Compendium › Dipster › ARM
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
ARM
Alpaca Tradeable

Dipster's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 23 trades in period

-39.80%
Last 3 Months Return
$7,683.44
Current Value
17%
Win Rate
$12,763.22
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:54:17

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
46.9 neutral
20d Trend
-0.2%
5d Trend
+2.4%
EMA20 Dist
-0.9%
ATR%
6.3%
Range Pos
19%
Bounce Ratio
1.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 90%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.9/10
Raw Quality 3.9/100
× Confidence 0.90 = 3.5

30-Day Momentum

19
+4.8%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 28.3 Conf: 0.66×
Accelerating (+15 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (90%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$12,763.22
Current Value
$7,683.44
Period P&L
$-5,079.79
Max Drawdown
-19.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.53

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
23
Winners / Losers
4 / 19
Best Trade
+7.38%
Worst Trade
-9.80%
Avg Trade Return
-2.22%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$420,124.15
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-5,079.79
Net P&L (after fees)
$-5,079.79
Gross Return
-39.80%
Net Return (after fees)
-39.80%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ARM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 23 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Dipster had $12,763.22 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 11:00am ET $373.22 34 $12,689.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 9:40am ET $361.16 34 $12,279.37 $12,649.58 $-410.11
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.7h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 9:45am ET $348.95 36 $12,562.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $332.77 36 $11,979.72 $12,067.10 $-582.48
(-4.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 9:45am ET $324.53 37 $12,007.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 10:00am ET $314.40 37 $11,632.98 $11,692.47 $-374.63
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 10:50am ET $350.28 33 $11,559.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET $336.45 33 $11,102.91 $11,236.25 $-456.23
(-3.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.7h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 10:20am ET $343.07 32 $10,978.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 10:40am ET $329.52 32 $10,544.64 $10,802.65 $-433.60
(-3.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $305.93 35 $10,707.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 3:10pm ET $296.30 35 $10,370.50 $10,465.60 $-337.05
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.7h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 9:40am ET $321.97 32 $10,303.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $301.93 32 $9,661.92 $9,824.48 $-641.12
(-6.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET $282.70 34 $9,611.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 10:35am ET $273.70 34 $9,305.80 $9,518.52 $-305.96
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 10:35am ET $257.88 36 $9,283.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $248.66 36 $8,951.76 $9,186.48 $-332.04
(-3.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.9h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 9:40am ET $277.72 33 $9,164.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 10:35am ET $268.76 33 $8,869.08 $8,890.80 $-295.68
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
55m held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 10:35am ET $254.05 34 $8,637.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 3:25pm ET $267.15 34 $9,082.98 $9,335.91 +$445.11
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.8h held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 9:50am ET $237.43 39 $9,259.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 10:35am ET $229.45 39 $8,948.36 $9,024.69 $-311.22
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
45m held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 10:35am ET $242.49 37 $8,972.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 11:30am ET $234.71 37 $8,684.27 $8,736.83 $-287.86
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
55m held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 11:30am ET $246.90 35 $8,641.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $222.71 35 $7,794.71 $7,889.86 $-846.97
(-9.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 10:25am ET $272.16 28 $7,620.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 10:05am ET $288.97 28 $8,091.07 $8,360.45 +$470.59
(+6.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 10:05am ET $279.50 29 $8,105.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 9:40am ET $269.50 29 $7,815.50 $8,070.45 $-290.00
(-3.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET $256.07 31 $7,938.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 11:10am ET $247.70 31 $7,678.70 $7,810.93 $-259.52
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 10:05am ET $246.70 31 $7,647.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $238.47 31 $7,392.57 $7,555.95 $-254.98
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 10:30am ET $257.52 29 $7,467.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 10:05am ET $247.50 29 $7,177.50 $7,265.51 $-290.44
(-3.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.6h held
20 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $235.00 30 $7,050.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $252.35 30 $7,570.50 $7,786.01 +$520.50
(+7.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
21 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 11:20am ET $263.67 29 $7,646.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $252.10 29 $7,310.90 $7,450.34 $-335.67
(-4.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.2h held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $242.38 30 $7,271.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $258.01 30 $7,740.30 $7,919.24 +$468.90
(+6.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET $317.65 24 $7,623.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 12:00pm ET $307.83 24 $7,387.92 $7,683.44 $-235.80
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.5h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,683.44
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,316.56
Total Return: -23.17%
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