HOOD Dipster's Analysis
2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-09-24 19:55:00+00 • 51 trades executed
-16.82%
2 Years Return
$8,088.10
Current Value
38%
Win Rate
$9,723.79
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
13.3 oversold
20d Trend
-41.6%
5d Trend
-28.6%
EMA20 Dist
-26.6%
ATR%
7.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
3
Lifetime
Confidence: 86%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.3/10
Raw Quality
3.3/100
× Confidence 0.86
= 2.9
30-Day Momentum
3
+0.2%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
5
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.7
Conf: 0.70×
Steady (+0 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (86%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
75,487
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
536 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$9,723.79
Current Value
$8,088.10
Total P&L
$-1,635.70
Max Drawdown
-9.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.06
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
45
Winners / Losers
17 /
28
Best Trade
+7.44%
Worst Trade
-11.44%
Avg Trade Return
-0.29%
Avg Hold Time
1.5d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$595,280.87
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,635.70
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,635.70
Gross Return
-16.82%
Net Return (after fees)
-16.82%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 HOOD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 536 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Dipster had $9,723.79 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 31, 2024 9:30am ET | $25.10 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 31, 2024 9:45am ET | $24.22 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,382.92 |
$-340.87 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2024 9:30am ET | $26.97 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2024 10:20am ET | $28.36 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,863.83 |
+$480.91 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 5, 2024 9:30am ET | $40.57 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2024 10:45am ET | $39.30 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,555.22 |
$-308.61 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2025 9:30am ET | $62.80 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2025 1:15pm ET | $60.77 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,246.66 |
$-308.56 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2025 10:20am ET | $33.38 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2025 10:50am ET | $35.41 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,810.24 |
+$563.58 (+6.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $49.04 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2025 9:35am ET | $47.13 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,428.24 |
$-382.00 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $76.80 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 10:05am ET | $74.45 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,141.54 |
$-286.70 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $77.99 | 117 | $9,124.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 11:10am ET | $75.36 | 117 | $8,816.54 | $8,833.25 |
$-308.29 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $72.28 | 122 | $8,818.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 3:40pm ET | $70.08 | 122 | $8,550.10 | $8,565.19 |
$-268.06 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $70.91 | 120 | $8,509.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $68.74 | 120 | $8,248.80 | $8,304.79 |
$-260.40 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 1:15pm ET | $65.07 | 127 | $8,264.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 1:05pm ET | $68.46 | 127 | $8,694.41 | $8,734.67 |
+$429.88 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $67.19 | 129 | $8,668.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 12:35pm ET | $70.58 | 129 | $9,105.46 | $9,172.11 |
+$437.44 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 10:10am ET | $73.46 | 124 | $9,108.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $69.95 | 124 | $8,673.80 | $8,737.49 |
$-434.62 (-4.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.4h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET | $85.03 | 102 | $8,672.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $90.10 | 102 | $9,190.20 | $9,255.14 |
+$517.65 (+6.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.6h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 10:55am ET | $89.20 | 103 | $9,187.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 3:55pm ET | $86.38 | 103 | $8,897.14 | $8,964.68 |
$-290.46 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 10:00am ET | $85.58 | 104 | $8,899.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 1:40pm ET | $83.00 | 104 | $8,632.00 | $8,696.72 |
$-267.96 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $81.47 | 106 | $8,635.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $72.15 | 106 | $7,647.66 | $7,708.56 |
$-988.16 (-11.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 9:55am ET | $78.24 | 98 | $7,667.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 9:50am ET | $75.72 | 98 | $7,420.56 | $7,461.60 |
$-246.96 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $77.85 | 95 | $7,395.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 9:35am ET | $75.15 | 95 | $7,139.25 | $7,205.10 |
