Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:57:09

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
18.8 oversold
20d Trend
-22.1%
5d Trend
-11.2%
EMA20 Dist
-13.2%
ATR%
4.2%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

32
Lifetime
Confidence: 78%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
19.1/35
Total Return
12.1/25
Win Rate
2.2/15
Profit Factor
2.5/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 40.8/100
× Confidence 0.78 = 31.9

30-Day Momentum

19
+8.8%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 31.1 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-13 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (78%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,372.19
Current Value
$12,724.02
Period P&L
$2,351.83
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.39

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
5 / 4
Best Trade
+16.07%
Worst Trade
-4.80%
Avg Trade Return
+2.50%
Avg Hold Time
2.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$201,693.79
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,351.83
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,351.83
Gross Return
+22.67%
Net Return (after fees)
+22.67%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CRM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Dipster had $10,372.19 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET $165.88 62 $10,284.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $157.91 62 $9,790.42 $9,878.05 $-494.14
(-4.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET $164.15 60 $9,849.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 12:40pm ET $172.37 60 $10,342.20 $10,371.25 +$493.20
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 10:15am ET $165.52 62 $10,262.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:35am ET $159.66 62 $9,899.23 $10,008.24 $-363.01
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET $180.70 55 $9,938.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $190.53 55 $10,479.15 $10,548.89 +$540.65
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET $183.87 57 $10,480.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 10:25am ET $193.61 57 $11,035.77 $11,104.07 +$555.18
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 9:55am ET $190.55 58 $11,051.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:40am ET $200.76 58 $11,644.08 $11,696.25 +$592.18
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $199.45 58 $11,568.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $231.50 58 $13,427.00 $13,555.15 +$1,858.90
(+16.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 10:20am ET $255.96 52 $13,309.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:40am ET $247.57 52 $12,873.64 $13,118.87 $-436.28
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $243.89 53 $12,926.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 9:45am ET $236.44 53 $12,531.32 $12,724.02 $-394.85
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,724.02
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,724.02
Total Return: +27.24%
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