Compendium › Dipster › CRWD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
CRWD
Alpaca Tradeable

Dipster's Analysis

2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-09-25 19:55:00+00 • 28 trades executed

-24.52%
2 Years Return
$7,920.44
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$10,494.10
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 21:19:49

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.18%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.36%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 2.8
Storm
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
19.8 oversold
20d Trend
-20.5%
5d Trend
-15.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.5%
ATR%
4.6%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Sep 25, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 79%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.3/10
Raw Quality 3.3/100
× Confidence 0.79 = 2.6

30-Day Momentum

2
-7.5%
30d Return
20%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 2.9 Conf: 0.70×
Cooling (-1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (79%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
53,164
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-25 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
534 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,494.10
Current Value
$7,920.44
Total P&L
$-2,573.66
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.19

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
27
Winners / Losers
9 / 18
Best Trade
+6.59%
Worst Trade
-9.12%
Avg Trade Return
-0.88%
Avg Hold Time
3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$490,932.13
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,573.66
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,573.66
Gross Return
-24.52%
Net Return (after fees)
-24.52%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CRWD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 534 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Dipster had $10,494.10 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 10:20am ET $321.32 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2025 9:30am ET $342.49 0 $0.00 $11,171.38 +$677.28
(+6.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 11:05am ET $436.11 25 $10,902.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 9:35am ET $416.44 25 $10,411.00 $10,679.51 $-491.87
(-4.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:40am ET $394.80 27 $10,659.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $370.43 27 $10,001.61 $10,021.52 $-657.99
(-6.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 10:05am ET $433.88 23 $9,979.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET $415.58 23 $9,558.45 $9,600.73 $-420.79
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.5h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:40am ET $382.79 25 $9,569.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 10:20am ET $369.45 25 $9,236.13 $9,267.17 $-333.56
(-3.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $448.74 20 $8,974.80 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 10:50am ET $471.34 20 $9,426.80 $9,719.17 +$452.00
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
11.1d held
7 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 9:35am ET $464.00 20 $9,280.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 9:30am ET $488.00 20 $9,760.00 $10,199.17 +$480.00
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held
8 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $638.00 15 $9,570.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 12:20pm ET $671.22 15 $10,068.30 $10,697.47 +$498.30
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:55am ET $755.36 14 $10,575.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $686.48 14 $9,610.79 $9,733.22 $-964.25
(-9.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $685.44 14 $9,596.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 11:00am ET $663.52 14 $9,289.28 $9,426.41 $-306.81
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 12:40pm ET $618.42 15 $9,276.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 9:45am ET $650.31 15 $9,754.65 $9,904.76 +$478.35
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
21.1h held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $169.74 58 $9,845.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $180.28 58 $10,456.24 $10,515.86 +$611.10
(+6.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $189.38 55 $10,416.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:35am ET $199.41 55 $10,967.82 $11,067.67 +$551.81
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5m held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 10:00am ET $193.75 57 $11,043.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 10:40am ET $187.88 57 $10,709.44 $10,733.36 $-334.31
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 10:25am ET $191.58 56 $10,728.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $182.82 56 $10,238.20 $10,243.08 $-490.28
(-4.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 9:40am ET $209.30 48 $10,046.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET $202.37 48 $9,713.52 $9,910.20 $-332.88
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 3:50pm ET $198.13 50 $9,906.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 10:10am ET $191.73 50 $9,586.50 $9,590.20 $-320.00
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held
18 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 10:40am ET $182.18 52 $9,473.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:50am ET $175.88 52 $9,145.76 $9,262.86 $-327.34
(-3.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
19 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 10:25am ET $191.58 56 $10,728.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $180.88 56 $10,129.56 $8,663.94 $-598.92
(-5.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
20d held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET $203.00 42 $8,526.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET $213.82 42 $8,980.65 $9,118.59 +$454.65
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 10:05am ET $219.61 41 $9,004.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 10:00am ET $212.47 41 $8,711.27 $8,825.85 $-292.74
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 10:00am ET $201.04 43 $8,644.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 11:00am ET $195.00 43 $8,385.00 $8,566.13 $-259.72
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 9:35am ET $218.86 39 $8,535.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 10:10am ET $210.85 39 $8,223.15 $8,253.58 $-312.55
(-3.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 10:25am ET $226.12 36 $8,140.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:50am ET $219.13 36 $7,888.86 $8,002.12 $-251.46
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.4h held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:50am ET $207.30 38 $7,877.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 2:35pm ET $200.93 38 $7,635.34 $7,760.06 $-242.06
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.8h held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 10:10am ET $206.63 37 $7,645.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $219.01 37 $8,103.37 $8,217.94 +$457.88
(+6.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6d held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:45am ET $239.60 34 $8,146.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $230.85 34 $7,848.90 $7,920.44 $-297.50
(-3.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,920.44
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,079.56
Total Return: -20.80%
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