$-256.50 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 10:25am ET | $73.56 | 97 | $7,134.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 10:00am ET | $77.75 | 97 | $7,541.75 | $7,612.01 |
+$406.91 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 10:20am ET | $86.11 | 88 | $7,577.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 11:15am ET | $90.68 | 88 | $7,979.84 | $8,014.42 |
+$402.41 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
55m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $88.68 | 90 | $7,980.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $85.11 | 90 | $7,659.90 | $7,693.57 |
$-320.85 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 9:40am ET | $84.76 | 90 | $7,628.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 12:15pm ET | $81.98 | 90 | $7,378.20 | $7,443.55 |
$-250.02 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.6h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 10:45am ET | $84.44 | 88 | $7,430.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 11:35am ET | $81.89 | 88 | $7,206.45 | $7,219.28 |
$-224.27 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 11:35am ET | $87.61 | 82 | $7,184.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 2:50pm ET | $92.20 | 82 | $7,560.40 | $7,595.66 |
+$376.38 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 10:50am ET | $96.21 | 78 | $7,504.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 10:10am ET | $101.18 | 78 | $7,891.65 | $7,982.54 |
+$386.88 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 10:10am ET | $105.07 | 75 | $7,880.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 9:50am ET | $111.35 | 75 | $8,351.25 | $8,453.24 |
+$470.70 (+6.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 9:45am ET | $98.64 | 85 | $8,383.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 9:40am ET | $94.76 | 85 | $8,054.60 | $8,123.87 |
$-329.38 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2026 10:25am ET | $115.62 | 70 | $8,093.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 12:20pm ET | $111.90 | 70 | $7,833.00 | $7,863.47 |
$-260.40 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 10:00am ET | $114.86 | 68 | $7,810.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $110.75 | 68 | $7,531.14 | $7,584.12 |
$-279.35 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.5h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 9:40am ET | $114.06 | 66 | $7,527.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 10:35am ET | $110.47 | 66 | $7,291.35 | $7,347.84 |
$-236.28 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 9:50am ET | $112.64 | 65 | $7,321.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 12:35pm ET | $108.81 | 65 | $7,072.65 | $7,098.90 |
$-248.94 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 2:40pm ET | $100.68 | 70 | $7,047.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 9:40am ET | $105.94 | 70 | $7,415.80 | $7,467.45 |
+$368.55 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 10:30am ET | $101.91 | 73 | $7,439.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $97.53 | 73 | $7,119.69 | $7,147.71 |
$-319.74 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 10:20am ET | $95.74 | 74 | $7,084.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $89.82 | 74 | $6,646.68 | $6,709.63 |
$-438.08 (-6.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.2h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 10:25am ET | $89.96 | 74 | $6,657.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 9:40am ET | $86.64 | 74 | $6,411.73 | $6,464.32 |
$-245.31 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 10:00am ET | $86.00 | 75 | $6,450.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 10:30am ET | $90.32 | 75 | $6,773.63 | $6,787.76 |
+$323.44 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 10:30am ET | $90.84 | 74 | $6,722.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 10:30am ET | $95.46 | 74 | $7,063.67 | $7,129.27 |
+$341.51 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $92.85 | 76 | $7,056.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 11:35am ET | $97.94 | 76 | $7,443.44 | $7,515.91 |
+$386.64 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 11:45am ET | $94.13 | 79 | $7,436.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $101.13 | 79 | $7,989.27 | $8,068.91 |
+$553.00 (+7.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.8h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $104.74 | 77 | $8,064.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 10:35am ET | $110.26 | 77 | $8,490.20 | $8,494.52 |
+$425.61 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 10:05am ET | $107.27 | 79 | $8,474.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $102.25 | 79 | $8,077.36 | $8,097.55 |
$-396.97 (-4.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 9:35am ET | $119.99 | 67 | $8,039.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 11:25am ET | $116.10 | 67 | $7,778.70 | $7,837.23 |
$-260.32 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $111.50 | 70 | $7,805.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 2:45pm ET | $107.32 | 70 | $7,512.75 | $7,544.98 |
$-292.25 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.3h held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 3:15pm ET | $102.46 | 73 | $7,479.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $109.90 | 73 | $8,022.70 | $8,088.10 |
+$543.12 (+7.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.3h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$8,088.10
Net Profit/Loss:
$-1,911.90
Total Return:
-19.12%