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.31

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
2 / 6
Best Trade
+5.66%
Worst Trade
-3.93%
Avg Trade Return
-1.18%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$318,166.17
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,943.61
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,943.61
Gross Return
-9.59%
Net Return (after fees)
-9.59%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MARA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Dipster had $20,269.10 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $13.98 1,449 $20,257.02
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:50am ET $14.69 1,449 $21,293.05 $21,305.14 +$1,036.04
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 1:40pm ET $14.38 1,482 $21,303.75
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:40am ET $13.81 1,482 $20,466.42 $20,467.81 $-837.33
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:40am ET $13.38 1,529 $20,458.02
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:35am ET $12.98 1,529 $19,838.78 $19,848.57 $-619.24
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 10:45am ET $13.79 1,439 $19,843.81
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 11:25am ET $13.34 1,439 $19,196.26 $19,201.02 $-647.55
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 11:25am ET $12.94 1,484 $19,199.99
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 3:35pm ET $13.67 1,484 $20,286.28 $20,287.31 +$1,086.29
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 11:15am ET $14.66 1,383 $20,274.78
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 2:05pm ET $14.22 1,383 $19,666.26 $19,678.79 $-608.52
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 10:55am ET $15.82 1,243 $19,664.26
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 12:15pm ET $15.32 1,243 $19,043.01 $19,057.54 $-621.25
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 9:45am ET $14.31 1,331 $19,053.26
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 1:35pm ET $13.77 1,331 $18,321.22 $18,325.49 $-732.05
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $18,325.49
Net Profit/Loss: +$8,325.49
Total Return: +83.25%
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