Compendium › Dipster › DKNG
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
DKNG
Alpaca Tradeable

Dipster's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2026-03-25 to present • 29 trades in period

+6.61%
Last 6 Months Return
$12,256.98
Current Value
41%
Win Rate
$11,497.37
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:01:53

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
22.5 oversold
20d Trend
-25.9%
5d Trend
-7.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.7%
ATR%
5.3%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

30
Lifetime
Confidence: 83%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
14.8/35
Total Return
11.4/25
Win Rate
2.0/15
Profit Factor
1.5/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 35.5/100
× Confidence 0.83 = 29.6

30-Day Momentum

6
+0.1%
30d Return
43%
Win Rate
7
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.0 Conf: 0.78×
Declining (-23 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (83%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,497.37
Current Value
$12,256.98
Period P&L
$759.60
Max Drawdown
-5.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.07

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
29
Winners / Losers
12 / 17
Best Trade
+9.71%
Worst Trade
-6.76%
Avg Trade Return
+0.33%
Avg Hold Time
2.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$707,882.52
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$759.60
Net P&L (after fees)
$759.60
Gross Return
+6.61%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.61%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DKNG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 29 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Dipster had $11,497.37 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 10:05am ET $22.82 503 $11,478.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 11:15am ET $22.10 503 $11,116.30 $11,135.21 $-362.16
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 10:10am ET $20.68 538 $11,125.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $21.89 538 $11,774.13 $11,783.50 +$648.29
(+5.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET $23.18 508 $11,774.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 10:15am ET $22.47 508 $11,414.71 $11,423.79 $-359.71
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:35pm ET $23.07 495 $11,419.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 10:55am ET $22.33 495 $11,053.00 $11,057.14 $-366.65
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
5 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 3:00pm ET $24.10 458 $11,037.80 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 9:30am ET $26.44 458 $12,109.52 $12,128.86 +$1,071.72
(+9.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
6 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 9:30am ET $25.08 483 $12,111.23 — — —
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 10:25am ET $24.30 483 $11,736.90 $11,754.53 $-374.33
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
55m held
7 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 9:30am ET $24.02 489 $11,745.78 — — —
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 1:55pm ET $25.23 489 $12,337.47 $12,346.22 +$591.69
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.4h held
8 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 12:05pm ET $25.09 491 $12,321.64 — — —
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:40am ET $23.97 491 $11,770.11 $11,794.68 $-551.54
(-4.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
10.9d held
9 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $23.79 495 $11,776.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:35am ET $25.30 495 $12,523.50 $12,542.13 +$747.45
(+6.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:35am ET $25.49 492 $12,541.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $24.70 492 $12,152.40 $12,153.45 $-388.68
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 11:30am ET $26.63 456 $12,143.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $28.17 456 $12,844.61 $12,854.78 +$701.33
(+5.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
22h held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 9:55am ET $28.87 445 $12,847.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 10:10am ET $27.92 445 $12,424.40 $12,432.03 $-422.75
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $25.55 486 $12,417.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 2:50pm ET $24.77 486 $12,038.22 $12,052.95 $-379.08
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 10:10am ET $25.03 481 $12,039.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 10:30am ET $26.33 481 $12,662.33 $12,675.85 +$622.90
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 10:30am ET $25.30 501 $12,675.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $26.96 501 $13,506.96 $13,507.51 +$831.66
(+6.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5d held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 10:45am ET $26.33 512 $13,483.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 10:30am ET $25.48 512 $13,043.20 $13,067.19 $-440.32
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $24.50 533 $13,058.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET $22.84 533 $12,176.38 $12,185.08 $-882.12
(-6.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
18 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 9:50am ET $23.85 510 $12,163.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 2:00pm ET $23.13 510 $11,796.20 $11,817.78 $-367.30
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.2d held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET $22.72 520 $11,814.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 12:00pm ET $22.00 520 $11,440.00 $11,443.38 $-374.40
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.5h held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 10:05am ET $22.34 512 $11,438.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 10:35am ET $23.48 512 $12,021.76 $12,027.06 +$583.68
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
30m held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 2:25pm ET $24.30 494 $12,004.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 11:10am ET $25.55 494 $12,619.23 $12,642.09 +$615.03
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 10:50am ET $25.62 493 $12,631.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 9:45am ET $24.81 493 $12,228.87 $12,239.70 $-402.39
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.9h held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 10:45am ET $25.11 487 $12,228.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 10:25am ET $26.39 487 $12,851.93 $12,863.06 +$623.36
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5d held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 10:25am ET $25.02 514 $12,860.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 2:00pm ET $24.26 514 $12,469.64 $12,472.42 $-390.64
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
25 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 2:55pm ET $25.65 486 $12,465.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $24.26 486 $11,790.36 $11,796.88 $-675.54
(-5.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:35am ET $23.54 501 $11,793.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $24.75 501 $12,399.75 $12,403.09 +$606.21
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:35am ET $23.73 522 $12,384.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $25.05 522 $13,075.06 $13,093.70 +$690.61
(+5.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
10d held
28 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:35am ET $24.11 543 $13,091.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 12:30pm ET $23.39 543 $12,698.06 $12,700.02 $-393.68
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
29 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 11:40am ET $22.34 568 $12,689.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET $21.56 568 $12,246.08 $12,256.98 $-443.04
(-3.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,256.98
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,256.98
Total Return: +22.57%
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