Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-25 10:07:42

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
12
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 2.8
Active
RSI(14)
19.8 oversold
20d Trend
-20.5%
5d Trend
-15.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.5%
ATR%
4.6%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 25, 2026

6
Lifetime
Confidence: 68%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
3.8/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 8.8/100
× Confidence 0.68 = 6.0

30-Day Momentum

3
-2.9%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 5.2 Conf: 0.66×
Cooling (-3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (68%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
11,218
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-12-26 → 2026-06-25
Trading Days
131 days
Data Gaps
None (7 market holidays)

Market Closed (7 days)

2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,171.38
Current Value
$9,904.76
Period P&L
$-1,266.62
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.19

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
4 / 6
Best Trade
+5.21%
Worst Trade
-9.12%
Avg Trade Return
-1.01%
Avg Hold Time
3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$195,500.64
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,266.62
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,266.62
Gross Return
-11.34%
Net Return (after fees)
-11.34%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CRWD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 131 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Dipster had $11,171.38 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 11:05am ET $436.11 25 $10,902.87
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 9:35am ET $416.44 25 $10,411.00 $10,679.51 $-491.87
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:40am ET $394.80 27 $10,659.60
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $370.43 27 $10,001.61 $10,021.52 $-657.99
(-6.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 10:05am ET $433.88 23 $9,979.24
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET $415.58 23 $9,558.45 $9,600.73 $-420.79
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.5h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:40am ET $382.79 25 $9,569.69
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 10:20am ET $369.45 25 $9,236.13 $9,267.17 $-333.56
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $448.74 20 $8,974.80
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 10:50am ET $471.34 20 $9,426.80 $9,719.17 +$452.00
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
11.1d held
6 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 9:35am ET $464.00 20 $9,280.00
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 9:30am ET $488.00 20 $9,760.00 $10,199.17 +$480.00
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held
7 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $638.00 15 $9,570.00
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 12:20pm ET $671.22 15 $10,068.30 $10,697.47 +$498.30
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:55am ET $755.36 14 $10,575.04
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $686.48 14 $9,610.79 $9,733.22 $-964.25
(-9.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $685.44 14 $9,596.09
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 11:00am ET $663.52 14 $9,289.28 $9,426.41 $-306.81
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 12:40pm ET $618.42 15 $9,276.30
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 9:45am ET $650.31 15 $9,754.65 $9,904.76 +$478.35
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,904.76
Net Profit/Loss: $-95.24
Total Return: -0.95%
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