COIN Dipster's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 48 trades in period
+9.67%
Year to Date Return
$10,611.08
Current Value
42%
Win Rate
$9,675.19
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
13.1 oversold
20d Trend
-42.6%
5d Trend
-24.4%
EMA20 Dist
-25.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
13
Lifetime
Confidence: 88%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
1.5/35
Total Return
7.1/25
Win Rate
0.3/15
Profit Factor
0.3/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality
14.5/100
× Confidence 0.88
= 12.8
30-Day Momentum
3
-10.6%
30d Return
17%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3
Conf: 0.74×
Cooling (-10 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (88%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
17,006
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)
Market Closed (8 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$9,675.19
Current Value
$10,611.08
Period P&L
$935.89
Max Drawdown
-14.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.07
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
48
Winners / Losers
20 /
28
Best Trade
+9.18%
Worst Trade
-5.07%
Avg Trade Return
+0.30%
Avg Hold Time
1.5d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$943,919.30
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$935.89
Net P&L (after fees)
$935.89
Gross Return
+9.67%
Net Return (after fees)
+9.67%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 COIN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 48 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Dipster had $9,675.19 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $159.67 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $164.14 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,943.39 |
+$268.20 (+2.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $155.73 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 10:05am ET | $151.04 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,647.92 |
$-295.47 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $197.60 | 48 | $9,484.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $208.49 | 48 | $10,007.76 | $10,170.88 |
+$522.96 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
11d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 9:35am ET | $205.67 | 49 | $10,077.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $195.24 | 49 | $9,566.86 | $9,659.91 |
$-510.97 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 10:15am ET | $198.01 | 48 | $9,504.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 10:20am ET | $190.04 | 48 | $9,121.92 | $9,277.35 |
$-382.56 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 11:55am ET | $183.27 | 50 | $9,163.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $176.64 | 50 | $8,832.00 | $8,945.85 |
$-331.50 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.6h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $166.16 | 53 | $8,806.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 10:25am ET | $160.47 | 53 | $8,504.89 | $8,644.26 |
$-301.59 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 10:30am ET | $160.52 | 53 | $8,507.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 10:25am ET | $168.68 | 53 | $8,940.30 | $9,077.00 |
+$432.74 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $166.01 | 54 | $8,964.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $175.70 | 54 | $9,487.53 | $9,599.72 |
+$522.72 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 9:40am ET | $169.49 | 56 | $9,491.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $184.94 | 56 | $10,356.64 | $10,464.64 |
+$864.92 (+9.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:55am ET | $169.43 | 61 | $10,335.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 9:50am ET | $164.34 | 61 | $10,024.74 | $10,153.84 |
$-310.80 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET | $189.90 | 53 | $10,064.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 12:20pm ET | $199.77 | 53 | $10,587.81 | $10,676.95 |
+$523.11 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.4h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $200.56 | 53 | $10,629.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 2:55pm ET | $210.61 | 53 | $11,162.20 | $11,209.41 |
+$532.46 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.4h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 9:55am ET | $199.49 | 56 | $11,171.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $190.43 | 56 | $10,664.08 | $10,702.05 |
$-507.36 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $187.15 | 57 | $10,667.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $179.84 | 57 | $10,250.88 | $10,285.61 |
$-416.44 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 9:55am ET | $200.04 | 51 | $10,202.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 11:30am ET | $193.91 | 51 | $9,889.41 | $9,972.98 |
$-312.63 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $185.40 | 53 | $9,825.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 1:25pm ET | $194.75 | 53 | $10,321.75 | $10,468.79 |
+$495.81 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 9:55am ET | $210.73 | 49 | $10,325.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 12:00pm ET | $203.65 | 49 | $9,978.85 | $10,121.87 |
$-346.92 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $197.50 | 51 | $10,072.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 11:10am ET | $208.15 | 51 | $10,615.90 | $10,665.27 |
+$543.40 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.6h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 11:20am ET | $193.24 | 55 | $10,628.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 10:35am ET | $187.37 | 55 | $10,305.29 | $10,342.36 |
$-322.91 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 10:25am ET | $187.57 | 55 | $10,316.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 1:55pm ET | $181.90 | 55 | $10,004.23 | $10,030.51 |
