Compendium › Fear Fade › LCID
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
LCID
Alpaca Tradeable

Fear Fade's Analysis

to 2026-09-24 19:55:00+00 • 25 trades executed

+19.61%
2 Years Return
$10,871.80
Current Value
65%
Win Rate
$9,089.51
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 19:41:45

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
33 neutral
20d Trend
-14.2%
5d Trend
-15.0%
EMA20 Dist
-11.4%
ATR%
6.1%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 30, 2026

14
Lifetime
Confidence: 51%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.1/35
Total Return
8.2/25
Win Rate
7.5/15
Profit Factor
0.7/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 27.8/100
× Confidence 0.51 = 14.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (51%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
73,168
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
536 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$9,089.51
Current Value
$10,871.80
Total P&L
$1,782.30
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.21

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
17
Winners / Losers
11 / 6
Best Trade
+14.10%
Worst Trade
-10.20%
Avg Trade Return
+1.23%
Avg Hold Time
5.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$365,733.13
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,782.30
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,782.30
Gross Return
+19.61%
Net Return (after fees)
+19.61%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LCID Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 536 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Fear Fade had $9,089.51 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 2, 2024 9:30am ET $32.60 278 $9,062.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 4, 2024 9:30am ET $34.09 278 $9,477.77 $9,504.48 +$414.97
(+4.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
2d held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 8, 2024 9:30am ET $34.05 279 $9,499.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2024 9:30am ET $33.45 279 $9,332.55 $9,337.08 $-167.40
(-1.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
2d held
3 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2024 9:30am ET $26.20 356 $9,327.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2024 9:30am ET $29.90 356 $10,642.62 $10,652.50 +$1,315.42
(+14.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
4d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2025 9:30am ET $31.40 339 $10,644.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 10, 2025 9:30am ET $29.74 339 $10,082.54 $10,090.43 $-562.06
(-5.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
2d held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 28, 2025 9:30am ET $21.15 477 $10,088.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2025 9:30am ET $22.70 477 $10,827.90 $10,829.78 +$739.35
(+7.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
3d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2025 9:30am ET $20.79 520 $10,812.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2025 9:30am ET $20.80 520 $10,816.00 $10,833.42 +$3.64
(+0.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
2d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 7, 2025 9:30am ET $20.90 518 $10,826.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2025 9:30am ET $21.45 518 $11,111.10 $11,118.32 +$284.90
(+2.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
3d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2025 9:30am ET $20.90 532 $11,118.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2025 9:30am ET $21.20 532 $11,278.40 $11,278.46 +$160.13
(+1.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
2d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 3, 2025 9:30am ET $22.89 492 $11,261.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $23.18 492 $11,403.08 $11,420.15 +$141.70
(+1.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
4d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2025 9:30am ET $24.10 473 $11,398.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 11, 2025 9:30am ET $25.05 473 $11,848.65 $11,869.98 +$449.82
(+3.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
2d held
11 🟢 BUY May 22, 2025 9:30am ET $26.95 440 $11,858.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 27, 2025 9:30am ET $25.90 440 $11,396.00 $11,407.98 $-462.00
(-3.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
5d held
12 🟢 BUY May 30, 2025 9:30am ET $23.40 487 $11,395.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2025 9:30am ET $22.00 487 $10,713.51 $10,725.69 $-682.29
(-6.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
3d held
13 🟢 BUY Oct 17, 2025 9:30am ET $20.57 521 $10,714.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 20, 2025 9:30am ET $19.91 521 $10,373.11 $10,384.43 $-341.26
(-3.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
3d held
14 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 9:30am ET $12.66 820 $10,381.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET $12.80 820 $10,495.84 $10,499.07 +$114.64
(+1.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
2d held
15 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 9:30am ET $11.84 886 $10,490.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 9:30am ET $12.41 886 $10,992.25 $11,001.08 +$502.01
(+4.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
3d held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $9.80 1,122 $10,995.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $10.78 1,122 $12,100.77 $12,106.13 +$1,105.06
(+10.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
3d held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 9:30am ET $10.44 1,159 $12,099.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:50am ET $9.38 1,159 $10,865.63 $10,871.80 $-1,234.33
(-10.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
45d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,871.80
Net Profit/Loss: +$871.80
Total Return: +8.72%
Back to Fear Fade