Compendium › Dipster › NVDA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
NVDA
Alpaca Tradeable

Dipster's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-09-25 to present • 14 trades in period

+2.89%
Last Year Return
$10,813.20
Current Value
43%
Win Rate
$10,509.85
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:12:19

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-9.7%
5d Trend
-7.1%
EMA20 Dist
-5.9%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

15
Lifetime
Confidence: 73%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.7/35
Total Return
8.0/25
Win Rate
2.5/15
Profit Factor
1.0/15
Consistency
3.8/10
Raw Quality 20.9/100
× Confidence 0.73 = 15.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (73%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
29,908
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$10,509.85
Current Value
$10,813.20
Period P&L
$303.35
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.07

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
14
Winners / Losers
6 / 8
Best Trade
+5.71%
Worst Trade
-4.13%
Avg Trade Return
+0.30%
Avg Hold Time
3.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$278,329.58
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$303.35
Net P&L (after fees)
$303.35
Gross Return
+2.89%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.89%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NVDA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 14 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Dipster had $10,509.85 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 9:35am ET $176.38 59 $10,406.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $169.68 59 $10,011.41 $10,114.55 $-395.30
(-3.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $209.21 48 $10,042.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 10:05am ET $202.87 48 $9,737.76 $9,810.23 $-304.32
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
3 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 11:25am ET $215.91 45 $9,715.95 — — —
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 9:35am ET $227.04 45 $10,216.80 $10,311.08 +$500.85
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
22.2h held
4 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 9:35am ET $227.34 45 $10,230.30 — — —
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 12:30pm ET $220.04 45 $9,901.80 $9,982.58 $-328.50
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
5 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 10:20am ET $219.17 45 $9,862.65 — — —
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 12:15pm ET $212.31 45 $9,553.95 $9,673.88 $-308.70
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 10:00am ET $216.43 44 $9,522.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 11:10am ET $209.38 44 $9,212.94 $9,364.12 $-309.76
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 12:20pm ET $200.29 46 $9,213.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 11:00am ET $210.43 46 $9,679.78 $9,830.56 +$466.44
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $202.00 48 $9,696.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:50am ET $194.34 48 $9,328.08 $9,462.64 $-367.92
(-3.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET $193.65 48 $9,295.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 2:55pm ET $203.57 48 $9,771.12 $9,938.56 +$475.92
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7.2d held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $200.23 49 $9,811.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 11:05am ET $211.65 49 $10,370.85 $10,498.38 +$559.82
(+5.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.1d held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 10:20am ET $200.09 52 $10,404.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:45am ET $193.96 52 $10,085.92 $10,179.63 $-318.75
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.4h held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 10:10am ET $191.79 53 $10,164.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 3:50pm ET $201.85 53 $10,698.05 $10,712.81 +$533.18
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 10:15am ET $218.96 48 $10,510.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:40am ET $209.91 48 $10,075.68 $10,278.48 $-434.33
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $211.20 48 $10,137.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $222.34 48 $10,672.32 $10,813.20 +$534.72
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,813.20
Net Profit/Loss: +$813.20
Total Return: +8.13%
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