MU Dipster's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 49 trades in period
+120.02%
Year to Date Return
$25,478.65
Current Value
53%
Win Rate
$11,580.25
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
60
Lifetime
Confidence: 86%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
18.2/25
Win Rate
5.1/15
Profit Factor
5.2/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality
70.0/100
× Confidence 0.86
= 60.1
30-Day Momentum
11
+1.5%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 18.3
Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-49 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (86%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
17,118
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
190 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)
Market Closed (8 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$11,580.25
Current Value
$25,478.65
Period P&L
$13,898.40
Max Drawdown
-3.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.30
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
49
Winners / Losers
26 /
23
Best Trade
+23.71%
Worst Trade
-8.72%
Avg Trade Return
+1.82%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,876,687.60
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$13,898.40
Net P&L (after fees)
$13,898.40
Gross Return
+120.02%
Net Return (after fees)
+120.02%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 190 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 49 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Dipster had $11,580.25 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $382.14 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $394.35 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,946.70 |
+$366.45 (+3.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $372.10 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 12:05pm ET | $391.42 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,565.10 |
+$618.40 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $397.77 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2026 12:40pm ET | $418.20 | 0 | $0.00 | $13,198.43 |
+$633.33 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $380.92 | 34 | $12,951.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 3:35pm ET | $369.23 | 34 | $12,553.98 | $12,800.96 |
$-397.47 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.1h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $408.49 | 31 | $12,663.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $446.54 | 31 | $13,842.74 | $13,980.51 |
+$1,179.55 (+9.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $424.00 | 32 | $13,568.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 10:15am ET | $449.11 | 32 | $14,371.36 | $14,783.87 |
+$803.36 (+5.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
45m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 10:15am ET | $433.79 | 34 | $14,748.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 1:55pm ET | $420.70 | 34 | $14,303.83 | $14,339.01 |
$-444.86 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:45am ET | $391.70 | 36 | $14,101.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:35am ET | $377.00 | 36 | $13,572.00 | $13,809.81 |
$-529.20 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 9:40am ET | $369.00 | 37 | $13,653.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 1:25pm ET | $357.85 | 37 | $13,240.45 | $13,397.26 |
$-412.55 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 9:40am ET | $345.18 | 38 | $13,117.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 12:00pm ET | $332.80 | 38 | $12,646.40 | $12,926.63 |
$-470.63 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $340.91 | 37 | $12,613.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 10:10am ET | $358.14 | 37 | $13,251.18 | $13,564.29 |
+$637.66 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
40m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 10:00am ET | $368.20 | 36 | $13,255.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $414.18 | 36 | $14,910.66 | $15,219.57 |
+$1,655.28 (+12.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.5h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 10:25am ET | $401.55 | 37 | $14,857.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 3:35pm ET | $423.13 | 37 | $15,655.63 | $16,017.85 |
+$798.28 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.2h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 10:05am ET | $449.54 | 35 | $15,733.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 10:30am ET | $474.45 | 35 | $16,605.92 | $16,890.05 |
+$872.20 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 1:45pm ET | $475.27 | 35 | $16,634.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 10:10am ET | $499.12 | 35 | $17,469.20 | $17,724.63 |
+$834.58 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.4h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $502.27 | 35 | $17,579.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $527.40 | 35 | $18,459.00 | $18,604.18 |
+$879.55 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 10:10am ET | $510.53 | 36 | $18,378.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:55am ET | $537.09 | 36 | $19,335.42 | $19,560.70 |
+$956.52 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 12:40pm ET | $629.81 | 31 | $19,524.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 11:25am ET | $662.80 | 31 | $20,546.80 | $20,583.39 |
+$1,022.69 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 11:50am ET | $658.08 | 31 | $20,400.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 1:20pm ET | $637.79 | 31 | $19,771.49 | $19,954.40 |
$-628.99 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 9:55am ET | $773.85 | 25 | $19,346.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 2:35pm ET | $813.78 | 25 | $20,344.53 | $20,952.56 |
+$998.16 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.7h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $731.76 | 28 | $20,489.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 10:30am ET | $708.73 | 28 | $19,844.58 | $20,307.86 |
