Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:06:23

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
32.7 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-6.9%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
4.0%
Range Pos
10%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

47
Lifetime
Confidence: 76%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
31.5/35
Total Return
13.8/25
Win Rate
4.6/15
Profit Factor
4.0/15
Consistency
8.8/10
Raw Quality 62.7/100
× Confidence 0.76 = 47.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (76%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,550.10
Current Value
$14,503.96
Period P&L
$953.86
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.19

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
4 / 5
Best Trade
+6.61%
Worst Trade
-3.16%
Avg Trade Return
+0.86%
Avg Hold Time
2.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$250,836.44
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$953.86
Net P&L (after fees)
$953.86
Gross Return
+7.04%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.04%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AVGO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Dipster had $13,550.10 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 9:55am ET $373.16 36 $13,433.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 10:10am ET $361.48 36 $13,013.46 $13,129.80 $-420.30
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 10:15am ET $364.37 36 $13,117.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 9:55am ET $382.86 36 $13,782.96 $13,795.43 +$665.63
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 9:50am ET $387.20 35 $13,552.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 2:05pm ET $375.41 35 $13,139.35 $13,382.78 $-412.65
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 10:40am ET $374.97 35 $13,123.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $394.44 35 $13,805.40 $14,064.26 +$681.48
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 9:35am ET $377.94 37 $13,983.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $402.92 37 $14,907.86 $14,988.34 +$924.08
(+6.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 9:35am ET $408.23 36 $14,696.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 11:05am ET $395.32 36 $14,231.52 $14,523.58 $-464.76
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 9:45am ET $381.31 38 $14,489.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:35am ET $369.81 38 $14,052.78 $14,086.58 $-437.00
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $346.93 40 $13,877.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:35am ET $368.92 40 $14,757.00 $14,966.38 +$879.80
(+6.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $349.22 42 $14,667.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 1:05pm ET $338.21 42 $14,204.82 $14,503.96 $-462.42
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,503.96
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,503.96
Total Return: +45.04%
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