Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:42:29

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
30.4 neutral
20d Trend
-15.2%
5d Trend
-20.7%
EMA20 Dist
-16.9%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

56
Lifetime
Confidence: 83%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
16.1/25
Win Rate
4.7/15
Profit Factor
4.6/15
Consistency
7.8/10
Raw Quality 68.1/100
× Confidence 0.83 = 56.3

30-Day Momentum

50
+14.2%
30d Return
75%
Win Rate
4
Trades
2.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 76.1 Conf: 0.66×
Cooling (-6 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (83%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$17,437.41
Current Value
$18,554.90
Period P&L
$1,117.50
Max Drawdown
-3.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.13

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
18
Winners / Losers
8 / 10
Best Trade
+7.04%
Worst Trade
-3.98%
Avg Trade Return
+0.59%
Avg Hold Time
1.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$621,480.25
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,117.50
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,117.50
Gross Return
+6.41%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.41%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 18 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Dipster had $17,437.41 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $508.58 33 $16,783.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET $544.37 33 $17,964.21 $18,202.02 +$1,181.07
(+7.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $505.07 36 $18,182.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $531.26 36 $19,125.36 $19,144.86 +$942.84
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET $554.11 34 $18,839.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET $534.80 34 $18,183.37 $18,488.49 $-656.37
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $516.08 35 $18,062.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 11:25am ET $500.59 35 $17,520.65 $17,946.51 $-541.98
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $535.52 33 $17,672.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET $562.40 33 $18,559.20 $18,833.72 +$887.21
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 10:15am ET $538.76 34 $18,317.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 10:35am ET $519.22 34 $17,653.48 $18,169.52 $-664.19
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 10:35am ET $511.94 35 $17,917.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 1:30pm ET $496.36 35 $17,372.60 $17,624.22 $-545.30
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 11:10am ET $539.31 32 $17,257.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 9:50am ET $520.22 32 $16,647.04 $17,013.34 $-610.88
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.7h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 9:50am ET $509.25 33 $16,805.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 10:20am ET $488.98 33 $16,136.34 $16,344.50 $-668.84
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 10:20am ET $444.78 36 $16,012.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 10:40am ET $430.00 36 $15,480.00 $15,812.42 $-532.08
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 12:00pm ET $482.43 32 $15,437.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $509.48 32 $16,303.20 $16,677.70 +$865.28
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.5h held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $463.71 35 $16,229.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 2:00pm ET $489.36 35 $17,127.60 $17,575.45 +$897.75
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.5h held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET $484.67 36 $17,448.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 9:30am ET $465.90 36 $16,772.58 $16,899.91 $-675.54
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET $488.00 34 $16,592.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:50am ET $468.69 34 $15,935.46 $16,243.37 $-656.54
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 9:35am ET $457.89 35 $16,026.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 2:45pm ET $480.92 35 $16,832.37 $17,049.59 +$806.22
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
16 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $457.10 37 $16,912.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $488.88 37 $18,088.56 $18,225.64 +$1,176.05
(+7.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
17 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 10:00am ET $504.50 36 $18,162.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $485.79 36 $17,488.26 $17,551.90 $-673.74
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
18 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 3:10pm ET $509.23 34 $17,313.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:55am ET $538.73 34 $18,316.82 $18,554.90 +$1,003.00
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $18,554.90
Net Profit/Loss: +$8,554.90
Total Return: +85.55%
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