Compendium › Fear Fade › PLTR
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
PLTR
Alpaca Tradeable

Fear Fade's Analysis

to 2026-05-08 19:55:00+00 • 23 trades executed

+80.21%
2 Years Return
$18,156.52
Current Value
77%
Win Rate
$10,075.30
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-09 06:49:50

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
38
Fear
VIX
17.1
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.41%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.75
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 2.6
Active
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
21.5 oversold
20d Trend
-29.6%
5d Trend
-14.4%
EMA20 Dist
-18.7%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored May 8, 2026

43
Lifetime
Confidence: 51%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
15.9/25
Win Rate
14.4/15
Profit Factor
10.4/15
Consistency
7.9/10
Raw Quality 83.5/100
× Confidence 0.51 = 42.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (51%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
87,722
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-09 → 2026-05-08
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,075.30
Current Value
$18,156.52
Total P&L
$8,081.22
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.50

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
22
Winners / Losers
17 / 5
Best Trade
+13.14%
Worst Trade
-10.95%
Avg Trade Return
+2.89%
Avg Hold Time
2.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$588,639.46
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$8,081.22
Net P&L (after fees)
$8,081.22
Gross Return
+80.21%
Net Return (after fees)
+80.21%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PLTR Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Fear Fade had $10,075.30 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jul 25, 2024 9:30am ET $25.77 391 $10,074.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2024 9:30am ET $27.68 391 $10,822.84 $10,824.02 +$748.73
(+7.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
4d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 2, 2024 9:30am ET $24.22 446 $10,802.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET $22.12 446 $9,863.29 $9,885.19 $-938.83
(-8.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
3d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2024 9:30am ET $26.90 367 $9,872.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 8, 2024 9:30am ET $27.25 367 $10,000.93 $10,013.86 +$128.67
(+1.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
2d held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 23, 2024 9:30am ET $32.06 312 $10,002.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2024 9:30am ET $31.54 312 $9,838.92 $9,850.09 $-163.77
(-1.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
3d held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 29, 2024 9:30am ET $31.17 316 $9,848.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2024 9:30am ET $31.25 316 $9,873.42 $9,874.61 +$24.52
(+0.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
5d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2024 9:30am ET $29.68 332 $9,853.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 6, 2024 9:30am ET $30.75 332 $10,208.80 $10,229.65 +$355.04
(+3.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
2d held
7 🟢 BUY Oct 2, 2024 9:30am ET $36.43 280 $10,200.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 4, 2024 9:30am ET $39.75 280 $11,128.60 $11,157.85 +$928.20
(+9.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
2d held
8 🟢 BUY Oct 8, 2024 9:30am ET $39.61 281 $11,129.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2024 9:30am ET $43.03 281 $12,091.23 $12,120.08 +$962.23
(+8.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
2d held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2024 9:30am ET $76.39 158 $12,068.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2024 9:30am ET $79.49 158 $12,559.42 $12,610.59 +$490.51
(+4.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
4d held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2025 9:30am ET $69.46 181 $12,572.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 10, 2025 9:30am ET $66.85 181 $12,099.85 $12,138.18 $-472.41
(-3.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
2d held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 28, 2025 9:30am ET $79.42 152 $12,071.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2025 9:30am ET $89.86 152 $13,658.08 $13,724.43 +$1,586.24
(+13.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
3d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2025 9:30am ET $82.02 167 $13,696.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2025 9:30am ET $86.88 167 $14,508.96 $14,536.88 +$812.45
(+5.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
2d held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 7, 2025 9:30am ET $81.07 179 $14,511.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2025 9:30am ET $80.31 179 $14,375.49 $14,400.84 $-136.04
(-0.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
3d held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2025 9:30am ET $77.11 186 $14,342.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2025 9:30am ET $83.06 186 $15,449.16 $15,507.54 +$1,106.70
(+7.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
2d held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 3, 2025 9:30am ET $83.92 184 $15,441.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 4, 2025 10:25am ET $74.73 184 $13,750.32 $13,816.58 $-1,690.96
(-11.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2025 9:30am ET $79.11 174 $13,764.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 11, 2025 9:30am ET $88.35 174 $15,372.90 $15,425.21 +$1,608.63
(+11.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
2d held
17 🟢 BUY May 22, 2025 9:30am ET $122.01 126 $15,373.03 — — —
🔴 SELL May 27, 2025 9:30am ET $126.60 126 $15,951.60 $16,003.78 +$578.57
(+3.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
5d held
18 🟢 BUY May 30, 2025 9:30am ET $125.10 127 $15,887.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2025 9:30am ET $132.95 127 $16,884.65 $17,000.73 +$996.95
(+6.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
3d held
19 🟢 BUY Oct 17, 2025 9:30am ET $177.51 95 $16,863.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 20, 2025 9:30am ET $177.97 95 $16,907.08 $17,044.74 +$44.01
(+0.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
3d held
20 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 9:30am ET $169.86 100 $16,985.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET $173.16 100 $17,315.50 $17,374.55 +$329.81
(+1.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
2d held
21 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 9:30am ET $157.11 110 $17,282.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 9:30am ET $160.27 110 $17,629.15 $17,721.60 +$347.05
(+2.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
3d held
22 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $134.62 131 $17,635.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $137.94 131 $18,070.14 $18,156.52 +$434.92
(+2.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $18,156.52
Net Profit/Loss: +$8,156.52
Total Return: +81.57%
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