Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 19:30:40

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
22.1 oversold
20d Trend
-18.5%
5d Trend
-17.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.4%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

21
Lifetime
Confidence: 58%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
10.7/35
Total Return
10.1/25
Win Rate
7.5/15
Profit Factor
2.2/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality 36.2/100
× Confidence 0.58 = 21.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (58%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
75,890
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
536 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$11,528.68
Total P&L
$1,528.68
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.37

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
10
Winners / Losers
6 / 4
Best Trade
+5.79%
Worst Trade
-4.50%
Avg Trade Return
+1.54%
Avg Hold Time
4.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$212,473.38
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,528.68
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,528.68
Gross Return
+15.29%
Net Return (after fees)
+15.29%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMZN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 536 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Dipster had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 10:20am ET $172.90 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2025 9:30am ET $182.91 0 $0.00 $10,570.57 +$570.57
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 10:00am ET $207.52 50 $10,376.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 10:00am ET $212.59 50 $10,629.50 $10,823.82 +$253.25
(+2.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 10:00am ET $201.77 53 $10,694.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 11:15am ET $211.96 53 $11,233.96 $11,363.71 +$539.89
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 10:20am ET $258.24 44 $11,362.78 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 10:10am ET $271.85 44 $11,961.40 $11,962.33 +$598.62
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
5 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 10:50am ET $256.74 46 $11,810.04 — — —
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 10:05am ET $270.05 46 $12,422.30 $12,574.59 +$612.26
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:40am ET $263.11 47 $12,366.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:35am ET $255.15 47 $11,992.05 $12,200.24 $-374.35
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 9:55am ET $234.04 52 $12,170.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:35am ET $246.78 52 $12,832.56 $12,862.72 +$662.48
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 10:20am ET $236.89 54 $12,792.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET $226.23 54 $12,216.42 $12,287.08 $-575.64
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $236.28 52 $12,286.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 10:30am ET $228.84 52 $11,899.68 $11,900.20 $-386.88
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $276.73 43 $11,899.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 11:50am ET $268.09 43 $11,527.87 $11,528.68 $-371.52
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,528.68
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,528.68
Total Return: +15.29%
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