Compendium › Dipster › ISRG
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
ISRG
Alpaca Tradeable

Dipster's Analysis

2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-09-24 19:55:00+00 • 14 trades executed

+1.27%
2 Years Return
$10,126.58
Current Value
43%
Win Rate
$10,000.00
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 18:40:47

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
24.1 oversold
20d Trend
-14.4%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

7
Lifetime
Confidence: 69%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.9/35
Total Return
3.0/25
Win Rate
1.1/15
Profit Factor
0.1/15
Consistency
4.4/10
Raw Quality 9.4/100
× Confidence 0.69 = 6.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (69%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
42,993
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
516 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$10,126.58
Total P&L
$126.58
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.05

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
14
Winners / Losers
6 / 8
Best Trade
+5.93%
Worst Trade
-7.99%
Avg Trade Return
+0.22%
Avg Hold Time
4.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$240,779.50
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$126.58
Net P&L (after fees)
$126.58
Gross Return
+1.27%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.27%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ISRG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 516 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Dipster had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 10:20am ET $453.78 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2025 9:30am ET $480.19 0 $0.00 $10,580.91 +$580.91
(+5.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2025 9:30am ET $504.40 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2025 9:30am ET $530.94 0 $0.00 $11,111.71 +$530.80
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:50am ET $480.68 23 $11,055.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 11:40am ET $460.16 23 $10,583.68 $10,639.75 $-471.96
(-4.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:55am ET $456.60 23 $10,501.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:55am ET $450.41 23 $10,359.43 $10,497.38 $-142.37
(-1.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 10:00am ET $451.70 23 $10,389.10 — — —
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:55am ET $437.81 23 $10,069.63 $10,177.91 $-319.47
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
12d held
6 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 9:45am ET $436.07 23 $10,029.61 — — —
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 11:45am ET $422.45 23 $9,716.35 $9,864.65 $-313.26
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:40am ET $401.18 24 $9,628.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 10:00am ET $421.62 24 $10,118.88 $10,355.21 +$490.56
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 11:35am ET $427.13 24 $10,251.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 9:35am ET $410.36 24 $9,848.56 $9,952.64 $-402.57
(-3.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET $388.79 25 $9,719.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $357.72 25 $8,943.00 $9,175.89 $-776.75
(-8.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 10:00am ET $343.18 26 $8,922.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 9:50am ET $361.64 26 $9,402.64 $9,655.85 +$479.96
(+5.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 9:40am ET $332.19 29 $9,633.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET $351.89 29 $10,204.81 $10,227.15 +$571.30
(+5.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4d held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 9:40am ET $353.72 28 $9,904.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 9:40am ET $373.35 28 $10,453.80 $10,776.74 +$549.59
(+5.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5d held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 1:15pm ET $378.34 28 $10,593.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 10:45am ET $366.96 28 $10,274.88 $10,458.10 $-318.64
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 10:20am ET $366.18 28 $10,253.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 10:40am ET $354.34 28 $9,921.52 $10,126.58 $-331.52
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,126.58
Net Profit/Loss: +$126.58
Total Return: +1.27%
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