Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:37:43

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
58.2 neutral
20d Trend
+92.9%
5d Trend
-10.5%
EMA20 Dist
+4.3%
ATR%
12.0%
Range Pos
60%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

33
Lifetime
Confidence: 73%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
13.6/35
Total Return
12.4/25
Win Rate
8.4/15
Profit Factor
4.4/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 45.5/100
× Confidence 0.73 = 33.4

30-Day Momentum

69
+24.6%
30d Return
83%
Win Rate
6
Trades
5.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 92.7 Conf: 0.74×
Accelerating (+35 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (73%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
23,532
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
260 days
Data Gaps
2 days with gaps

Data Gap Notice

The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.

2025-06-23 (26 candles), 2025-06-24 (no data)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$10,815.14
Current Value
$12,997.68
Period P&L
$2,182.54
Max Drawdown
-7.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.36

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
8 / 5
Best Trade
+6.11%
Worst Trade
-4.90%
Avg Trade Return
+1.52%
Avg Hold Time
2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$220,640.19
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,182.54
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,182.54
Gross Return
+20.18%
Net Return (after fees)
+20.18%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NET Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 260 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Dipster had $10,815.14 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET $206.40 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 9:30am ET $196.29 0 $0.00 $10,289.43 $-525.71
(-4.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET $180.20 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET $180.64 0 $0.00 $10,314.37 +$24.94
(+0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 10:45am ET $194.50 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 11:35am ET $188.22 0 $0.00 $9,981.53 $-332.84
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 1:55pm ET $197.40 50 $9,870.25
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 11:45am ET $207.34 50 $10,366.75 $10,478.03 +$496.50
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 11:00am ET $208.71 50 $10,435.50
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 1:15pm ET $221.46 50 $11,073.00 $11,115.53 +$637.50
(+6.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:40am ET $215.02 51 $10,966.02
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 2:40pm ET $208.35 51 $10,626.10 $10,775.61 $-339.92
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 10:30am ET $201.75 53 $10,692.75
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 1:55pm ET $195.33 53 $10,352.49 $10,435.35 $-340.26
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.4h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:55am ET $203.71 51 $10,389.21
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 12:30pm ET $214.30 51 $10,929.55 $10,975.69 +$540.34
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.1d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $205.20 53 $10,875.60
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 10:10am ET $198.71 53 $10,531.63 $10,631.72 $-343.97
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 10:10am ET $168.26 63 $10,600.69
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 10:00am ET $177.27 63 $11,168.01 $11,199.04 +$567.32
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 11:20am ET $179.40 62 $11,122.80
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 10:35am ET $188.69 62 $11,698.78 $11,775.02 +$575.98
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $200.42 58 $11,624.36
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 12:05pm ET $210.86 58 $12,229.88 $12,380.54 +$605.52
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $207.37 59 $12,234.83
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 1:20pm ET $217.83 59 $12,851.97 $12,997.68 +$617.14
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,997.68
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,997.68
Total Return: +29.98%
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