Compendium › Dipster › AXP
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AXP
Alpaca Tradeable

Dipster's Analysis

2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-09-24 19:55:00+00 • 6 trades executed

+12.64%
2 Years Return
$11,264.01
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$10,000.00
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-24 18:59:56

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
44.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
+1.1%
EMA20 Dist
-0.8%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
55%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 22, 2026

65
Lifetime
Confidence: 0%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
93.4/35
Total Return
52.8/25
Win Rate
81.1/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
96.3/10
Raw Quality 0.0/100
× Confidence 0.00 = 64.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (0%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
43,926
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
521 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$11,264.01
Total P&L
$1,264.01
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.44

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
6
Winners / Losers
3 / 3
Best Trade
+8.72%
Worst Trade
-3.02%
Avg Trade Return
+2.11%
Avg Hold Time
9.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$109,867.05
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,264.01
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,264.01
Gross Return
+12.64%
Net Return (after fees)
+12.64%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AXP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 521 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Dipster had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 10:20am ET $230.32 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2025 9:30am ET $244.86 0 $0.00 $10,625.01 +$625.01
(+6.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $297.35 35 $10,407.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 10:30am ET $292.73 35 $10,245.55 $10,463.31 $-161.70
(-1.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:40am ET $294.02 35 $10,290.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $319.66 35 $11,188.10 $11,360.54 +$897.23
(+8.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 9:35am ET $341.89 33 $11,282.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 10:05am ET $359.39 33 $11,859.87 $11,938.04 +$577.50
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 9:35am ET $341.89 33 $11,282.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $331.85 33 $10,950.89 $11,606.55 $-331.49
(-2.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
22d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:40am ET $315.31 36 $11,351.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 3:10pm ET $305.80 36 $11,008.62 $11,264.01 $-342.54
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,264.01
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,264.01
Total Return: +12.64%
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