$-644.70 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 10:30am ET | $663.80 | 30 | $19,914.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 12:05pm ET | $700.85 | 30 | $21,025.50 | $21,419.36 |
+$1,111.50 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.6h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 10:15am ET | $914.05 | 23 | $21,023.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 9:50am ET | $969.00 | 23 | $22,287.00 | $22,683.10 |
+$1,263.74 (+6.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 10:25am ET | $1,034.80 | 21 | $21,730.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 9:40am ET | $989.61 | 21 | $20,781.81 | $21,734.11 |
$-948.99 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 9:40am ET | $935.16 | 23 | $21,508.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 12:30pm ET | $906.34 | 23 | $20,845.93 | $21,071.48 |
$-662.63 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 10:20am ET | $952.70 | 22 | $20,959.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 11:25am ET | $916.71 | 22 | $20,167.62 | $20,279.70 |
$-791.78 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 11:25am ET | $913.17 | 22 | $20,089.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 2:50pm ET | $965.06 | 22 | $21,231.32 | $21,421.28 |
+$1,141.58 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 10:35am ET | $1,064.58 | 20 | $21,291.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 11:45am ET | $1,029.87 | 20 | $20,597.40 | $20,727.15 |
$-694.13 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 3:50pm ET | $1,049.93 | 19 | $19,948.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,108.30 | 19 | $21,057.70 | $21,836.18 |
+$1,109.03 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
17.7h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,078.93 | 20 | $21,578.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2026 2:45pm ET | $1,043.23 | 20 | $20,864.60 | $21,122.28 |
$-713.90 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.3h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 3:10pm ET | $992.80 | 21 | $20,848.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,228.15 | 21 | $25,791.05 | $26,064.53 |
+$4,942.25 (+23.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.3h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,136.76 | 22 | $25,008.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $1,090.82 | 22 | $23,998.15 | $25,053.96 |
$-1,010.57 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,068.12 | 23 | $24,566.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 3:55pm ET | $1,032.52 | 23 | $23,747.96 | $24,235.16 |
$-818.80 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.4h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $917.57 | 26 | $23,856.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,012.41 | 26 | $26,322.66 | $26,701.00 |
+$2,465.84 (+10.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $961.78 | 27 | $25,968.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $916.62 | 27 | $24,748.77 | $25,481.71 |
$-1,219.29 (-4.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 9:50am ET | $953.47 | 26 | $24,790.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 10:20am ET | $921.45 | 26 | $23,957.57 | $24,649.06 |
$-832.65 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 10:20am ET | $869.63 | 28 | $24,349.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 1:40pm ET | $842.18 | 28 | $23,581.04 | $23,880.46 |
$-768.60 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 2:15pm ET | $874.85 | 27 | $23,621.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $931.08 | 27 | $25,139.03 | $25,398.40 |
+$1,517.94 (+6.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $951.53 | 26 | $24,739.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 10:35am ET | $922.67 | 26 | $23,989.42 | $24,648.17 |
$-750.23 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 10:35am ET | $860.22 | 28 | $24,086.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $832.72 | 28 | $23,316.05 | $23,878.06 |
$-770.11 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.9h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 9:50am ET | $803.87 | 29 | $23,312.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 11:35am ET | $778.24 | 29 | $22,569.10 | $23,134.99 |
$-743.07 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 9:45am ET | $888.91 | 26 | $23,111.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 10:05am ET | $846.34 | 26 | $22,004.84 | $22,028.13 |
$-1,106.86 (-4.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 10:05am ET | $787.11 | 27 | $21,251.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 11:00am ET | $826.55 | 27 | $22,316.85 | $23,093.01 |
+$1,064.88 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
55m held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $841.43 | 27 | $22,718.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 10:10am ET | $887.65 | 27 | $23,966.42 | $24,340.82 |
+$1,247.81 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
40m held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 10:10am ET | $855.30 | 28 | $23,948.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $916.79 | 28 | $25,670.12 | $26,062.40 |
+$1,721.58 (+7.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $957.26 | 27 | $25,846.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 9:55am ET | $922.00 | 27 | $24,894.00 | $25,110.38 |
$-952.02 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $912.27 | 27 | $24,631.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $967.78 | 27 | $26,130.06 | $26,609.29 |
+$1,498.91 (+6.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $927.97 | 28 | $25,983.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $974.49 | 28 | $27,285.72 | $27,911.85 |
+$1,302.56 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $996.58 | 28 | $27,904.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $909.68 | 28 | $25,471.04 | $25,478.65 |
$-2,433.20 (-8.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$25,478.65
Net Profit/Loss:
+$15,478.65
Total Return:
+154.79%