Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:02:31

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
13.1 oversold
20d Trend
-42.6%
5d Trend
-24.4%
EMA20 Dist
-25.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

13
Lifetime
Confidence: 88%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.5/35
Total Return
7.1/25
Win Rate
0.3/15
Profit Factor
0.3/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 14.5/100
× Confidence 0.88 = 12.8

30-Day Momentum

3
-10.6%
30d Return
17%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3 Conf: 0.74×
Cooling (-10 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (88%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,929.37
Current Value
$10,611.08
Period P&L
$681.71
Max Drawdown
-14.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.10

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
19
Winners / Losers
8 / 11
Best Trade
+9.18%
Worst Trade
-4.42%
Avg Trade Return
+0.45%
Avg Hold Time
1.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$400,818.35
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$681.71
Net P&L (after fees)
$681.71
Gross Return
+6.87%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.87%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COIN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 19 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Dipster had $9,929.37 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 9:30am ET $145.78 68 $9,913.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 9:55am ET $153.70 68 $10,451.60 $10,467.85 +$538.48
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 10:40am ET $166.78 62 $10,340.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $161.28 62 $9,999.36 $10,126.85 $-341.00
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 10:05am ET $164.95 61 $10,061.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET $159.23 61 $9,712.73 $9,777.63 $-349.22
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.4h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 10:35am ET $160.54 60 $9,632.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 1:35pm ET $155.50 60 $9,330.00 $9,474.93 $-302.70
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 9:50am ET $160.97 58 $9,336.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $155.23 58 $9,003.05 $9,141.72 $-333.21
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 3:10pm ET $159.28 57 $9,078.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET $173.90 57 $9,912.30 $9,975.06 +$833.34
(+9.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 10:10am ET $171.24 58 $9,931.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $163.68 58 $9,493.15 $9,536.29 $-438.77
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 9:30am ET $158.10 60 $9,486.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 9:35am ET $166.70 60 $10,002.00 $10,052.29 +$516.00
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 9:35am ET $160.80 62 $9,969.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 9:35am ET $169.36 62 $10,500.32 $10,583.01 +$530.72
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 9:40am ET $160.07 66 $10,564.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $153.28 66 $10,116.48 $10,134.54 $-448.47
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $144.02 70 $10,081.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 1:10pm ET $151.37 70 $10,595.90 $10,649.21 +$514.67
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.7h held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET $146.71 72 $10,562.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 10:35am ET $154.19 72 $11,101.68 $11,188.13 +$538.92
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 10:10am ET $149.06 75 $11,179.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 10:50am ET $158.13 75 $11,860.12 $11,868.75 +$680.62
(+6.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $182.01 65 $11,830.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 10:45am ET $191.20 65 $12,428.00 $12,466.10 +$597.35
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 10:50am ET $185.01 67 $12,395.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 12:15pm ET $179.05 67 $11,996.35 $12,066.78 $-399.32
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held
16 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $181.00 66 $11,946.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 2:40pm ET $175.26 66 $11,566.83 $11,687.61 $-379.17
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.2h held
17 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $184.35 63 $11,614.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 10:10am ET $178.66 63 $11,255.58 $11,328.83 $-358.78
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
18 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $183.85 61 $11,214.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 10:35am ET $177.98 61 $10,856.88 $10,970.86 $-357.97
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held
19 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 10:35am ET $168.12 65 $10,927.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 2:55pm ET $162.58 65 $10,567.70 $10,611.08 $-359.78
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,611.08
Net Profit/Loss: +$611.08
Total Return: +6.11%
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