$-311.85 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $170.41 | 58 | $9,883.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 11:05am ET | $179.92 | 58 | $10,435.36 | $10,581.97 |
+$551.46 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.6h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $177.21 | 59 | $10,455.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 1:45pm ET | $186.40 | 59 | $10,997.60 | $11,124.35 |
+$542.38 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.3h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 9:45am ET | $168.69 | 65 | $10,964.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 3:20pm ET | $163.43 | 65 | $10,622.95 | $10,782.46 |
$-341.89 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.6h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $157.92 | 68 | $10,738.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 10:20am ET | $152.37 | 68 | $10,361.16 | $10,405.06 |
$-377.40 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $157.30 | 66 | $10,381.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 12:10pm ET | $152.53 | 66 | $10,067.11 | $10,090.37 |
$-314.69 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 9:45am ET | $156.26 | 64 | $10,000.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 10:55am ET | $164.16 | 64 | $10,506.24 | $10,595.97 |
+$505.60 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 10:30am ET | $167.64 | 63 | $10,561.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 2:10pm ET | $162.55 | 63 | $10,240.65 | $10,275.30 |
$-320.67 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $156.66 | 65 | $10,183.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 12:40pm ET | $151.34 | 65 | $9,837.10 | $9,929.37 |
$-345.93 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $145.78 | 68 | $9,913.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 9:55am ET | $153.70 | 68 | $10,451.60 | $10,467.85 |
+$538.48 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2026 10:40am ET | $166.78 | 62 | $10,340.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $161.28 | 62 | $9,999.36 | $10,126.85 |
$-341.00 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 10:05am ET | $164.95 | 61 | $10,061.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $159.23 | 61 | $9,712.73 | $9,777.63 |
$-349.22 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.4h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 10:35am ET | $160.54 | 60 | $9,632.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 1:35pm ET | $155.50 | 60 | $9,330.00 | $9,474.93 |
$-302.70 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 9:50am ET | $160.97 | 58 | $9,336.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $155.23 | 58 | $9,003.05 | $9,141.72 |
$-333.21 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 3:10pm ET | $159.28 | 57 | $9,078.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $173.90 | 57 | $9,912.30 | $9,975.06 |
+$833.34 (+9.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.3h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 10:10am ET | $171.24 | 58 | $9,931.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $163.68 | 58 | $9,493.15 | $9,536.29 |
$-438.77 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $158.10 | 60 | $9,486.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $166.70 | 60 | $10,002.00 | $10,052.29 |
+$516.00 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 9:35am ET | $160.80 | 62 | $9,969.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $169.36 | 62 | $10,500.32 | $10,583.01 |
+$530.72 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 9:40am ET | $160.07 | 66 | $10,564.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $153.28 | 66 | $10,116.48 | $10,134.54 |
$-448.47 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $144.02 | 70 | $10,081.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 1:10pm ET | $151.37 | 70 | $10,595.90 | $10,649.21 |
+$514.67 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.7h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $146.71 | 72 | $10,562.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 10:35am ET | $154.19 | 72 | $11,101.68 | $11,188.13 |
+$538.92 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 10:10am ET | $149.06 | 75 | $11,179.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 10:50am ET | $158.13 | 75 | $11,860.12 | $11,868.75 |
+$680.62 (+6.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $182.01 | 65 | $11,830.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 10:45am ET | $191.20 | 65 | $12,428.00 | $12,466.10 |
+$597.35 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 10:50am ET | $185.01 | 67 | $12,395.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 12:15pm ET | $179.05 | 67 | $11,996.35 | $12,066.78 |
$-399.32 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $181.00 | 66 | $11,946.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 2:40pm ET | $175.26 | 66 | $11,566.83 | $11,687.61 |
$-379.17 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.2h held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $184.35 | 63 | $11,614.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 10:10am ET | $178.66 | 63 | $11,255.58 | $11,328.83 |
$-358.78 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $183.85 | 61 | $11,214.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 10:35am ET | $177.98 | 61 | $10,856.88 | $10,970.86 |
$-357.97 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 10:35am ET | $168.12 | 65 | $10,927.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 2:55pm ET | $162.58 | 65 | $10,567.70 | $10,611.08 |
$-359.78 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.3h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,611.08
Net Profit/Loss:
+$611.08
Total Return:
+6.11%