Compendium › Fear Fade › HOOD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
HOOD
Alpaca Tradeable

Fear Fade's Analysis

to 2026-09-24 19:55:00+00 • 24 trades executed

+39.13%
2 Years Return
$13,050.91
Current Value
65%
Win Rate
$9,380.38
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 18:27:29

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
13.3 oversold
20d Trend
-41.6%
5d Trend
-28.6%
EMA20 Dist
-26.6%
ATR%
7.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored Jun 30, 2026

27
Lifetime
Confidence: 51%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
21.4/35
Total Return
12.4/25
Win Rate
10.0/15
Profit Factor
2.0/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 52.5/100
× Confidence 0.51 = 26.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (51%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
75,487
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
536 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$9,380.38
Current Value
$13,050.91
Total P&L
$3,670.51
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.30

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
17
Winners / Losers
11 / 6
Best Trade
+18.97%
Worst Trade
-11.85%
Avg Trade Return
+2.24%
Avg Hold Time
5.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$386,169.57
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,670.51
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,670.51
Gross Return
+39.13%
Net Return (after fees)
+39.13%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 HOOD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 536 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Fear Fade had $9,380.38 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 2, 2024 9:30am ET $22.69 413 $9,370.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 4, 2024 9:30am ET $23.06 413 $9,523.78 $9,533.20 +$152.81
(+1.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
2d held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 8, 2024 9:30am ET $24.15 394 $9,515.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2024 9:30am ET $25.12 394 $9,896.73 $9,914.83 +$381.63
(+4.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
2d held
3 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2024 9:30am ET $38.55 257 $9,906.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2024 9:30am ET $38.24 257 $9,827.68 $9,836.44 $-78.38
(-0.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
4d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2025 9:30am ET $40.52 242 $9,805.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 10, 2025 9:30am ET $40.36 242 $9,767.12 $9,798.01 $-38.43
(-0.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
2d held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 28, 2025 9:30am ET $47.84 204 $9,759.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2025 9:30am ET $53.47 204 $10,906.86 $10,945.51 +$1,147.50
(+11.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
3d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2025 9:30am ET $45.12 242 $10,918.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2025 9:30am ET $46.75 242 $11,312.29 $11,339.41 +$393.90
(+3.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
2d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 7, 2025 9:30am ET $43.91 258 $11,327.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2025 9:30am ET $40.10 258 $10,345.80 $10,357.72 $-981.69
(-8.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
3d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2025 9:30am ET $35.67 290 $10,344.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2025 9:30am ET $38.22 290 $11,082.35 $11,095.75 +$738.02
(+7.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
2d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 3, 2025 9:30am ET $39.66 279 $11,065.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 4, 2025 9:30am ET $34.96 279 $9,753.42 $9,784.03 $-1,311.72
(-11.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2025 9:30am ET $34.26 285 $9,765.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 11, 2025 9:30am ET $40.77 285 $11,618.03 $11,636.90 +$1,852.87
(+19.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
2d held
11 🟢 BUY May 22, 2025 9:30am ET $64.59 180 $11,626.20 — — —
🔴 SELL May 27, 2025 9:30am ET $64.33 180 $11,579.36 $11,590.06 $-46.84
(-0.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
5d held
12 🟢 BUY May 30, 2025 9:30am ET $64.40 179 $11,527.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2025 9:30am ET $67.83 179 $12,141.57 $12,204.03 +$613.97
(+5.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
3d held
13 🟢 BUY Oct 17, 2025 9:30am ET $129.38 94 $12,161.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 20, 2025 9:30am ET $134.06 94 $12,601.17 $12,643.48 +$439.45
(+3.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
3d held
14 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 9:30am ET $114.79 110 $12,626.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET $121.30 110 $13,343.28 $13,359.86 +$716.37
(+5.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
2d held
15 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 9:30am ET $107.64 124 $13,347.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 9:30am ET $110.90 124 $13,750.98 $13,763.48 +$403.62
(+3.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
3d held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $80.20 171 $13,714.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $84.53 171 $14,454.63 $14,503.91 +$740.43
(+5.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
3d held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 9:30am ET $72.34 200 $14,468.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 1:15pm ET $65.07 200 $13,015.00 $13,050.91 $-1,453.00
(-10.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
45.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,050.91
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,050.91
Total Return: +30.51%
Back to Fear Fade