Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:24:26

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
20.9 oversold
20d Trend
-40.9%
5d Trend
-30.4%
EMA20 Dist
-28.9%
ATR%
10.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

41
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
17.9/35
Total Return
14.6/25
Win Rate
1.8/15
Profit Factor
1.3/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality 41.5/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 40.6

30-Day Momentum

4
-6.5%
30d Return
29%
Win Rate
7
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 5.7 Conf: 0.78×
Declining (-36 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$16,634.81
Current Value
$15,054.00
Period P&L
$-1,580.81
Max Drawdown
-10.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.31

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
2 / 6
Best Trade
+5.78%
Worst Trade
-4.00%
Avg Trade Return
-1.17%
Avg Hold Time
1.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$252,658.08
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,580.81
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,580.81
Gross Return
-9.50%
Net Return (after fees)
-9.50%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MARA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Dipster had $16,634.81 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $11.58 1,436 $16,628.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 11:40am ET $11.22 1,436 $16,104.74 $16,110.67 $-524.14
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 12:35pm ET $11.88 1,356 $16,102.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:35am ET $11.40 1,356 $15,458.26 $15,466.43 $-644.24
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 10:30am ET $10.37 1,491 $15,461.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $10.05 1,491 $14,977.10 $14,981.86 $-484.57
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 12:30pm ET $11.44 1,309 $14,974.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 2:25pm ET $12.02 1,309 $15,727.64 $15,734.54 +$752.68
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 9:35am ET $11.57 1,359 $15,723.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 10:00am ET $12.24 1,359 $16,632.53 $16,643.44 +$908.90
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 10:00am ET $11.53 1,442 $16,633.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 10:40am ET $11.13 1,442 $16,042.25 $16,052.22 $-591.22
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 12:35pm ET $11.16 1,437 $16,044.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 3:30pm ET $10.82 1,437 $15,548.34 $15,556.45 $-495.77
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 10:15am ET $13.38 1,162 $15,550.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 11:25am ET $12.95 1,162 $15,047.78 $15,054.00 $-502.45
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,054.00
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,054.00
Total Return: +50.54%
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