ARM Dipster's Analysis
2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-06-17 15:30:00+00 • 43 trades executed
+37.12%
2 Years Return
$12,692.99
Current Value
46%
Win Rate
$9,256.76
Period Start
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.
Fear & Greed
22
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.2
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.47%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.38%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.6
Unsettled
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
46.9 neutral
20d Trend
-0.2%
5d Trend
+2.4%
EMA20 Dist
-0.9%
ATR%
6.3%
Range Pos
19%
Bounce Ratio
1.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Jun 17, 2026
21
Lifetime
Confidence: 85%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
5.0/35
Total Return
12.0/25
Win Rate
1.6/15
Profit Factor
1.7/15
Consistency
4.0/10
Raw Quality
24.2/100
× Confidence 0.85
= 20.6
30-Day Momentum
9
-0.2%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
10
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0
Conf: 0.87×
Declining (-12 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (85%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
67,138
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-06-17 → 2026-06-17
Trading Days
536 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$9,256.76
Current Value
$12,692.99
Total P&L
$3,436.23
Max Drawdown
-19.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.20
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
37
Winners / Losers
17 /
20
Best Trade
+10.73%
Worst Trade
-4.65%
Avg Trade Return
+0.99%
Avg Hold Time
19.8h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$677,062.45
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,436.23
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,436.23
Gross Return
+37.12%
Net Return (after fees)
+37.12%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 ARM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 536 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Dipster had $9,256.76 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 20, 2024 9:30am ET | $166.60 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 20, 2024 1:20pm ET | $160.55 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,924.01 |
$-332.75 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 25, 2024 9:50am ET | $144.67 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 25, 2024 10:50am ET | $153.54 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,464.93 |
+$540.92 (+6.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2024 9:30am ET | $146.70 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2024 9:30am ET | $140.25 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,052.45 |
$-412.48 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2025 10:20am ET | $87.64 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2025 10:35am ET | $84.50 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,729.03 |
$-323.42 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2025 9:30am ET | $114.57 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 9, 2025 9:30am ET | $116.75 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,894.90 |
+$165.87 (+1.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2025 9:30am ET | $141.22 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $138.68 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,737.50 |
$-157.40 (-1.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $159.78 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $152.95 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,368.68 |
$-368.82 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $111.69 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $108.94 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,165.31 |
$-203.37 (-2.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $119.23 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $127.07 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,698.76 |
+$533.45 (+6.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $112.43 | 77 | $8,656.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $118.09 | 77 | $9,092.93 | $9,134.96 |
+$436.20 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 10:10am ET | $116.47 | 78 | $9,084.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 1:40pm ET | $122.85 | 78 | $9,582.29 | $9,632.59 |
+$497.63 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $125.50 | 76 | $9,537.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $137.83 | 76 | $10,475.08 | $10,570.05 |
+$937.46 (+9.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 12:05pm ET | $133.98 | 78 | $10,450.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $148.35 | 78 | $11,571.69 | $11,691.30 |
+$1,121.25 (+10.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $147.31 | 79 | $11,637.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 10:10am ET | $142.50 | 79 | $11,257.50 | $11,311.31 |
$-379.99 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 10:40am ET | $139.32 | 81 | $11,284.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 10:05am ET | $146.33 | 81 | $11,852.42 | $11,878.81 |
+$567.50 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.4h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 11:30am ET | $152.96 | 77 | $11,777.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $148.18 | 77 | $11,410.24 | $11,511.13 |
$-367.68 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.1h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $144.04 | 79 | $11,379.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 10:10am ET | $138.60 | 79 | $10,949.40 | $11,080.98 |
$-430.15 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 10:40am ET | $146.95 | 75 | $11,020.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $156.46 | 75 | $11,734.50 | $11,794.60 |
+$713.62 (+6.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 11:05am ET | $173.88 | 67 | $11,649.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 9:45am ET | $183.20 | 67 | $12,274.40 | $12,419.04 |
+$624.44 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.7h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 1:45pm ET | $201.40 | 61 | $12,285.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $221.94 | 61 | $13,538.43 | $13,672.27 |
+$1,253.23 (+10.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.8h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $224.49 | 60 | $13,469.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:40am ET | $217.30 | 60 | $13,038.00 | $13,240.87 |
$-431.40 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:40am ET | $201.94 | 65 | $13,126.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:50am ET | $194.24 | 65 | $12,625.92 | $12,740.69 |
$-500.18 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $207.96 | 61 | $12,685.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 11:25am ET | $201.60 | 61 | $12,297.60 | $12,352.73 |
$-387.96 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 10:20am ET | $221.69 | 55 | $12,192.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 11:10am ET | $232.99 | 55 | $12,814.44 | $12,974.22 |
+$621.49 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
50m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 11:50am ET | $214.83 | 60 | $12,889.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $206.54 | 60 | $12,392.10 | $12,476.52 |
$-497.70 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 10:35am ET | $208.07 | 59 | $12,275.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 12:40pm ET | $201.69 | 59 | $11,899.68 | $12,100.34 |
$-376.18 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $215.25 | 56 | $12,054.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 3:35pm ET | $226.36 | 56 | $12,676.16 | $12,722.49 |
+$622.15 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 10:05am ET | $203.93 | 62 | $12,643.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 3:50pm ET | $214.81 | 62 | $13,318.22 | $13,397.05 |
+$674.56 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.8h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 10:00am ET | $311.24 | 43 | $13,383.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2026 1:10pm ET | $301.31 | 43 | $12,956.33 | $12,970.06 |
$-426.99 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2026 3:40pm ET | $334.00 | 38 | $12,692.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 9:40am ET | $351.68 | 38 | $13,363.68 | $13,641.74 |
+$671.68 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 9:45am ET | $394.00 | 34 | $13,396.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 11:20am ET | $413.95 | 34 | $14,074.30 | $14,320.04 |
+$678.30 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.6h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 12:25pm ET | $413.25 | 34 | $14,050.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $394.03 | 34 | $13,397.02 | $13,666.56 |
$-653.48 (-4.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.1h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $385.72 | 35 | $13,500.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 9:55am ET | $372.26 | 35 | $13,029.10 | $13,195.46 |
$-471.10 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 9:55am ET | $355.02 | 37 | $13,135.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 2:05pm ET | $344.11 | 37 | $12,732.07 | $12,791.79 |
$-403.67 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.2h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 10:15am ET | $336.98 | 37 | $12,468.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 10:50am ET | $324.41 | 37 | $12,003.17 | $12,326.52 |
$-465.27 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 11:00am ET | $317.42 | 38 | $12,062.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 11:50am ET | $307.81 | 38 | $11,696.78 | $11,961.15 |
$-365.37 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 12:00pm ET | $366.97 | 32 | $11,743.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $389.84 | 32 | $12,474.88 | $12,692.99 |
+$731.84 (+6.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$12,692.99
Net Profit/Loss:
+$2,692.99
Total Return:
+26.93%