Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:30:48

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
20.9 oversold
20d Trend
-40.9%
5d Trend
-30.4%
EMA20 Dist
-28.9%
ATR%
10.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

41
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
17.9/35
Total Return
14.6/25
Win Rate
1.8/15
Profit Factor
1.3/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality 41.5/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 40.6

30-Day Momentum

4
-6.5%
30d Return
29%
Win Rate
7
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 5.7 Conf: 0.78×
Declining (-36 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$16,302.49
Current Value
$15,054.00
Period P&L
$-1,248.49
Max Drawdown
-10.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.01

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
58
Winners / Losers
22 / 36
Best Trade
+9.15%
Worst Trade
-5.66%
Avg Trade Return
-0.03%
Avg Hold Time
23.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$2,135,376.55
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,248.49
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,248.49
Gross Return
-7.66%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.66%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MARA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 58 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Dipster had $16,302.49 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 12:05pm ET $8.22 1,983 $16,300.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:35am ET $8.97 1,983 $17,792.47 $17,794.70 +$1,492.21
(+9.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.5h held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:35am ET $8.29 2,146 $17,790.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:55am ET $8.00 2,146 $17,168.00 $17,172.36 $-622.34
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 10:30am ET $7.92 2,167 $17,168.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 3:10pm ET $7.66 2,167 $16,600.95 $16,604.82 $-567.54
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.7h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $7.79 2,131 $16,600.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 10:45am ET $8.26 2,131 $17,591.41 $17,595.74 +$990.92
(+6.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $8.67 2,029 $17,591.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 10:05am ET $8.39 2,029 $17,023.11 $17,027.42 $-568.32
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 2:25pm ET $9.43 1,805 $17,021.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 12:20pm ET $9.92 1,805 $17,901.99 $17,908.26 +$880.84
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.9h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 12:40pm ET $9.40 1,905 $17,907.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 10:35am ET $9.95 1,905 $18,956.66 $18,957.73 +$1,049.47
(+5.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:15pm ET $11.71 1,618 $18,946.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $11.30 1,618 $18,289.39 $18,300.34 $-657.39
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 10:10am ET $11.35 1,612 $18,295.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 10:00am ET $11.92 1,612 $19,215.04 $19,219.50 +$919.16
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:40pm ET $11.78 1,630 $19,209.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 10:30am ET $11.41 1,630 $18,606.45 $18,616.56 $-602.94
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.8h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 11:25am ET $11.18 1,665 $18,614.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $10.77 1,665 $17,932.05 $17,934.08 $-682.48
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.1h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:45am ET $10.65 1,683 $17,923.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 10:10am ET $10.31 1,683 $17,343.32 $17,353.45 $-580.63
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 10:35am ET $11.38 1,524 $17,343.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 11:20am ET $11.99 1,524 $18,280.38 $18,290.56 +$937.11
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
45m held
14 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 11:55am ET $11.80 1,550 $18,290.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 3:05pm ET $11.44 1,550 $17,739.75 $17,740.31 $-550.25
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2h held
15 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 10:00am ET $12.43 1,427 $17,737.61 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 3:10pm ET $13.10 1,427 $18,686.57 $18,689.26 +$948.95
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.2h held
16 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 9:50am ET $12.30 1,519 $18,683.40 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 1:30pm ET $13.02 1,519 $19,784.97 $19,790.84 +$1,101.58
(+5.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.7h held
17 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 9:30am ET $12.83 1,542 $19,783.86 — — —
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 10:25am ET $12.37 1,542 $19,074.54 $19,081.52 $-709.32
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held
18 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 3:25pm ET $12.65 1,508 $19,076.20 — — —
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 11:15am ET $13.31 1,508 $20,074.95 $20,080.27 +$998.75
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.8h held
19 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 11:15am ET $12.15 1,653 $20,075.69 — — —
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 10:35am ET $11.63 1,653 $19,216.13 $19,220.71 $-859.56
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
20 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 10:35am ET $11.64 1,651 $19,209.39 — — —
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 12:55pm ET $12.27 1,651 $20,257.77 $20,269.10 +$1,048.39
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.3h held
21 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $13.98 1,449 $20,257.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:50am ET $14.69 1,449 $21,293.05 $21,305.14 +$1,036.04
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 1:40pm ET $14.38 1,482 $21,303.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:40am ET $13.81 1,482 $20,466.42 $20,467.81 $-837.33
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20h held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:40am ET $13.38 1,529 $20,458.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:35am ET $12.98 1,529 $19,838.78 $19,848.57 $-619.24
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 10:45am ET $13.79 1,439 $19,843.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 11:25am ET $13.34 1,439 $19,196.26 $19,201.02 $-647.55
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
25 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 11:25am ET $12.94 1,484 $19,199.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 3:35pm ET $13.67 1,484 $20,286.28 $20,287.31 +$1,086.29
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
26 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 11:15am ET $14.66 1,383 $20,274.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 2:05pm ET $14.22 1,383 $19,666.26 $19,678.79 $-608.52
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
27 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 10:55am ET $15.82 1,243 $19,664.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 12:15pm ET $15.32 1,243 $19,043.01 $19,057.54 $-621.25
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
28 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 9:45am ET $14.31 1,331 $19,053.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 1:35pm ET $13.77 1,331 $18,321.22 $18,325.49 $-732.05
