Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-07-26 19:33:22

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
26
Fear
VIX
18.7
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.71%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.36%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.4
Unsettled
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
33 neutral
20d Trend
-14.2%
5d Trend
-15.0%
EMA20 Dist
-11.4%
ATR%
6.1%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jul 26, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 86%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.2/10
Raw Quality 3.2/100
× Confidence 0.86 = 2.7

30-Day Momentum

13
+2.9%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 19.0 Conf: 0.66×
Steady (+10 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (86%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,829
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-27 → 2026-07-24
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed)
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,185.90
Current Value
$7,118.94
Period P&L
$-2,066.96
Max Drawdown
-29.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.23

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
19
Winners / Losers
6 / 13
Best Trade
+6.16%
Worst Trade
-13.86%
Avg Trade Return
-1.18%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$309,530.42
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,066.96
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,066.96
Gross Return
-22.50%
Net Return (after fees)
-22.50%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LCID Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 19 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Dipster had $9,185.90 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:35am ET $6.07 1,513 $9,182.70
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $5.84 1,513 $8,835.92 $8,839.12 $-346.78
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 10:00am ET $5.72 1,546 $8,835.39
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 11:15am ET $6.02 1,546 $9,306.92 $9,310.65 +$471.53
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
3 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $6.54 1,423 $9,306.42
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 9:45am ET $6.34 1,423 $9,023.24 $9,027.47 $-283.18
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
4 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 9:50am ET $6.08 1,484 $9,022.87
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 11:00am ET $5.90 1,484 $8,751.15 $8,755.75 $-271.72
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
5 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 11:00am ET $5.98 1,464 $8,754.87
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 11:05am ET $6.29 1,464 $9,210.17 $9,211.05 +$455.30
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
6 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 11:05am ET $5.90 1,561 $9,209.90
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 10:50am ET $6.21 1,561 $9,693.81 $9,694.96 +$483.91
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
7 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 2:45pm ET $6.34 1,528 $9,692.26
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 9:30am ET $6.03 1,528 $9,213.84 $9,216.54 $-478.42
(-4.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held
8 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 9:35am ET $5.89 1,566 $9,215.91
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 10:50am ET $5.70 1,566 $8,918.37 $8,919.00 $-297.54
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 10:35am ET $6.65 1,341 $8,917.65
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 12:35pm ET $6.45 1,341 $8,649.45 $8,650.80 $-268.20
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 10:35am ET $6.65 1,341 $8,917.65
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $5.73 1,341 $7,681.25 $7,414.40 $-1,236.40
(-13.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:45am ET $5.55 1,334 $7,410.37
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 10:40am ET $5.39 1,334 $7,183.59 $7,187.62 $-226.78
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 10:15am ET $5.29 1,358 $7,183.68
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 10:50am ET $5.13 1,358 $6,966.54 $6,970.48 $-217.14
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 10:50am ET $4.89 1,424 $6,970.48
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 3:50pm ET $4.74 1,424 $6,756.88 $6,756.88 $-213.60
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5h held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 10:45am ET $5.16 1,310 $6,753.05
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $5.45 1,310 $7,139.50 $7,143.33 +$386.45
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $5.14 1,391 $7,142.79
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 10:20am ET $4.97 1,391 $6,920.22 $6,920.77 $-222.56
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 3:25pm ET $5.18 1,334 $6,916.79
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 11:15am ET $5.45 1,334 $7,263.63 $7,267.61 +$346.84
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
8.8d held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 9:30am ET $6.46 1,125 $7,267.50
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 9:50am ET $6.86 1,125 $7,714.91 $7,715.02 +$447.41
(+6.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
18 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 9:50am ET $6.53 1,181 $7,711.58
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 10:30am ET $6.26 1,181 $7,387.16 $7,390.60 $-324.42
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
19 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $6.39 1,156 $7,386.84
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 10:10am ET $6.16 1,156 $7,115.18 $7,118.94 $-271.66
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,118.94
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,881.06
Total Return: -28.81%
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