AMD Dipster's Analysis
2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-09-24 19:55:00+00 • 40 trades executed
+85.55%
2 Years Return
$18,554.90
Current Value
53%
Win Rate
$10,000.00
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
30.4 neutral
20d Trend
-15.2%
5d Trend
-20.7%
EMA20 Dist
-16.9%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
56
Lifetime
Confidence: 83%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
16.1/25
Win Rate
4.7/15
Profit Factor
4.6/15
Consistency
7.8/10
Raw Quality
68.1/100
× Confidence 0.83
= 56.3
30-Day Momentum
50
+14.2%
30d Return
75%
Win Rate
4
Trades
2.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 76.1
Conf: 0.66×
Cooling (-6 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (83%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
76,654
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$18,554.90
Total P&L
$8,554.91
Max Drawdown
-3.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.30
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
40
Winners / Losers
21 /
19
Best Trade
+22.16%
Worst Trade
-6.71%
Avg Trade Return
+1.73%
Avg Hold Time
1.7d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,159,888.69
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$8,554.91
Net P&L (after fees)
$8,554.91
Gross Return
+85.55%
Net Return (after fees)
+85.55%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 AMD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Dipster had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2025 10:20am ET | $82.89 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2025 9:30am ET | $87.13 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,508.80 |
+$508.80 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $215.96 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 6, 2025 9:55am ET | $208.04 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,128.62 |
$-380.18 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $189.15 | 53 | $10,024.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 3:20pm ET | $199.07 | 53 | $10,550.71 | $10,654.65 |
+$526.03 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.8h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 9:55am ET | $198.49 | 53 | $10,519.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $211.51 | 53 | $11,209.77 | $11,344.44 |
+$689.79 (+6.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
13d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 10:15am ET | $213.72 | 53 | $11,327.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 11:20am ET | $207.07 | 53 | $10,974.71 | $10,991.99 |
$-352.45 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 10:40am ET | $200.43 | 54 | $10,823.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 3:10pm ET | $193.90 | 54 | $10,470.87 | $10,639.64 |
$-352.35 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.5h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $204.05 | 52 | $10,610.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 11:20am ET | $214.54 | 52 | $11,155.82 | $11,184.86 |
+$545.22 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 10:20am ET | $275.30 | 40 | $11,012.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $291.27 | 40 | $11,650.80 | $11,823.66 |
+$638.80 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 9:40am ET | $334.30 | 35 | $11,700.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $311.88 | 35 | $10,915.63 | $11,038.61 |
$-785.05 (-6.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 9:40am ET | $349.38 | 31 | $10,830.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $426.80 | 31 | $13,230.80 | $13,438.63 |
+$2,400.02 (+22.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 12:00pm ET | $407.39 | 32 | $13,036.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 9:40am ET | $430.13 | 32 | $13,764.16 | $14,166.15 |
+$727.52 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.7h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $449.26 | 31 | $13,926.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 11:55am ET | $433.90 | 31 | $13,450.90 | $13,690.14 |
$-476.01 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.4h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $433.34 | 31 | $13,433.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 10:05am ET | $419.68 | 31 | $13,010.08 | $13,266.68 |
$-423.46 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 10:05am ET | $404.73 | 32 | $12,951.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $428.04 | 32 | $13,697.28 | $14,012.44 |
+$745.76 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.4h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 10:20am ET | $433.77 | 32 | $13,880.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $469.87 | 32 | $15,035.84 | $15,167.80 |
+$1,155.36 (+8.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.2h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 10:30am ET | $488.82 | 31 | $15,153.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 11:05am ET | $514.67 | 31 | $15,954.77 | $15,969.15 |
+$801.35 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 9:40am ET | $495.99 | 32 | $15,871.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 3:55pm ET | $521.41 | 32 | $16,685.12 | $16,782.59 |
+$813.44 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.3d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $514.13 | 32 | $16,452.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 9:35am ET | $497.88 | 32 | $15,932.16 | $16,262.59 |
$-520.00 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 10:50am ET | $474.36 | 34 | $16,128.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 12:00pm ET | $459.48 | 34 | $15,622.49 | $15,757.01 |
$-505.58 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 12:00pm ET | $461.15 | 34 | $15,679.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 3:15pm ET | $484.85 | 34 | $16,484.90 | $16,562.81 |
+$805.80 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 10:25am ET | $530.75 | 31 | $16,453.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 3:15pm ET | $514.29 | 31 | $15,943.09 | $16,052.51 |
$-510.30 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 3:35pm ET | $514.26 | 31 | $15,942.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $545.50 | 31 | $16,910.50 | $17,020.95 |
+$968.44 (+6.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.7d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $508.58 | 33 | $16,783.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $544.37 | 33 | $17,964.21 | $18,202.02 |
+$1,181.07 (+7.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $505.07 | 36 | $18,182.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $531.26 | 36 | $19,125.36 | $19,144.86 |
+$942.84 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $554.11 | 34 | $18,839.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $534.80 | 34 | $18,183.37 | $18,488.49 |
$-656.37 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $516.08 | 35 | $18,062.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 11:25am ET | $500.59 | 35 | $17,520.65 | $17,946.51 |
$-541.98 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $535.52 | 33 | $17,672.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $562.40 | 33 | $18,559.20 | $18,833.72 |
+$887.21 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 10:15am ET | $538.76 | 34 | $18,317.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 10:35am ET | $519.22 | 34 | $17,653.48 | $18,169.52 |
$-664.19 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 10:35am ET | $511.94 | 35 | $17,917.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 1:30pm ET | $496.36 | 35 | $17,372.60 | $17,624.22 |
$-545.30 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 11:10am ET | $539.31 | 32 | $17,257.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 9:50am ET | $520.22 | 32 | $16,647.04 | $17,013.34 |
$-610.88 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.7h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 9:50am ET | $509.25 | 33 | $16,805.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 10:20am ET | $488.98 | 33 | $16,136.34 | $16,344.50 |
$-668.84 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 10:20am ET | $444.78 | 36 | $16,012.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 10:40am ET | $430.00 | 36 | $15,480.00 | $15,812.42 |
$-532.08 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 12:00pm ET | $482.43 | 32 | $15,437.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $509.48 | 32 | $16,303.20 | $16,677.70 |
+$865.28 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.5h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $463.71 | 35 | $16,229.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 2:00pm ET | $489.36 | 35 | $17,127.60 | $17,575.45 |
+$897.75 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.5h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $484.67 | 36 | $17,448.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $465.90 | 36 | $16,772.58 | $16,899.91 |
$-675.54 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $488.00 | 34 | $16,592.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 9:50am ET | $468.69 | 34 | $15,935.46 | $16,243.37 |
$-656.54 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $457.89 | 35 | $16,026.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 2:45pm ET | $480.92 | 35 | $16,832.37 | $17,049.59 |
+$806.22 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $457.10 | 37 | $16,912.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $488.88 | 37 | $18,088.56 | $18,225.64 |
+$1,176.05 (+7.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 10:00am ET | $504.50 | 36 | $18,162.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $485.79 | 36 | $17,488.26 | $17,551.90 |
$-673.74 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 3:10pm ET | $509.23 | 34 | $17,313.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2026 9:55am ET | $538.73 | 34 | $18,316.82 | $18,554.90 |
+$1,003.00 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.8h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$18,554.90
Net Profit/Loss:
+$8,554.90
Total Return:
+85.55%