Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-25 10:08:27

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
12
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 2.8
Active
RSI(14)
13.3 oversold
20d Trend
-41.6%
5d Trend
-28.6%
EMA20 Dist
-26.6%
ATR%
7.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 25, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 81%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.3/10
Raw Quality 3.3/100
× Confidence 0.81 = 2.7

30-Day Momentum

47
+17.3%
30d Return
63%
Win Rate
8
Trades
2.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 58.5 Conf: 0.81×
Accelerating (+45 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (81%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
11,908
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-06-25
Trading Days
126 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$9,428.24
Current Value
$8,123.87
Period P&L
$-1,304.38
Max Drawdown
-9.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.11

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
22
Winners / Losers
8 / 14
Best Trade
+5.97%
Worst Trade
-11.44%
Avg Trade Return
-0.56%
Avg Hold Time
1.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$342,297.59
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,304.38
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,304.38
Gross Return
-13.83%
Net Return (after fees)
-13.83%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 HOOD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 126 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 22 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Dipster had $9,428.24 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET $76.80 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 10:05am ET $74.45 0 $0.00 $9,141.54 $-286.70
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $77.99 117 $9,124.83
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 11:10am ET $75.36 117 $8,816.54 $8,833.25 $-308.29
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $72.28 122 $8,818.16
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 3:40pm ET $70.08 122 $8,550.10 $8,565.19 $-268.06
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:40am ET $70.91 120 $8,509.20
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $68.74 120 $8,248.80 $8,304.79 $-260.40
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 1:15pm ET $65.07 127 $8,264.52
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 1:05pm ET $68.46 127 $8,694.41 $8,734.67 +$429.88
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $67.19 129 $8,668.03
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 12:35pm ET $70.58 129 $9,105.46 $9,172.11 +$437.44
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 10:10am ET $73.46 124 $9,108.42
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET $69.95 124 $8,673.80 $8,737.49 $-434.62
(-4.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.4h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET $85.03 102 $8,672.55
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $90.10 102 $9,190.20 $9,255.14 +$517.65
(+6.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.6h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 10:55am ET $89.20 103 $9,187.60
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $86.38 103 $8,897.14 $8,964.68 $-290.46
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 10:00am ET $85.58 104 $8,899.96
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:40pm ET $83.00 104 $8,632.00 $8,696.72 $-267.96
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $81.47 106 $8,635.82
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $72.15 106 $7,647.66 $7,708.56 $-988.16
(-11.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
12 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 9:55am ET $78.24 98 $7,667.52
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 9:50am ET $75.72 98 $7,420.56 $7,461.60 $-246.96
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held
13 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 9:30am ET $77.85 95 $7,395.75
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 9:35am ET $75.15 95 $7,139.25 $7,205.10 $-256.50
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
14 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 10:25am ET $73.56 97 $7,134.84
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 10:00am ET $77.75 97 $7,541.75 $7,612.01 +$406.91
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
15 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 10:20am ET $86.11 88 $7,577.43
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 11:15am ET $90.68 88 $7,979.84 $8,014.42 +$402.41
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
55m held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $88.68 90 $7,980.75
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $85.11 90 $7,659.90 $7,693.57 $-320.85
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:40am ET $84.76 90 $7,628.22
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 12:15pm ET $81.98 90 $7,378.20 $7,443.55 $-250.02
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.6h held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 10:45am ET $84.44 88 $7,430.72
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 11:35am ET $81.89 88 $7,206.45 $7,219.28 $-224.27
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
19 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 11:35am ET $87.61 82 $7,184.02
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 2:50pm ET $92.20 82 $7,560.40 $7,595.66 +$376.38
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 10:50am ET $96.21 78 $7,504.77
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 10:10am ET $101.18 78 $7,891.65 $7,982.54 +$386.88
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 10:10am ET $105.07 75 $7,880.55
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:50am ET $111.35 75 $8,351.25 $8,453.24 +$470.70
(+6.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 9:45am ET $98.64 85 $8,383.98
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:40am ET $94.76 85 $8,054.60 $8,123.87 $-329.38
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,123.87
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,876.13
Total Return: -18.76%
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