Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-04-03 06:38:02

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
9
Extreme Fear
VIX
24.5
ELEVATED
10Y Yield
4.33%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.52%
STEEP
HY Spread
3.28
NORMAL
🌍 Kp Index
⛈️ 4.8
Severe
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
58.2 neutral
20d Trend
+92.9%
5d Trend
-10.5%
EMA20 Dist
+4.3%
ATR%
12.0%
Range Pos
60%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Apr 2, 2026

13
Lifetime
Confidence: 71%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.0/35
Total Return
6.1/25
Win Rate
3.8/15
Profit Factor
0.5/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality 18.0/100
× Confidence 0.71 = 12.7

30-Day Momentum

17
+4.5%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 25.8 Conf: 0.66×
Steady (+4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (71%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
50,240
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-04-03 → 2026-04-02
Trading Days
526 days
Data Gaps
2 days with gaps

Data Gap Notice

The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.

2025-06-23 (26 candles), 2025-06-24 (no data)

Market Closed (20 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$10,435.35
Total P&L
$435.35
Max Drawdown
-7.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.11

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
10
Winners / Losers
5 / 5
Best Trade
+7.08%
Worst Trade
-4.90%
Avg Trade Return
+0.54%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$84,382.87
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$435.35
Net P&L (after fees)
$435.35
Gross Return
+4.35%
Net Return (after fees)
+4.35%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NET Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 526 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Dipster had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 2, 2024 9:30am ET $75.80 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Aug 2, 2024 11:40am ET $80.30 0 $0.00 $10,589.50 +$589.50
(+5.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2025 3:05pm ET $118.45 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2025 9:30am ET $113.01 0 $0.00 $10,105.34 $-484.16
(-4.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 10:20am ET $96.41 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2025 9:30am ET $103.24 0 $0.00 $10,815.14 +$709.80
(+7.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET $206.40 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 9:30am ET $196.29 0 $0.00 $10,289.43 $-525.71
(-4.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET $180.20 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET $180.64 0 $0.00 $10,314.37 +$24.94
(+0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 10:45am ET $194.50 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 11:35am ET $188.22 0 $0.00 $9,981.53 $-332.84
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 1:55pm ET $197.40 50 $9,870.25
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 11:45am ET $207.34 50 $10,366.75 $10,478.03 +$496.50
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 11:00am ET $208.71 50 $10,435.50
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 1:15pm ET $221.46 50 $11,073.00 $11,115.53 +$637.50
(+6.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.1d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:40am ET $215.02 51 $10,966.02
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 2:40pm ET $208.35 51 $10,626.10 $10,775.61 $-339.92
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 10:30am ET $201.75 53 $10,692.75
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 1:55pm ET $195.33 53 $10,352.49 $10,435.35 $-340.26
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,435.35
Net Profit/Loss: +$435.35
Total Return: +4.35%
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