Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-07-26 19:37:35

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
26
Fear
VIX
18.7
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.71%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.36%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.4
Unsettled
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
13.1 oversold
20d Trend
-42.6%
5d Trend
-24.4%
EMA20 Dist
-25.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Jul 26, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 80%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 4.6/100
× Confidence 0.80 = 3.7

30-Day Momentum

0
-1.5%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (80%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-27 → 2026-07-24
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed)
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,176.37
Current Value
$9,777.63
Period P&L
$-1,398.74
Max Drawdown
-14.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.16

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
19
Winners / Losers
6 / 13
Best Trade
+5.58%
Worst Trade
-4.54%
Avg Trade Return
-0.64%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$391,956.27
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,398.74
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,398.74
Gross Return
-12.52%
Net Return (after fees)
-12.52%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COIN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 19 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Dipster had $11,176.37 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:55am ET $199.49 56 $11,171.44
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $190.43 56 $10,664.08 $10,702.05 $-507.36
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $187.15 57 $10,667.32
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET $179.84 57 $10,250.88 $10,285.61 $-416.44
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
3 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:55am ET $200.04 51 $10,202.04
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 11:30am ET $193.91 51 $9,889.41 $9,972.98 $-312.63
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
4 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 9:30am ET $185.40 53 $9,825.94
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 1:25pm ET $194.75 53 $10,321.75 $10,468.79 +$495.81
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9h held
5 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 9:55am ET $210.73 49 $10,325.77
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 12:00pm ET $203.65 49 $9,978.85 $10,121.87 $-346.92
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held
6 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 9:35am ET $197.50 51 $10,072.50
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 11:10am ET $208.15 51 $10,615.90 $10,665.27 +$543.40
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.6h held
7 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 11:20am ET $193.24 55 $10,628.20
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 10:35am ET $187.37 55 $10,305.29 $10,342.36 $-322.91
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
8 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 10:25am ET $187.57 55 $10,316.08
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 1:55pm ET $181.90 55 $10,004.23 $10,030.51 $-311.85
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
9 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $170.41 58 $9,883.90
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 11:05am ET $179.92 58 $10,435.36 $10,581.97 +$551.46
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.6h held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $177.21 59 $10,455.22
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 1:45pm ET $186.40 59 $10,997.60 $11,124.35 +$542.38
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.3h held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:45am ET $168.69 65 $10,964.84
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 3:20pm ET $163.43 65 $10,622.95 $10,782.46 $-341.89
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.6h held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $157.92 68 $10,738.56
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 10:20am ET $152.37 68 $10,361.16 $10,405.06 $-377.40
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET $157.30 66 $10,381.80
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:10pm ET $152.53 66 $10,067.11 $10,090.37 $-314.69
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7h held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 9:45am ET $156.26 64 $10,000.64
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 10:55am ET $164.16 64 $10,506.24 $10,595.97 +$505.60
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2h held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 10:30am ET $167.64 63 $10,561.32
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 2:10pm ET $162.55 63 $10,240.65 $10,275.30 $-320.67
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $156.66 65 $10,183.03
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 12:40pm ET $151.34 65 $9,837.10 $9,929.37 $-345.93
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 9:30am ET $145.78 68 $9,913.12
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 9:55am ET $153.70 68 $10,451.60 $10,467.85 +$538.48
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
18 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 10:40am ET $166.78 62 $10,340.36
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $161.28 62 $9,999.36 $10,126.85 $-341.00
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
19 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 10:05am ET $164.95 61 $10,061.95
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET $159.23 61 $9,712.73 $9,777.63 $-349.22
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,777.63
Net Profit/Loss: $-222.37
Total Return: -2.22%
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