Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:58:49

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
28.2 oversold
20d Trend
-17.1%
5d Trend
-11.3%
EMA20 Dist
-10.7%
ATR%
4.7%
Range Pos
4%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 76%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.4/10
Raw Quality 4.4/100
× Confidence 0.76 = 3.4

30-Day Momentum

0
-3.7%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (76%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,670.56
Current Value
$7,289.33
Period P&L
$-1,381.23
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.35

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
3 / 8
Best Trade
+5.49%
Worst Trade
-6.25%
Avg Trade Return
-1.49%
Avg Hold Time
3.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$175,000.15
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,381.23
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,381.23
Gross Return
-15.93%
Net Return (after fees)
-15.93%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ACN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Dipster had $8,670.56 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET $126.97 68 $8,634.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 9:35am ET $123.15 68 $8,374.20 $8,410.46 $-260.10
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $134.40 62 $8,332.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $141.78 62 $8,790.36 $8,868.33 +$457.87
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET $139.10 63 $8,762.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $130.40 63 $8,215.20 $8,320.54 $-547.79
(-6.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 11:10am ET $137.41 60 $8,244.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET $132.07 60 $7,924.20 $8,000.14 $-320.40
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 10:15am ET $142.17 56 $7,961.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:35am ET $136.18 56 $7,626.08 $7,664.70 $-335.44
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET $164.98 46 $7,589.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 10:10am ET $173.43 46 $7,977.55 $8,053.17 +$388.47
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 11:10am ET $179.10 44 $7,880.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 9:40am ET $173.51 44 $7,634.22 $7,807.21 $-245.96
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 10:05am ET $182.11 42 $7,648.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:35am ET $191.32 42 $8,035.65 $8,194.24 +$387.03
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:55am ET $188.17 43 $8,091.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $178.00 43 $7,654.00 $7,756.93 $-437.31
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET $189.76 40 $7,590.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:55am ET $183.85 40 $7,354.00 $7,520.73 $-236.20
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 10:30am ET $186.38 40 $7,455.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 10:55am ET $180.60 40 $7,224.00 $7,289.33 $-231.40
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,289.33
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,710.67
Total Return: -27.11%
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