Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:42:48

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-9.7%
5d Trend
-7.1%
EMA20 Dist
-5.9%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

15
Lifetime
Confidence: 73%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.7/35
Total Return
8.0/25
Win Rate
2.5/15
Profit Factor
1.0/15
Consistency
3.8/10
Raw Quality 20.9/100
× Confidence 0.73 = 15.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (73%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,688.96
Current Value
$10,813.20
Period P&L
$1,124.24
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.33

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
4 / 3
Best Trade
+5.71%
Worst Trade
-4.13%
Avg Trade Return
+1.48%
Avg Hold Time
4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$141,021.40
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,124.24
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,124.24
Gross Return
+11.60%
Net Return (after fees)
+11.60%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NVDA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Dipster had $9,688.96 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $202.00 48 $9,696.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:50am ET $194.34 48 $9,328.08 $9,462.64 $-367.92
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET $193.65 48 $9,295.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 2:55pm ET $203.57 48 $9,771.12 $9,938.56 +$475.92
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.2d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $200.23 49 $9,811.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 11:05am ET $211.65 49 $10,370.85 $10,498.38 +$559.82
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 10:20am ET $200.09 52 $10,404.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:45am ET $193.96 52 $10,085.92 $10,179.63 $-318.75
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 10:10am ET $191.79 53 $10,164.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 3:50pm ET $201.85 53 $10,698.05 $10,712.81 +$533.18
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 10:15am ET $218.96 48 $10,510.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:40am ET $209.91 48 $10,075.68 $10,278.48 $-434.33
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $211.20 48 $10,137.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $222.34 48 $10,672.32 $10,813.20 +$534.72
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,813.20
Net Profit/Loss: +$813.20
Total Return: +8.13%
Back to Dipster