Compendium › Dipster › MRNA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MRNA
Alpaca Tradeable

Dipster's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 25 trades in period

+94.96%
Last 3 Months Return
$16,338.80
Current Value
44%
Win Rate
$8,380.51
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:31:00

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
45 neutral
20d Trend
-0.3%
5d Trend
-10.0%
EMA20 Dist
-6.7%
ATR%
7.8%
Range Pos
52%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

26
Lifetime
Confidence: 94%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.6/35
Total Return
14.6/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
2.6/15
Consistency
3.9/10
Raw Quality 27.7/100
× Confidence 0.94 = 26.1

30-Day Momentum

32
+9.9%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
8
Trades
1.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 40.0 Conf: 0.81×
Steady (+6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (94%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,380.51
Current Value
$16,338.80
Period P&L
$7,958.29
Max Drawdown
-29.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.21

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
25
Winners / Losers
11 / 14
Best Trade
+86.85%
Worst Trade
-6.48%
Avg Trade Return
+3.76%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$558,797.23
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$7,958.29
Net P&L (after fees)
$7,958.29
Gross Return
+94.96%
Net Return (after fees)
+94.96%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MRNA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 25 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Dipster had $8,380.51 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 12:05pm ET $66.61 125 $8,326.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 9:30am ET $71.51 125 $8,939.37 $8,993.01 +$612.50
(+7.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 2:55pm ET $71.57 125 $8,946.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET $75.80 125 $9,475.00 $9,521.76 +$528.75
(+5.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
18.6h held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 1:05pm ET $82.73 115 $9,513.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 10:00am ET $79.27 115 $9,116.05 $9,124.40 $-397.36
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
20.9h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 10:00am ET $76.28 119 $9,076.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 12:00pm ET $73.85 119 $8,788.04 $8,835.72 $-288.68
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 9:35am ET $73.45 120 $8,813.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 9:40am ET $70.72 120 $8,487.00 $8,509.02 $-326.70
(-3.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 9:35am ET $65.66 129 $8,470.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 12:20pm ET $63.63 129 $8,208.27 $8,247.15 $-261.87
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 3:35pm ET $59.47 138 $8,206.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:55am ET $57.41 138 $7,922.58 $7,962.87 $-284.28
(-3.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 10:25am ET $55.12 144 $7,937.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 10:30am ET $53.41 144 $7,691.04 $7,716.64 $-246.23
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 10:10am ET $56.58 136 $7,695.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 9:35am ET $52.92 136 $7,197.12 $7,218.20 $-498.44
(-6.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 10:00am ET $56.27 128 $7,202.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 9:55am ET $59.15 128 $7,571.20 $7,586.84 +$368.64
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 10:20am ET $55.57 136 $7,557.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 3:50pm ET $53.75 136 $7,310.00 $7,339.32 $-247.52
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.5h held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 11:25am ET $59.26 123 $7,288.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 11:00am ET $62.33 123 $7,665.98 $7,716.33 +$377.01
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.6h held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 9:35am ET $61.71 125 $7,713.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 10:20am ET $64.87 125 $8,108.78 $8,111.36 +$395.03
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 10:20am ET $63.21 128 $8,090.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET $118.10 128 $15,116.72 $15,137.84 +$7,026.48
(+86.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.2h held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 9:30am ET $152.60 99 $15,107.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 9:35am ET $147.05 99 $14,557.79 $14,588.23 $-549.61
(-3.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 10:50am ET $152.41 95 $14,478.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 11:45am ET $147.77 95 $14,038.15 $14,147.54 $-440.69
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
55m held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 12:35pm ET $137.65 102 $14,039.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET $147.42 102 $15,036.37 $15,144.12 +$996.58
(+7.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
20.9h held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 9:35am ET $150.50 100 $15,050.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 2:00pm ET $145.83 100 $14,583.39 $14,677.51 $-466.61
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.4h held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 3:25pm ET $139.39 105 $14,635.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 10:15am ET $134.80 105 $14,154.00 $14,195.97 $-481.54
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 2:10pm ET $139.17 102 $14,195.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 10:10am ET $146.42 102 $14,934.85 $14,935.13 +$739.16
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
20h held
21 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 10:10am ET $147.81 101 $14,928.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 12:05pm ET $143.21 101 $14,464.71 $14,471.03 $-464.10
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:40am ET $137.68 105 $14,456.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $131.29 105 $13,784.93 $13,799.22 $-671.81
(-4.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:35am ET $142.88 96 $13,716.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $152.56 96 $14,645.76 $14,728.50 +$929.28
(+6.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET $169.56 86 $14,582.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 10:05am ET $179.06 86 $15,398.98 $15,545.32 +$816.82
(+5.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
35m held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 10:45am ET $185.40 83 $15,388.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $194.96 83 $16,181.68 $16,338.80 +$793.48
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,338.80
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,338.80
Total Return: +63.39%
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