Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:27:57

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
36.7 neutral
20d Trend
-7.0%
5d Trend
-5.4%
EMA20 Dist
-4.4%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
59%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

45
Lifetime
Confidence: 71%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
26.4/35
Total Return
13.2/25
Win Rate
11.0/15
Profit Factor
5.7/15
Consistency
7.1/10
Raw Quality 63.4/100
× Confidence 0.71 = 44.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (71%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$15,440.35
Current Value
$13,371.94
Period P&L
$-2,068.41
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-1.09

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
1 / 5
Best Trade
+2.40%
Worst Trade
-4.38%
Avg Trade Return
-2.39%
Avg Hold Time
4.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$170,190.14
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,068.41
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,068.41
Gross Return
-13.40%
Net Return (after fees)
-13.40%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Dipster had $15,440.35 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $1,034.09 14 $14,477.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET $1,058.93 14 $14,824.95 $15,788.04 +$347.69
(+2.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 9:45am ET $1,110.68 14 $15,549.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $1,062.02 14 $14,868.24 $15,106.76 $-681.28
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 10:30am ET $1,051.21 14 $14,716.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:35am ET $1,017.67 14 $14,247.38 $14,637.20 $-469.56
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.1h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 9:40am ET $1,009.25 14 $14,129.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 3:45pm ET $978.74 14 $13,702.36 $14,210.05 $-427.15
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.1h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 10:50am ET $997.70 14 $13,967.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 10:15am ET $966.63 14 $13,532.75 $13,775.00 $-435.05
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.4h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 3:00pm ET $949.16 14 $13,288.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:45am ET $920.37 14 $12,885.18 $13,371.94 $-403.06
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,371.94
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,371.94
Total Return: +33.72%
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