Compendium › Dipster › DKNG
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
DKNG
Alpaca Tradeable

Dipster's Analysis

2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-06-25 13:50:00+00 • 26 trades executed

+17.94%
2 Years Return
$12,052.95
Current Value
46%
Win Rate
$10,219.17
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-25 10:10:01

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
12
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 2.8
Active
RSI(14)
22.5 oversold
20d Trend
-25.9%
5d Trend
-7.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.7%
ATR%
5.3%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 25, 2026

27
Lifetime
Confidence: 77%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
13.5/35
Total Return
11.1/25
Win Rate
2.3/15
Profit Factor
2.1/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality 34.7/100
× Confidence 0.77 = 26.7

30-Day Momentum

3
-2.4%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3 Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-24 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (77%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
57,985
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-06-25 → 2026-06-25
Trading Days
534 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,219.17
Current Value
$12,052.95
Total P&L
$1,833.78
Max Drawdown
-5.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.18

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
24
Winners / Losers
11 / 13
Best Trade
+9.71%
Worst Trade
-4.48%
Avg Trade Return
+0.78%
Avg Hold Time
2.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$381,199.74
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,833.78
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,833.78
Gross Return
+17.94%
Net Return (after fees)
+17.94%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DKNG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 534 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Dipster had $10,219.17 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 6, 2024 11:20am ET $42.78 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 6, 2024 2:25pm ET $44.94 0 $0.00 $10,733.80 +$514.63
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2025 12:05pm ET $38.98 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2025 12:05pm ET $39.91 0 $0.00 $10,989.55 +$255.75
(+2.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 10:20am ET $33.24 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2025 10:20am ET $34.25 0 $0.00 $11,324.50 +$334.95
(+3.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2025 9:30am ET $40.01 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 3, 2025 9:30am ET $41.07 0 $0.00 $11,624.48 +$299.98
(+2.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 8, 2025 9:30am ET $43.43 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2025 9:30am ET $42.72 0 $0.00 $11,433.58 $-190.90
(-1.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 12, 2025 9:30am ET $43.51 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2025 9:30am ET $43.28 0 $0.00 $11,374.63 $-58.95
(-0.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Oct 7, 2025 9:30am ET $33.81 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 8, 2025 9:30am ET $32.70 0 $0.00 $11,004.19 $-370.44
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 9:30am ET $21.49 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 9:55am ET $22.67 0 $0.00 $11,608.35 +$604.16
(+5.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $24.70 469 $11,586.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 10:05am ET $26.03 469 $12,208.07 $12,229.78 +$621.43
(+5.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $25.12 486 $12,208.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 10:40am ET $24.36 486 $11,838.96 $11,860.42 $-369.36
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 12:00pm ET $24.12 491 $11,842.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:45am ET $23.38 491 $11,479.87 $11,497.37 $-363.05
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 10:05am ET $22.82 503 $11,478.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 11:15am ET $22.10 503 $11,116.30 $11,135.21 $-362.16
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 10:10am ET $20.68 538 $11,125.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $21.89 538 $11,774.13 $11,783.50 +$648.29
(+5.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5d held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET $23.18 508 $11,774.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 10:15am ET $22.47 508 $11,414.71 $11,423.79 $-359.71
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:35pm ET $23.07 495 $11,419.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 10:55am ET $22.33 495 $11,053.00 $11,057.14 $-366.65
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
16 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 3:00pm ET $24.10 458 $11,037.80 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 9:30am ET $26.44 458 $12,109.52 $12,128.86 +$1,071.72
(+9.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
17 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 9:30am ET $25.08 483 $12,111.23 — — —
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 10:25am ET $24.30 483 $11,736.90 $11,754.53 $-374.33
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
55m held
18 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 9:30am ET $24.02 489 $11,745.78 — — —
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 1:55pm ET $25.23 489 $12,337.47 $12,346.22 +$591.69
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.4h held
19 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 12:05pm ET $25.09 491 $12,321.64 — — —
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:40am ET $23.97 491 $11,770.11 $11,794.68 $-551.54
(-4.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
10.9d held
20 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $23.79 495 $11,776.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:35am ET $25.30 495 $12,523.50 $12,542.13 +$747.45
(+6.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:35am ET $25.49 492 $12,541.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $24.70 492 $12,152.40 $12,153.45 $-388.68
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 11:30am ET $26.63 456 $12,143.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $28.17 456 $12,844.61 $12,854.78 +$701.33
(+5.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
22h held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 9:55am ET $28.87 445 $12,847.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 10:10am ET $27.92 445 $12,424.40 $12,432.03 $-422.75
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $25.55 486 $12,417.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 2:50pm ET $24.77 486 $12,038.22 $12,052.95 $-379.08
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,052.95
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,052.95
Total Return: +20.53%
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