Compendium › Dipster › MU
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MU
Alpaca Tradeable

Dipster's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 19 trades in period

-3.97%
Last 3 Months Return
$25,478.65
Current Value
42%
Win Rate
$26,532.72
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 01:46:10

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

60
Lifetime
Confidence: 86%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
18.2/25
Win Rate
5.1/15
Profit Factor
5.2/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 70.0/100
× Confidence 0.86 = 60.1

30-Day Momentum

11
+1.5%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 18.3 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-49 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (86%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$26,532.72
Current Value
$25,478.65
Period P&L
$-1,054.07
Max Drawdown
-3.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.17

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
19
Winners / Losers
8 / 11
Best Trade
+23.71%
Worst Trade
-8.72%
Avg Trade Return
+1.27%
Avg Hold Time
1.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$925,443.32
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,054.07
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,054.07
Gross Return
-3.97%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.97%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 19 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Dipster had $26,532.72 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 3:10pm ET $992.80 21 $20,848.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET $1,228.15 21 $25,791.05 $26,064.53 +$4,942.25
(+23.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
18.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $1,136.76 22 $25,008.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 9:35am ET $1,090.82 22 $23,998.15 $25,053.96 $-1,010.57
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET $1,068.12 23 $24,566.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,032.52 23 $23,747.96 $24,235.16 $-818.80
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.4h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $917.57 26 $23,856.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $1,012.41 26 $26,322.66 $26,701.00 +$2,465.84
(+10.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET $961.78 27 $25,968.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $916.62 27 $24,748.77 $25,481.71 $-1,219.29
(-4.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 9:50am ET $953.47 26 $24,790.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 10:20am ET $921.45 26 $23,957.57 $24,649.06 $-832.65
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 10:20am ET $869.63 28 $24,349.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 1:40pm ET $842.18 28 $23,581.04 $23,880.46 $-768.60
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 2:15pm ET $874.85 27 $23,621.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET $931.08 27 $25,139.03 $25,398.40 +$1,517.94
(+6.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 9:35am ET $951.53 26 $24,739.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 10:35am ET $922.67 26 $23,989.42 $24,648.17 $-750.23
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 10:35am ET $860.22 28 $24,086.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET $832.72 28 $23,316.05 $23,878.06 $-770.11
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.9h held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 9:50am ET $803.87 29 $23,312.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 11:35am ET $778.24 29 $22,569.10 $23,134.99 $-743.07
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:45am ET $888.91 26 $23,111.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 10:05am ET $846.34 26 $22,004.84 $22,028.13 $-1,106.86
(-4.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 10:05am ET $787.11 27 $21,251.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 11:00am ET $826.55 27 $22,316.85 $23,093.01 +$1,064.88
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
55m held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET $841.43 27 $22,718.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 10:10am ET $887.65 27 $23,966.42 $24,340.82 +$1,247.81
(+5.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
40m held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 10:10am ET $855.30 28 $23,948.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET $916.79 28 $25,670.12 $26,062.40 +$1,721.58
(+7.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5d held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET $957.26 27 $25,846.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:55am ET $922.00 27 $24,894.00 $25,110.38 $-952.02
(-3.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $912.27 27 $24,631.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $967.78 27 $26,130.06 $26,609.29 +$1,498.91
(+6.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
18 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $927.97 28 $25,983.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $974.49 28 $27,285.72 $27,911.85 +$1,302.56
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
19 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $996.58 28 $27,904.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $909.68 28 $25,471.04 $25,478.65 $-2,433.20
(-8.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $25,478.65
Net Profit/Loss: +$15,478.65
Total Return: +154.79%
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