Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:33:06

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
13.3 oversold
20d Trend
-41.6%
5d Trend
-28.6%
EMA20 Dist
-26.6%
ATR%
7.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 86%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.3/10
Raw Quality 3.3/100
× Confidence 0.86 = 2.9

30-Day Momentum

3
+0.2%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
5
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.7 Conf: 0.70×
Steady (+0 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (86%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,266.67
Current Value
$8,088.10
Period P&L
$-178.57
Max Drawdown
-9.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.03

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
18
Winners / Losers
7 / 11
Best Trade
+7.44%
Worst Trade
-6.18%
Avg Trade Return
-0.13%
Avg Hold Time
1.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$269,421.86
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-178.57
Net P&L (after fees)
$-178.57
Gross Return
-2.16%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.16%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 HOOD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 18 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Dipster had $8,266.67 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 9:45am ET $98.64 85 $8,383.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:40am ET $94.76 85 $8,054.60 $8,123.87 $-329.38
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 10:25am ET $115.62 70 $8,093.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 12:20pm ET $111.90 70 $7,833.00 $7,863.47 $-260.40
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 10:00am ET $114.86 68 $7,810.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET $110.75 68 $7,531.14 $7,584.12 $-279.35
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.5h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 9:40am ET $114.06 66 $7,527.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 10:35am ET $110.47 66 $7,291.35 $7,347.84 $-236.28
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 9:50am ET $112.64 65 $7,321.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 12:35pm ET $108.81 65 $7,072.65 $7,098.90 $-248.94
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 2:40pm ET $100.68 70 $7,047.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 9:40am ET $105.94 70 $7,415.80 $7,467.45 +$368.55
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 10:30am ET $101.91 73 $7,439.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 9:30am ET $97.53 73 $7,119.69 $7,147.71 $-319.74
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 10:20am ET $95.74 74 $7,084.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET $89.82 74 $6,646.68 $6,709.63 $-438.08
(-6.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.2h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 10:25am ET $89.96 74 $6,657.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:40am ET $86.64 74 $6,411.73 $6,464.32 $-245.31
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 10:00am ET $86.00 75 $6,450.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 10:30am ET $90.32 75 $6,773.63 $6,787.76 +$323.44
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 10:30am ET $90.84 74 $6,722.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 10:30am ET $95.46 74 $7,063.67 $7,129.27 +$341.51
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET $92.85 76 $7,056.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 11:35am ET $97.94 76 $7,443.44 $7,515.91 +$386.64
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 11:45am ET $94.13 79 $7,436.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 9:30am ET $101.13 79 $7,989.27 $8,068.91 +$553.00
(+7.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.8h held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 9:40am ET $104.74 77 $8,064.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 10:35am ET $110.26 77 $8,490.20 $8,494.52 +$425.61
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 10:05am ET $107.27 79 $8,474.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $102.25 79 $8,077.36 $8,097.55 $-396.97
(-4.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
16 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:35am ET $119.99 67 $8,039.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 11:25am ET $116.10 67 $7,778.70 $7,837.23 $-260.32
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held
17 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $111.50 70 $7,805.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 2:45pm ET $107.32 70 $7,512.75 $7,544.98 $-292.25
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.3h held
18 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 3:15pm ET $102.46 73 $7,479.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $109.90 73 $8,022.70 $8,088.10 +$543.12
(+7.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,088.10
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,911.90
Total Return: -19.12%
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