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held
29 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 9:35am ET $13.43 1,365 $18,325.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 10:05am ET $14.12 1,365 $19,273.80 $19,274.16 +$948.67
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
30m held
30 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 10:05am ET $13.53 1,424 $19,264.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 1:00pm ET $14.22 1,424 $20,249.28 $20,258.72 +$984.55
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9h held
31 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET $13.43 1,508 $20,252.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 11:00am ET $12.80 1,508 $19,302.25 $19,308.68 $-950.04
(-4.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
32 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 11:20am ET $12.94 1,491 $19,300.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:50am ET $12.56 1,491 $18,720.55 $18,728.23 $-580.45
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.5h held
33 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 9:50am ET $11.78 1,589 $18,718.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $12.78 1,589 $20,307.42 $20,317.23 +$1,589.00
(+8.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held
34 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 9:45am ET $13.16 1,543 $20,305.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 9:55am ET $12.69 1,543 $19,588.38 $19,599.73 $-717.50
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
35 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 10:15am ET $12.16 1,611 $19,589.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 1:00pm ET $11.77 1,611 $18,961.63 $18,971.60 $-628.13
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
36 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 9:40am ET $11.88 1,596 $18,963.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 11:45am ET $11.52 1,596 $18,377.94 $18,386.35 $-585.25
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held
37 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 3:10pm ET $10.62 1,731 $18,383.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET $11.33 1,731 $19,612.23 $19,615.36 +$1,229.01
(+6.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
38 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 2:30pm ET $12.27 1,597 $19,603.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:40am ET $12.90 1,597 $20,601.30 $20,613.48 +$998.13
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
39 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 9:40am ET $12.48 1,651 $20,604.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET $12.06 1,651 $19,911.06 $19,920.23 $-693.25
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
40 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET $10.90 1,828 $19,916.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 11:25am ET $11.45 1,828 $20,939.74 $20,943.91 +$1,023.68
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9h held
41 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 11:25am ET $10.52 1,989 $20,934.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 3:35pm ET $10.14 1,989 $20,170.45 $20,180.13 $-763.78
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.2h held
42 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:50am ET $11.57 1,743 $20,175.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 10:10am ET $11.10 1,743 $19,356.01 $19,360.92 $-819.21
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
43 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 10:00am ET $11.45 1,690 $19,350.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET $10.94 1,690 $18,488.60 $18,498.68 $-862.24
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
44 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 9:35am ET $10.45 1,770 $18,496.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 10:00am ET $9.86 1,770 $17,450.43 $17,452.61 $-1,046.07
(-5.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
45 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 10:00am ET $9.66 1,806 $17,445.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET $10.16 1,806 $18,347.15 $18,353.80 +$901.19
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
46 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 9:30am ET $9.46 1,940 $18,352.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 9:30am ET $9.01 1,940 $17,479.40 $17,480.80 $-873.00
(-4.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
47 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET $9.45 1,849 $17,473.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 9:55am ET $9.11 1,849 $16,853.63 $16,861.38 $-619.42
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
48 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 1:25pm ET $9.57 1,760 $16,852.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 9:30am ET $10.24 1,760 $18,022.40 $18,031.78 +$1,170.40
(+6.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.1h held
49 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 10:15am ET $11.81 1,526 $18,029.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 10:40am ET $11.30 1,526 $17,236.17 $17,238.26 $-793.52
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
50 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 10:55am ET $11.56 1,490 $17,231.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 3:40pm ET $11.16 1,490 $16,628.40 $16,634.81 $-603.45
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8h held
51 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $11.58 1,436 $16,628.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 11:40am ET $11.22 1,436 $16,104.74 $16,110.67 $-524.14
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2h held
52 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 12:35pm ET $11.88 1,356 $16,102.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:35am ET $11.40 1,356 $15,458.26 $15,466.43 $-644.24
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21h held
53 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 10:30am ET $10.37 1,491 $15,461.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $10.05 1,491 $14,977.10 $14,981.86 $-484.57
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
54 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 12:30pm ET $11.44 1,309 $14,974.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 2:25pm ET $12.02 1,309 $15,727.64 $15,734.54 +$752.68
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.1d held
55 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 9:35am ET $11.57 1,359 $15,723.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 10:00am ET $12.24 1,359 $16,632.53 $16,643.44 +$908.90
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
56 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 10:00am ET $11.53 1,442 $16,633.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 10:40am ET $11.13 1,442 $16,042.25 $16,052.22 $-591.22
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
57 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 12:35pm ET $11.16 1,437 $16,044.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 3:30pm ET $10.82 1,437 $15,548.34 $15,556.45 $-495.77
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9h held
58 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 10:15am ET $13.38 1,162 $15,550.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 11:25am ET $12.95 1,162 $15,047.78 $15,054.00 $-502.45
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,054.00
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,054.00
Total Return: +50.54%
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