Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:36:37

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
19.1 oversold
20d Trend
-20.9%
5d Trend
-12.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.6%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 62%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality 4.3/100
× Confidence 0.62 = 2.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (62%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
15,308
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
188 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$10,626.18
Current Value
$8,427.39
Period P&L
$-2,198.79
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.36

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
3 / 9
Best Trade
+6.27%
Worst Trade
-11.62%
Avg Trade Return
-1.73%
Avg Hold Time
5.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$225,602.71
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,198.79
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,198.79
Gross Return
-20.69%
Net Return (after fees)
-20.69%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ARKK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 188 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Dipster had $10,626.18 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $69.83 152 $10,614.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 2:00pm ET $67.67 152 $10,285.84 $10,297.86 $-328.32
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.2d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $66.05 155 $10,237.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:35am ET $69.46 155 $10,766.30 $10,826.41 +$528.55
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 10:10am ET $76.93 140 $10,770.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $74.14 140 $10,379.60 $10,435.61 $-390.80
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
4 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 9:35am ET $75.88 137 $10,395.56 — — —
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 2:50pm ET $73.50 137 $10,069.50 $10,109.55 $-326.06
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:35am ET $77.95 129 $10,055.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 11:35am ET $75.54 129 $9,744.66 $9,798.66 $-310.89
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 10:50am ET $74.80 130 $9,724.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:20pm ET $72.53 130 $9,428.90 $9,503.56 $-295.10
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 3:40pm ET $78.46 121 $9,493.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:55am ET $75.79 121 $9,170.59 $9,180.49 $-323.07
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 10:15am ET $80.83 113 $9,133.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 1:35pm ET $78.36 113 $8,854.68 $8,901.38 $-279.11
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.1d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $74.50 119 $8,865.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 9:50am ET $72.09 119 $8,578.71 $8,614.59 $-286.79
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 10:15am ET $80.83 113 $9,133.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $71.44 113 $8,072.72 $7,553.52 $-1,061.07
(-11.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23d held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 10:05am ET $70.37 107 $7,529.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $74.78 107 $8,001.46 $8,025.39 +$471.87
(+6.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 10:15am ET $79.47 100 $7,947.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 9:30am ET $83.49 100 $8,349.00 $8,427.39 +$402.00
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,427.39
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,572.61
Total Return: -15.73%
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